Winter Weather 2008-2009 - IL, IN, KY, OH

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 73
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

Winter Weather 2008-2009 - IL, IN, KY, OH

#1 Postby Dave » Sat Nov 29, 2008 5:15 pm

Looks like it's that time of year for our first accumulating snow to arrive so thought I'd start a thread to cover this area.

Lincoln IL NWS:

Accumulating snow possible Sunday Nov. 30


...A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect north of I-70 from overnight through Sunday night for 2 to 4 inches of snow...

The first accumulating snow of the season is expected across central and southeast Illinois on Sunday. Weak low pressure along the Missouri River Valley Saturday afternoon will re-organize over the mid mississippi valley by midnight and intensify as it tracks northeast to near Detroit by dawn Monday. The winter weather system is expected to strengthen due to potent jet stream winds diving into the center of the country, and an intensifying mid level disturbance catching up with the surface low. Surface temperatures staying near to above freezing for much of the event will limit snowfall accumulations.

Precipitation is expected to overspread central and southeast Illinois from the west tonight. This should begin as a period of light rain before cooling aloft allows the atmosphere to cool below freezing. The changeover to snow should occur during overnight north of I-70. An extended period of light to occasionally moderate snow is expected from late tonight through Sunday night. Surface temperatures will largely determine how much snow will accumulate, and with near-surface soil temperatures in the mid-30s, accumulations may be limited to grassy and elevated surfaces during the daylight hours. Northwest winds will bring cooler air in by Sunday evening, allowing more snow to stick. By time the system moves out midday Monday, 2-4" totals are possible north of I-70, with highest amounts north of the I-72 corridor. Areas south of I-70 will be closer to the "dry slot" of the system limiting amounts, and with slightly warmer temperatures, accumulations up to an inch or two are possible.
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 73
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#2 Postby Dave » Sat Nov 29, 2008 5:17 pm

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
235 PM CST SAT NOV 29 2008

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-301200-
CASS-CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-
DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-FULTON-JASPER-KNOX-LAWRENCE-LOGAN-
MACON-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-PEORIA-PIATT-
RICHLAND-SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-SHELBY-STARK-TAZEWELL-VERMILION-
WOODFORD-
235 PM CST SAT NOV 29 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A MIXTURE OF LIGHT RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP FROM SOUTHWEST
TO NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS DURING THIS EVENING...AND
CHANGE TO ALL SNOW LATER TONIGHT NORTH OF I-70. BETWEEN A HALF AND
1 INCH OF SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE OVERNIGHT NORTH OF I-70.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE
TAPERING TO FLURRIES MONDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL BE MIXED WITH
RAIN SUNDAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-70. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES WILL BE LIKELY BY DAWN MONDAY NORTH OF I-70 WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES
SOUTH OF I-70. THE CHANCE FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL BE LOW...HOWEVER
TRAVELERS LATE THIS WEEKEND SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS
ESPECIALLY BY SUNDAY NIGHT AS TEMPERATURES SLIP BELOW FREEZING.
MANY DRIVERS MAY NOT BE ACCUSTOMED TO WINTRY ROAD CONDITIONS
YET...SO EXTRA CAUTION SHOULD BE EXERCISED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

KH
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 73
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#3 Postby Dave » Sat Nov 29, 2008 5:19 pm

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
319 PM EST SAT NOV 29 2008

INZ039>042-045>049-052>057-060>065-067>072-302030-
HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-
HANCOCK-HENRY-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-
GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-
LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
319 PM EST SAT NOV 29 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR SUNDAY. SOME WET
ACCUMULATION OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY SUNDAY MORNING.
THE PRECIPITATION MAY END FOR A TIME DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY SUNDAY EVENING WHEN TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE INTO
THE 35 TO 40 DEGREE RANGE. WE DO EXPECT SNOW TO RE-DEVELOP LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT AND LAST INTO MONDAY. SOME ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF
SNOW IS POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 73
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#4 Postby Dave » Sat Nov 29, 2008 5:35 pm

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
307 PM CST SAT NOV 29 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY...

.THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOW OF THE SEASON FOR MANY
AREAS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA FROM
EARLY SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY OVERNIGHT...AND WILL LIFT
NORTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM THE SOUTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...SPREADING ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND
NORTHWEST INDIANA SUNDAY MORNING. WHILE SNOW MAY MIX WITH RAIN AT
TIMES ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN SUNDAY MORNING...PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL DIMINISH AND COME TO AN END
FROM WEST TO EAST MONDAY MORNING...THOUGH A PERIOD OF LAKE EFFECT
SNOW SHOWERS MAY AFFECT NORTHWEST INDIANA INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY MONDAY
MORNING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...WITH AN AXIS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES ACROSS NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA.

