Texas Winter 2018-2019

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 16295
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#161 Postby Ntxw » Fri Nov 02, 2018 3:19 pm

Great as usual CapnCrunch! Hope that verifies for all of us!

A quick composite of all weak-moderate Ninos since 1950.
Image

________________________________________________________

Ninos of such intensity but in low solar years or descending solar. These are some of the most persistently coldest, and snowiest winters for DFW consequently.
Image

________________________________________________________

Now to really drive the pattern to town are the 2 severe -NAO/-AO patterns to couple. Two of the best winters. 1963-1964 and 2009-2010.
Image
5 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 32986
Age: 30
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#162 Postby Brent » Fri Nov 02, 2018 7:19 pm

This thread is getting me excited :cold: time to end this stupid snowless streak :P
5 likes   
#neversummer

gpsnowman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1305
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 10:35 am
Location: Irving, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#163 Postby gpsnowman » Fri Nov 02, 2018 7:41 pm

Brent wrote:This thread is getting me excited :cold: time to end this stupid snowless streak :P

Yep, all this talk of an early cold snap/snow has me pumped. To me, any cold, snow, or ice in November is a sweet bonus. Just like the same in March. The past couple autumns have been terrible and it is nice to have some hope before Thanksgiving!!!
2 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 32986
Age: 30
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#164 Postby Brent » Fri Nov 02, 2018 9:05 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
Brent wrote:This thread is getting me excited :cold: time to end this stupid snowless streak :P

Yep, all this talk of an early cold snap/snow has me pumped. To me, any cold, snow, or ice in November is a sweet bonus. Just like the same in March. The past couple autumns have been terrible and it is nice to have some hope before Thanksgiving!!!


Yeah this time last year was the hottest ever in November

Just the fact theres cold is so different
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
SnowintheFalls
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 97
Age: 40
Joined: Fri Nov 22, 2013 5:06 pm
Location: Burkburnett, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#165 Postby SnowintheFalls » Sat Nov 03, 2018 12:37 am

Brent wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:
Brent wrote:This thread is getting me excited :cold: time to end this stupid snowless streak :P

Yep, all this talk of an early cold snap/snow has me pumped. To me, any cold, snow, or ice in November is a sweet bonus. Just like the same in March. The past couple autumns have been terrible and it is nice to have some hope before Thanksgiving!!!


Yeah this time last year was the hottest ever in November

Just the fact theres cold is so different


It wasn't that long ago we were wondering if summer was going to end and here we are model watching at the beginning of November! Hope this is a good indication of the winter before us.
1 likes   
There is no day like a snow day!

Cpv17
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1068
Joined: Wed Dec 07, 2016 2:24 pm

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#166 Postby Cpv17 » Sat Nov 03, 2018 2:37 pm

Joe B’s new temp forecast for the winter is blahhh. Heart of the winter aimed towards the southeast again just like every other forecast I’ve seen.
0 likes   

User avatar
CaptinCrunch
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7850
Age: 50
Joined: Mon Nov 03, 2003 4:33 pm
Location: Mansfield, TX (Tarrant Co.)

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#167 Postby CaptinCrunch » Sat Nov 03, 2018 8:23 pm

Cpv17 wrote:Joe B’s new temp forecast for the winter is blahhh. Heart of the winter aimed towards the southeast again just like every other forecast I’ve seen.


JB is super east bias when it comes to his winter forecast, I mean have you ever seen the east, northeast NOT have a winter that's warm and snow free.
1 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 16295
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#168 Postby Ntxw » Sat Nov 03, 2018 9:27 pm

Plus remember it is anomalies relative to normal. -3 in Alabama is not the same as -3 in Oklahoma per se. Relative to normal actually may play out coldest in the gulf states since persistent cold/rainy stj patterns nip at their normals strongest over a 3 month composite.
3 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


OKMet83
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 56
Age: 35
Joined: Sun Dec 18, 2016 10:47 pm

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#169 Postby OKMet83 » Sat Nov 03, 2018 9:51 pm

CaptinCrunch wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:Joe B’s new temp forecast for the winter is blahhh. Heart of the winter aimed towards the southeast again just like every other forecast I’ve seen.


JB is super east bias when it comes to his winter forecast, I mean have you ever seen the east, northeast NOT have a winter that's warm and snow free.



