Texas Winter 2020-2021

Winter Weather Discussion

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HockeyTx82
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2261 Postby HockeyTx82 » Sun Jan 24, 2021 3:59 pm

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2262 Postby HockeyTx82 » Sun Jan 24, 2021 4:00 pm

TheProfessor wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:
TheProfessor wrote:SREF SigTor really likes the triple point for this event, could be interesting near the low pressure.


Timing and location? What are you seeing exactly?


If the SREF is to be believed, then the best parameters would be north and west of DFW around midnight through 6 AM. The question is if there will actually be discrete or semi-discrete storms that could take advantage. If the low ends up further south or southeast then everything would shift closer to DFW.


Go figure, this time the low may track just right, but if there is snow possible we know how they track. What gives.......
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2263 Postby TheProfessor » Sun Jan 24, 2021 4:03 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:
TheProfessor wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:
Timing and location? What are you seeing exactly?


If the SREF is to be believed, then the best parameters would be north and west of DFW around midnight through 6 AM. The question is if there will actually be discrete or semi-discrete storms that could take advantage. If the low ends up further south or southeast then everything would shift closer to DFW.


Go figure, this time the low may track just right, but if there is snow possible we know how they track. What gives.......


The chances that the surface low stays northwest of DFW are pretty high right now, so even if this was a potential snow event, I don't think it would work out well for DFW.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2264 Postby HockeyTx82 » Sun Jan 24, 2021 4:08 pm

TheProfessor wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:
TheProfessor wrote:
If the SREF is to be believed, then the best parameters would be north and west of DFW around midnight through 6 AM. The question is if there will actually be discrete or semi-discrete storms that could take advantage. If the low ends up further south or southeast then everything would shift closer to DFW.


Go figure, this time the low may track just right, but if there is snow possible we know how they track. What gives.......


The chances that the surface low stays northwest of DFW are pretty high right now, so even if this was a potential snow event, I don't think it would work out well for DFW.


I'm NW of DFW and I don't like severe storms. :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2265 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Jan 24, 2021 4:12 pm

Nice little thunder shower moving through MBY.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2266 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Jan 24, 2021 4:41 pm

Capping looks tough to break later this evening and the best forcing looks to be off to the north of DFW. However, FWD is still going with 100% coverage late this evening as the front moves through DFW.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2267 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Jan 24, 2021 7:43 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Capping looks tough to break later this evening and the best forcing looks to be off to the north of DFW. However, FWD is still going with 100% coverage late this evening as the front moves through DFW.


Looks like they rolled it back from 100% to 70% for most areas.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2268 Postby Brent » Sun Jan 24, 2021 8:16 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Capping looks tough to break later this evening and the best forcing looks to be off to the north of DFW. However, FWD is still going with 100% coverage late this evening as the front moves through DFW.


Looks like they rolled it back from 100% to 70% for most areas.


Looks like an extremely skinny line at best

The HRRR mostly misses the metro entirely with the better line in Oklahoma
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2269 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Jan 24, 2021 9:00 pm

Brent wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Capping looks tough to break later this evening and the best forcing looks to be off to the north of DFW. However, FWD is still going with 100% coverage late this evening as the front moves through DFW.


Looks like they rolled it back from 100% to 70% for most areas.


Looks like an extremely skinny line at best

The HRRR mostly misses the metro entirely with the better line in Oklahoma


You guys up there in DFW must have really done something to piss off the weather gods lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2270 Postby Quixotic » Sun Jan 24, 2021 9:26 pm

I’ll take the rain. Severe weather is cool when it isn’t your car or house getting shredded.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2271 Postby HockeyTx82 » Sun Jan 24, 2021 9:40 pm

Quixotic wrote:I’ll take the rain. Severe weather is cool when it isn’t your car or house getting shredded.


That's how I feel. I understand the fascination with storms but don't care for severe weather.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2272 Postby Ralph's Weather » Sun Jan 24, 2021 11:12 pm

It has been foggy, wet and mild here for the past few days. Especially foggy today with visibilities below 1 mile all day.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2273 Postby Brent » Sun Jan 24, 2021 11:30 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Brent wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:
Looks like they rolled it back from 100% to 70% for most areas.


Looks like an extremely skinny line at best

The HRRR mostly misses the metro entirely with the better line in Oklahoma


You guys up there in DFW must have really done something to piss off the weather gods lol


Lol I don't really care for severe weather so no big loss for me, but a nice noisy line would be fun
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2274 Postby TropicalTundra » Mon Jan 25, 2021 1:21 am

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2275 Postby HockeyTx82 » Mon Jan 25, 2021 1:53 am

Good storm moving over Wichita Falls right now.

Things might get interesting here in a little bit for Northern half of NTX.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0026.html
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2276 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Jan 25, 2021 6:16 am

Better late than never. Here comes our little line. Don't blink.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2277 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Mon Jan 25, 2021 9:16 am

The storms weren’t near as strong as they had forecasted. Possibly due to the cool air and drizzle all day? Picked up 0.38” out of it. Not too bad.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2278 Postby gboudx » Mon Jan 25, 2021 10:17 am

HockeyTx82 wrote:
Quixotic wrote:I’ll take the rain. Severe weather is cool when it isn’t your car or house getting shredded.


That's how I feel. I understand the fascination with storms but don't care for severe weather.


That's the reason I don't visit this website during the Spring anymore. It's infuriating reading posters pining for severe weather. I mean, who says, "I really can't wait to track and see destructive storms that destroy homes, cars and lives. So cool!"
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2279 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Jan 25, 2021 10:26 am

gboudx wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:
Quixotic wrote:I’ll take the rain. Severe weather is cool when it isn’t your car or house getting shredded.


That's how I feel. I understand the fascination with storms but don't care for severe weather.


That's the reason I don't visit this website during the Spring anymore. It's infuriating reading posters pining for severe weather. I mean, who says, "I really can't wait to track and see destructive storms that destroy homes, cars and lives. So cool!"


I won't for sure! :grr:

I can't wait to track them, but that is about as far I can say on that, & I don't want to see homes wreaked, especially in a Pandemic
Last edited by Iceresistance on Mon Jan 25, 2021 12:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#2280 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Jan 25, 2021 10:27 am

Yukon Cornelius wrote:The storms weren’t near as strong as they had forecasted. Possibly due to the cool air and drizzle all day? Picked up 0.38” out of it. Not too bad.


The storms were further North than Expected, I had closer to 3/4 of an inch with close Lightning
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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas

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