Texas Winter 2020-2021
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1272
- Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
0 likes
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1272
- Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
TheProfessor wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:TheProfessor wrote:SREF SigTor really likes the triple point for this event, could be interesting near the low pressure.
Timing and location? What are you seeing exactly?
If the SREF is to be believed, then the best parameters would be north and west of DFW around midnight through 6 AM. The question is if there will actually be discrete or semi-discrete storms that could take advantage. If the low ends up further south or southeast then everything would shift closer to DFW.
Go figure, this time the low may track just right, but if there is snow possible we know how they track. What gives.......
0 likes
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
- TheProfessor
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 3254
- Age: 24
- Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2013 10:56 am
- Location: Miami, Florida
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
HockeyTx82 wrote:TheProfessor wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:
Timing and location? What are you seeing exactly?
If the SREF is to be believed, then the best parameters would be north and west of DFW around midnight through 6 AM. The question is if there will actually be discrete or semi-discrete storms that could take advantage. If the low ends up further south or southeast then everything would shift closer to DFW.
Go figure, this time the low may track just right, but if there is snow possible we know how they track. What gives.......
The chances that the surface low stays northwest of DFW are pretty high right now, so even if this was a potential snow event, I don't think it would work out well for DFW.
0 likes
An alumnus of The Ohio State University.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1272
- Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
TheProfessor wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:TheProfessor wrote:
If the SREF is to be believed, then the best parameters would be north and west of DFW around midnight through 6 AM. The question is if there will actually be discrete or semi-discrete storms that could take advantage. If the low ends up further south or southeast then everything would shift closer to DFW.
Go figure, this time the low may track just right, but if there is snow possible we know how they track. What gives.......
The chances that the surface low stays northwest of DFW are pretty high right now, so even if this was a potential snow event, I don't think it would work out well for DFW.
I'm NW of DFW and I don't like severe storms.

0 likes
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 3575
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
Nice little thunder shower moving through MBY.
2 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 3575
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
Capping looks tough to break later this evening and the best forcing looks to be off to the north of DFW. However, FWD is still going with 100% coverage late this evening as the front moves through DFW.
1 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 3575
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
bubba hotep wrote:Capping looks tough to break later this evening and the best forcing looks to be off to the north of DFW. However, FWD is still going with 100% coverage late this evening as the front moves through DFW.
Looks like they rolled it back from 100% to 70% for most areas.
0 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
bubba hotep wrote:bubba hotep wrote:Capping looks tough to break later this evening and the best forcing looks to be off to the north of DFW. However, FWD is still going with 100% coverage late this evening as the front moves through DFW.
Looks like they rolled it back from 100% to 70% for most areas.
Looks like an extremely skinny line at best
The HRRR mostly misses the metro entirely with the better line in Oklahoma
0 likes
#neversummer
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
Brent wrote:bubba hotep wrote:bubba hotep wrote:Capping looks tough to break later this evening and the best forcing looks to be off to the north of DFW. However, FWD is still going with 100% coverage late this evening as the front moves through DFW.
Looks like they rolled it back from 100% to 70% for most areas.
Looks like an extremely skinny line at best
The HRRR mostly misses the metro entirely with the better line in Oklahoma
You guys up there in DFW must have really done something to piss off the weather gods lol
3 likes
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
I’ll take the rain. Severe weather is cool when it isn’t your car or house getting shredded.
8 likes
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1272
- Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
Quixotic wrote:I’ll take the rain. Severe weather is cool when it isn’t your car or house getting shredded.
That's how I feel. I understand the fascination with storms but don't care for severe weather.
5 likes
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2646
- Age: 33
- Joined: Fri Dec 13, 2013 11:55 am
- Location: Lindale, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
It has been foggy, wet and mild here for the past few days. Especially foggy today with visibilities below 1 mile all day.
3 likes
Follow on Facebook at Ralph's Weather.
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
Cpv17 wrote:Brent wrote:bubba hotep wrote:
Looks like they rolled it back from 100% to 70% for most areas.
Looks like an extremely skinny line at best
The HRRR mostly misses the metro entirely with the better line in Oklahoma
You guys up there in DFW must have really done something to piss off the weather gods lol
Lol I don't really care for severe weather so no big loss for me, but a nice noisy line would be fun
1 likes
#neversummer
- TropicalTundra
- Category 1
- Posts: 259
- Age: 24
- Joined: Wed Oct 16, 2019 12:56 pm
- Location: Temple, Texas
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1272
- Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
Good storm moving over Wichita Falls right now.
Things might get interesting here in a little bit for Northern half of NTX.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0026.html
Things might get interesting here in a little bit for Northern half of NTX.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0026.html
0 likes
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1413
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu Dec 20, 2012 9:23 pm
- Location: Petrolia, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
The storms weren’t near as strong as they had forecasted. Possibly due to the cool air and drizzle all day? Picked up 0.38” out of it. Not too bad.
0 likes
#neversummer
- gboudx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 3912
- Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:39 pm
- Location: Rockwall, Tx but from Harvey, La
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
HockeyTx82 wrote:Quixotic wrote:I’ll take the rain. Severe weather is cool when it isn’t your car or house getting shredded.
That's how I feel. I understand the fascination with storms but don't care for severe weather.
That's the reason I don't visit this website during the Spring anymore. It's infuriating reading posters pining for severe weather. I mean, who says, "I really can't wait to track and see destructive storms that destroy homes, cars and lives. So cool!"
1 likes
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 1916
- Age: 17
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK
- Contact:
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
gboudx wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:Quixotic wrote:I’ll take the rain. Severe weather is cool when it isn’t your car or house getting shredded.
That's how I feel. I understand the fascination with storms but don't care for severe weather.
That's the reason I don't visit this website during the Spring anymore. It's infuriating reading posters pining for severe weather. I mean, who says, "I really can't wait to track and see destructive storms that destroy homes, cars and lives. So cool!"
I won't for sure!

I can't wait to track them, but that is about as far I can say on that, & I don't want to see homes wreaked, especially in a Pandemic
Last edited by Iceresistance on Mon Jan 25, 2021 12:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
Erin 2008 & Bill 2015
February 2021 Storm of the Century
2020 October Ice Storm
Plus many Oklahoma Supercells
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas
My posts are NOT endorsed by S2K, NWS or NHC. Please look up the SPC, NHC & NWS for more info.
February 2021 Storm of the Century
2020 October Ice Storm
Plus many Oklahoma Supercells
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas
My posts are NOT endorsed by S2K, NWS or NHC. Please look up the SPC, NHC & NWS for more info.
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 1916
- Age: 17
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK
- Contact:
Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021
Yukon Cornelius wrote:The storms weren’t near as strong as they had forecasted. Possibly due to the cool air and drizzle all day? Picked up 0.38” out of it. Not too bad.
The storms were further North than Expected, I had closer to 3/4 of an inch with close Lightning
0 likes
Erin 2008 & Bill 2015
February 2021 Storm of the Century
2020 October Ice Storm
Plus many Oklahoma Supercells
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas
My posts are NOT endorsed by S2K, NWS or NHC. Please look up the SPC, NHC & NWS for more info.
February 2021 Storm of the Century
2020 October Ice Storm
Plus many Oklahoma Supercells
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas
My posts are NOT endorsed by S2K, NWS or NHC. Please look up the SPC, NHC & NWS for more info.
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 11 guests