Texas Winter 2017-2018

Winter Weather Discussion

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Yukon Cornelius
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8561 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Tue Feb 13, 2018 6:22 pm

losf1981 wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:LOL. Once again the forecast has pulled most of the rain out but this time has kept the cool temps. It will be fun to see what it shows later this evening. This is actually getting pretty humorous.


just saw the forecast. WTF??

Just wait, it’ll change. It has been 2-3 times a day, each one completely different than the last.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8562 Postby TheProfessor » Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:13 pm

Well it definitely looks like the midsection is going to be wet the next week at least. I hope you guys get all the rain you need. Plus what happens the next 3 months might affect me in the Summer(Please no death ridge :cry: ) :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8563 Postby Quixotic » Tue Feb 13, 2018 9:50 pm

If I don’t see some measurable snow soon, I’m going to move to Tahoe City.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8564 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Feb 14, 2018 12:01 am

My HOA might be pissed but may have to get a snow machine for next winter. Lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8565 Postby Cpv17 » Wed Feb 14, 2018 12:25 am

Well it looks like much of Texas is going to get some rain over the next couple weeks, but nothing compared to what points east of here are going to get.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8566 Postby CaptinCrunch » Wed Feb 14, 2018 12:45 am

Rain, sleet, snow??? Models haven't been worth a flip this winter, sure 1 or 2 have gotten close but it's been no cigar.

Where's that rain today? And 80 on Thursday....... Lol

Im just happy it's a short week and long weekend for me.... :cheesy:
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8567 Postby downsouthman1 » Wed Feb 14, 2018 1:18 am

This is the thickest drizzle I've seen in a while. Everything's been soaked the hours. Serious light overrunning. Moisture just keeps condensing but never getting heavy.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8568 Postby Brent » Wed Feb 14, 2018 1:53 am

0z Euro is very wet again with over 4 inches of rain at DFW by next Wednesday and it keeps raining beyond that!!

Once again no frozen precip
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8569 Postby downsouthman1 » Wed Feb 14, 2018 2:13 am

This is a spring pattern.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8570 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Wed Feb 14, 2018 8:37 am

downsouthman1 wrote:This is a spring pattern.

Definitely feels like spring this morning.
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8571 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Feb 14, 2018 9:08 am

March turning cold and stormy?

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8572 Postby orangeblood » Wed Feb 14, 2018 9:56 am

Don't think I've seen such a difference b/w the NAM and GFS re: QPF over the coming 3-4 days :double:

NAM
Image

GFS
Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8573 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Feb 14, 2018 9:59 am

Euro & EPS say 4 - 8" of rain for DFW over the next 10 days. However, things continue to look pretty mild.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8574 Postby orangeblood » Wed Feb 14, 2018 10:02 am

The good news is that it appears to keep at least some cold on our side of the globe and directed right down the spine of the Rockies into the southern plains, although check out the expanse of cold across Europe into Asia

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8575 Postby wxman57 » Wed Feb 14, 2018 10:51 am

Well, I did my best in bringing everyone from NE TX to Austin to SE TX a cold, icy winter. However, I'm afraid there isn't much more I can do as far as winter weather in Texas. Euro ensembles indicate above-normal temps through February, and I'm inclined to agree. My cold-mongering coworker even agrees. Possibly a cold front in early March, but we may have seen our last freeze in Houston.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8576 Postby CaptinCrunch » Wed Feb 14, 2018 11:13 am

@ orangeblood,

I would have to side with the NAM, seems as the forecasted rain gets closer the less likely it happens. :cry:
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8577 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Feb 14, 2018 11:16 am

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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8578 Postby Cpv17 » Wed Feb 14, 2018 11:47 am

There’s a huge difference in precipitation totals between the Euro and GFS. Which one should we believe?
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8579 Postby NotSparta » Wed Feb 14, 2018 12:01 pm

wxman57 wrote:Well, I did my best in bringing everyone from NE TX to Austin to SE TX a cold, icy winter. However, I'm afraid there isn't much more I can do as far as winter weather in Texas. Euro ensembles indicate above-normal temps through February, and I'm inclined to agree. My cold-mongering coworker even agrees. Possibly a cold front in early March, but we may have seen our last freeze in Houston.



I think the rest of the heat miser is coming soon :eek:
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8580 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Feb 14, 2018 12:10 pm

To me it looks like a below average next few weeks with plenty of precip. PNA going negative finally, EPO may be going positive though models have shown this many times and it has not happened and NAO/AO goes negative as the SSW event flexes its muscles. I would say wintery weather is very possible. Next week has potential though PNA may be too negative with too positive of a NAO. Later in the month still has good potential especially if the PNA stays closer to neutral. We are moving into a very Nino esque pattern with highs near or below average and lows near to above average with little to no sun and lots of rain. Anytime the PNA slips back toward neutral then we will turn chilly with some of the best Atlantic blocking we have seen in a long time. This will finally give the SW some drought relief.
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