The GFS & FV3 over the last few model cycles is aggressive in developing #91E into a 40-50kt TC within 24 hours. I am skeptical of this solution unless the MCV works its way down to the sfc, which is not yet imminent.The ECMWF in comparison keeps the large gyre dominant. pic.twitter.com/7leNPn9EdV
-- Philippe Papin (@pppapin) May 24, 2019