Portastorm wrote:I'm thinking we see a temp bust today here in Austin. EWX has us with a high of 41. We're sitting 24 degrees right now with increasing clouds and still major-league cold air advection. I seriously doubt we get above 37-38 degrees. Of course, that'll also mean we'll drop quicker to freezing once the sun sets.
All in all tonight/tomorrow's event has the potential to be the WORST one of the winter for the Austin area. QPF values in the models are much higher than previous events. Only saving grace will be recent warm temps so roads may be slow to ice over. Elevated roadways/bridges will be a joke tomorrow morning if this forecast verifies.
Wrong-o, Portastorm! Surface temps in and around the Austin metro area are now in the upper 30s. A forecast high of 41 looks quite reasonable. Good thing nobody bet me on this!

I do still think tonight's event has the potential to be the worst winter storm for AUS this season. The latest icing maps from the Winter Weather desk out of NWS suggest at least a 50% chance of greater than 0.10" of icing overnight into tomorrow morning. That would be from a combination of sleet and freezing rain.