Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

Winter Weather Discussion

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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#201 Postby BigB0882 » Fri Jan 12, 2018 3:07 pm

Can anyone post a graphic of the EURO? Curious if it shows anything for SELA.
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#202 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jan 12, 2018 3:11 pm

BigB0882 wrote:Can anyone post a graphic of the EURO? Curious if it shows anything for SELA.


It has a dusting to 0.5" around Baton Rouge with mix to snow from 3pm-6pm Tuesday afternoon. Some areas in C-Louisiana gets close to 4".
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#203 Postby gatorcane » Fri Jan 12, 2018 3:20 pm

Posted in Florida thread but looks like the German model ICON may beat the CMC for its craziness: :double:

Image
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#204 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jan 12, 2018 3:25 pm

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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#205 Postby bella_may » Fri Jan 12, 2018 4:53 pm

Weather channel has added a 50% chance of snow showers for my area Tuesday night but no mention from the mobile nws yet
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#206 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jan 12, 2018 5:16 pm

Wow...NWS Mobile/Pensacola pulled the trigger...60% chance of snow!!

Tuesday Night
A chance of rain and snow before 10pm, then a chance of rain, snow, and sleet between 10pm and 11pm, then snow likely after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#207 Postby bella_may » Fri Jan 12, 2018 5:32 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Wow...NWS Mobile/Pensacola pulled the trigger...60% chance of snow!!

Tuesday Night
A chance of rain and snow before 10pm, then a chance of rain, snow, and sleet between 10pm and 11pm, then snow likely after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.


Must of read my post
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#208 Postby Jag95 » Fri Jan 12, 2018 7:09 pm

What a crazy winter. I love it! When is the last time you saw "snow likely" in the forecast in Mobile? Hope the NAM is on board when it gets in range.
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#209 Postby bella_may » Fri Jan 12, 2018 11:01 pm

Anddd it's gone...
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#210 Postby Jag95 » Fri Jan 12, 2018 11:33 pm

Looks like it dries up just before it gets here. It was doing this a few runs ago. Can't wait to see what the NAM does tomorrow.

Euro trended lighter on the 00z too. Still there though.
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#211 Postby GlennOBX » Sat Jan 13, 2018 10:48 am

Anything interesting from the 6z models?
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#212 Postby Jag95 » Sat Jan 13, 2018 2:35 pm

The Euro, GFS, and NAM all show a much drier front passing through than yesterday. And so does the local forecast. Back to your regularly scheduled programming I guess.
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#213 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Jan 13, 2018 2:55 pm

Jag95 wrote:The Euro, GFS, and NAM all show a much drier front passing through than yesterday. And so does the local forecast. Back to your regularly scheduled programming I guess.


Yeah, amazing how quickly the models went to bone dry with the Tuesday-Wednesday period for the potential along the Gulf Coast region. Looks as if the models have settled on this solution, unless we have another reversal on the next day or two.

.
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#214 Postby Jag95 » Sat Jan 13, 2018 4:18 pm

northjaxpro wrote:
Jag95 wrote:The Euro, GFS, and NAM all show a much drier front passing through than yesterday. And so does the local forecast. Back to your regularly scheduled programming I guess.


Yeah, amazing how quickly the models went to bone dry with the Tuesday-Wednesday period for the potential along the Gulf Coast region. Looks as if the models have settled on this solution, unless we have another reversal on the next day or two.

.


Hope it turns around again. The 18z NAM looks a little better, showing some better coverage in the central and northern parts of MS/AL. Hope the trends starts back in the other direction again and we can get a few flurries anyway. Better than nothing.
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#215 Postby bella_may » Sat Jan 13, 2018 6:24 pm

18Z Nam is much farther south and wetter. It is typically the best at predicting winter weather and it nailed the storm we had a month ago. So hopefully this is a trend!
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#216 Postby BigB0882 » Sat Jan 13, 2018 8:40 pm

We may need to keep an eye on Thursday as well. Low of 36 here in BTR with a good amount of QPF (.5). Some models are hinting that the front will be much stronger so those temps may be overdone.
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#217 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jan 14, 2018 2:07 am

0z Euro is a little more optimistic for SE LA, MS, AL, and western Panhandle of Florida Tuesday night, Weds Morning as the front comes through. Light but there
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#218 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Jan 14, 2018 10:10 am

Canadian a little better as well. Hope it is like last event where models trended better the day before. Just part of living in the deep south and gulf coast :cheesy:
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#219 Postby JaxGator » Sun Jan 14, 2018 7:25 pm

I know its been almost two weeks, but in case you want to see the snow that fell at Moody Air Force Base. A good amount of snow managed to accumulate on some C-130s and A-10s.
https://www.facebook.com/moodyairforceb ... 0993567431
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)

#220 Postby shannstone » Sun Jan 14, 2018 10:38 pm

Anybody have opinions on the snow potential for the northeast suburbs of Atlanta? Getting alerts of less then one inch for tuesday into wed. The last time they said an inch we got about eight however I noticed this thread isnt very active at the moment. Guessng its more of a non event?
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