Actually JB'S Updated forecast might have shifted a tad east with the 167 percent above normal snowfall... It still shows 133 percent above normal across most ALL of OK and TX with Temperatures avg between -1 to -3 degrees below normal... Still has an area of 167 percent above normal snowfall from the DFW Metroplex Eastward... Keep in mind ALL of this is just a GUESS! Regardless an active winter is coming no matter what map you see I promise! :cold: :froze:
3 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 32986
Age: 30
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#170 Postby Brent » Sat Nov 03, 2018 11:51 pm

might have to move over here early :roflmao: :P
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
SnowintheFalls
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 97
Age: 40
Joined: Fri Nov 22, 2013 5:06 pm
Location: Burkburnett, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#171 Postby SnowintheFalls » Tue Nov 06, 2018 12:07 am

Brent wrote:might have to move over here early :roflmao: :P


Let's hope this big tease is not indicative of the upcoming winter! The football so far is definitely in Lucy's grasp :double:
1 likes   
There is no day like a snow day!

WinterMax
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 14
Age: 56
Joined: Thu Jan 25, 2018 3:50 pm
Location: Ville Platte, La

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#172 Postby WinterMax » Tue Nov 06, 2018 6:05 am

CMC 00z looks interesting
1 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 32986
Age: 30
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#173 Postby Brent » Wed Nov 07, 2018 2:05 am

WinterMax wrote:CMC 00z looks interesting


so does the 0z Euro to say the least
1 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
SoupBone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1293
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:24 pm

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#174 Postby SoupBone » Fri Nov 09, 2018 11:29 am

Brent wrote:
WinterMax wrote:CMC 00z looks interesting


so does the 0z Euro to say the least


wxman57 is killing us guys! It's been brutal hot until this cold front currently coming through!
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

WinterMax
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 14
Age: 56
Joined: Thu Jan 25, 2018 3:50 pm
Location: Ville Platte, La

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#175 Postby WinterMax » Fri Nov 09, 2018 2:28 pm

What s up with Weather US showing all the snow on their runs, Lol
0 likes   

User avatar
CaptinCrunch
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7850
Age: 50
Joined: Mon Nov 03, 2003 4:33 pm
Location: Mansfield, TX (Tarrant Co.)

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#176 Postby CaptinCrunch » Sat Nov 10, 2018 9:55 am

The official 1st freeze of Winter 2018-19 happened this morning Nov 10th, that's 8 days earlier than my predicted 18th, and the earliest first freeze since October 30th 1993.

This also follows my analog year of 76-77 which had its first freeze Nov 13th.

As for the possibility of snow next week, just dont see it for the immediate DFW area, but those north along the RedRiver and from Wichita Falls down to Bowie could see a dusting.
2 likes   

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 28425
Age: 67
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Spring Branch area, Houston, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#177 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Nov 12, 2018 3:31 pm

If Houston has a freeze tomorrow or Wednesday it will be one month ahead of normal. Inquiring minds want to know if this is a harbinger of weather to come?
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image

losf1981
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 39
Joined: Fri Dec 15, 2017 2:09 pm

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#178 Postby losf1981 » Mon Nov 12, 2018 5:34 pm

CaptinCrunch wrote:The official 1st freeze of Winter 2018-19 happened this morning Nov 10th, that's 8 days earlier than my predicted 18th, and the earliest first freeze since October 30th 1993.

This also follows my analog year of 76-77 which had its first freeze Nov 13th.

As for the possibility of snow next week, just dont see it for the immediate DFW area, but those north along the RedRiver and from Wichita Falls down to Bowie could see a dusting.


got a dusting today in Wichita Falls.
2 likes   

User avatar
TeamPlayersBlue
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2594
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 1:44 am
Location: Sugar Land, Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#179 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Tue Nov 13, 2018 7:46 am

There are some reports of snow/graupel on mPing.
1 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Snowman67
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 493
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 12:44 pm
Location: Tomball, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#180 Postby Snowman67 » Tue Nov 13, 2018 8:36 am

Light snow/graupel showing up on radar just off to my west.
0 likes   
Any forecast I make is based on my opinion only. Please refer to the NWS or NHC for official forecasts.


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 9 guests