Brent wrote:srainhoutx wrote:Apparently no one has seen the Longer Range ECMWF EPS centered on February 4th. Brrrr
Details please lol
Texas Winter 2017-2018
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- Haris
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Looks like the GFS is getting a bit carried away with the upcoming pattern! Check out 00z! LOL.
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
GFS has a winter storm on February 2nd
mostly south of Dallas it appears
mostly south of Dallas it appears
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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Brent wrote:GFS has a winter storm on February 2nd
mostly south of Dallas it appears
Of course it is..........
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I'm a Princess, not a forecaster.
- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
These long-range charts should be no big surprise. I told you I'm working on a Texas winter weather event for mid-February.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Yep, some MAJOR cross-polar flow showing up on the long range models!! Huge chunks of that record-breaking Siberian air are funneling directly over to our side of the world
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Eastern areas upgraded up "Slight"
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
This includes a TOR 5%
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Models are really wanting to amp up the MJO late in the cycle
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- Tireman4
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
wxman57 wrote:These long-range charts should be no big surprise. I told you I'm working on a Texas winter weather event for mid-February.
How about the whole state, sir?
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- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Let's see ...
Cross-polar flow: check
Cold trough over the middle of the CONUS: check
Upper level energy to the southwest of Texas: check
What's not to like here?!
Cross-polar flow: check
Cold trough over the middle of the CONUS: check
Upper level energy to the southwest of Texas: check
What's not to like here?!
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Someone correct me if I am wrong, but does that map have a McFarland look to it? I see a slight backwards "S" with Pacific ridging and the central trough.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
gpsnowman wrote::uarrow: Someone correct me if I am wrong, but does that map have a McFarland look to it? I see a slight backwards "S" with Pacific ridging and the central trough.
Not quite yet, you need that northeast pacific ridge axis to poke into northwestern Canada while the trough axis stays back over the southwest...the potential is there that's for sure!
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
orangeblood wrote:gpsnowman wrote::uarrow: Someone correct me if I am wrong, but does that map have a McFarland look to it? I see a slight backwards "S" with Pacific ridging and the central trough.
Not quite yet, you need that northeast pacific ridge axis to poke into northwestern Canada while the trough axis stays back over the southwest...the potential is there that's for sure!
I see what you mean. Thanks orangeblood.
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- cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
HRRR is trending slightly further west with convective initiation today. Will be interesting to see if the spc reflects that in their next update
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
cheezyWXguy wrote:HRRR is trending slightly further west with convective initiation today. Will be interesting to see if the spc reflects that in their next update
Is that good for Texas?
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Of course we know that models at 384 hours are for entertainment purposes only.
That said, the 12Z GFS at 384, Incredible cold all the way down to SoCal. To put this in perspective, all time record low in LA is 28, set in 2013 and 1949.
Meanwhile, the Metroplex checks in around 70.
That said, the 12Z GFS at 384, Incredible cold all the way down to SoCal. To put this in perspective, all time record low in LA is 28, set in 2013 and 1949.
Meanwhile, the Metroplex checks in around 70.
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