ILZ003-004-008-010-011-019-021-032-033-039-INZ019-300515-
/O.NEW.KLOT.WW.Y.0009.081130T1200Z-081201T1500Z/
WINNEBAGO-BOONE-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-LA SALLE-GRUNDY-LIVINGSTON-
IROQUOIS-FORD-BENTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKFORD...OREGON...DIXON...DEKALB...
OTTAWA...MORRIS...PONTIAC...WATSEKA...PAXTON...FOWLER
307 PM CST SAT NOV 29 2008 /407 PM EST SAT NOV 29 2008/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM CST /7 AM EST/
SUNDAY TO 9 AM CST /10 AM EST/ MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM CST /7
AM EST/ SUNDAY TO 9 AM CST /10 AM EST/ MONDAY.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...AND WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE ENDING EARLY MONDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL
BY MONDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS
NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...TO 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA. IN ADDITION...STRONG
NORTH WINDS DEVELOPING LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT MAY CAUSE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW IN OPEN AREAS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT ACCUMULATING SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 73
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#5 Postby Dave » Sun Nov 30, 2008 8:19 am

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
722 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2008

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-011230-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-
722 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A MIXTURE OF SNOW AND RAIN TO THE AREA
THIS MORNING. SOME SLEET COULD ALSO BE MIXED IN NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 70. THE AREA COULD SEE AN INCH OR TWO OF WET
ACCUMULATION THIS MORNING. THE SNOW MAY TAPER OFF DURING THE AFTERNOON
BEFORE RE-DEVELOPING TONIGHT AND MONDAY. ANOTHER ONE OR TWO INCHES
OF ACCUMULATION COULD OCCUR TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. ANOTHER
INCH OR TWO OF ACCUMULATION BETWEEN SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED HOWEVER SNOWFALL REPORTS ARE ENCOURAGED.

&&
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 73
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#6 Postby Dave » Sun Nov 30, 2008 8:22 am

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
340 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
NORTH CENTRAL AND EXTREME NORTHERN ILLINOIS...

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
MUCH OF NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY FOR NORTHWEST
INDIANA...

.THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOW OF THE SEASON FOR MANY
AREAS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA BEGINNING
LATER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WILL LIFT
NORTHEASTWARD TO NEAR DETROIT BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN CONTINUE
INTO CANADA EARLY MONDAY. A MIXTURE OF SNOW AND RAIN IS EXPECTED
TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW BY THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE
SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL DIMINISH AND COME TO AN END FROM WEST TO
EAST ON MONDAY...WITH A PERIOD OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
REMAINING OVER NORTHWEST INDIANA INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER EAST
CENTRAL ILLINOIS...AND SOUTH OF THE KANKAKEE RIVER IN
INDIANA...TO 4 TO 6 INCHES ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80...AND
6 TO 8 INCHES NORTH OF INTERSTATE 88.

ILZ005-006-012-301745-
/O.UPG.KLOT.WW.Y.0009.081130T1500Z-081201T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KLOT.WS.W.0006.081130T1800Z-081201T1800Z/
MCHENRY-LAKE IL-KANE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WOODSTOCK...WAUKEGAN...AURORA
340 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 12 PM CST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
NOON TODAY TO 12 PM CST MONDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD EXTREME NORTHERN ILLINOIS THIS MORNING...AND
CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING TO FLURRIES. THE
SNOW MAY BE MIXED WITH A LITTLE RAIN THIS MORNING...BUT SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO AROUND FREEZING AS
PRECIPITATION CONTINUES...THUS CHANGING THE MIXTURE TO ALL SNOW.
LOWS WILL DROP TO THE UPPER 20S TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL BY MONDAY
MORNING IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 8 INCH RANGE. THIS WINTRY
WEATHER WILL BECOME COMPOUNDED BY STRONG NORTH WINDS THAT WILL
DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL CAUSE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW IN OPEN AREAS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW IS ISSUED WHEN 6 OR MORE
INCHES OF SNOW IS FORECAST TO OCCUR. THE HEAVY SNOW WILL MAKE
TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.


$$
0 likes   

Miss Mary

#7 Postby Miss Mary » Sun Nov 30, 2008 4:21 pm

Important question: would you suggest someone driving from Cincinnati to Columbus, OH (trip originated in Knoxville, TN) do so today as opposed to Monday? We have rain right now which will change to snow. Columbus has the same forecast - 70% chance of snow, 1 inch or less to be expected.

Thanks!
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 73
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#8 Postby Dave » Sun Nov 30, 2008 4:33 pm

Miss Mary, out here in southeast Indiana the only thing we have is a light mist if that. Temperature is 40 degrees and holding. The closest snow I see right now on radar is southeastern Illinois and even that is spinning around the L pressure area located near Terra Haute. I'd say if they leave tonight they'd be fine. What I'm seeing for tomorrow/monday are snow showers with little or no accumulation + our roads are still fairly warm because 40 degree temps so I doubt if the snow actually sticks to the roads.

Here is our local forecast out of Wilmington NWS:

Tonight: A chance of rain and snow showers between 10pm and 11pm, then a chance of snow showers after 11pm. Cloudy, with a low around 32. West wind between 10 and 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Monday: Snow showers likely, mainly after 8am. Cloudy, with a high near 37. Breezy, with a west wind between 16 and 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Monday Night: Snow showers likely, mainly before 3am. Cloudy, with a low around 24. West wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 73
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#9 Postby Dave » Sun Nov 30, 2008 4:39 pm

Current conditions here in Milan at 4:35 pm:

Temperature: 40 degrees
Pressure: 29.23 and steady
Humidity: 100%
Dew Point: 40
Winds: SW @ 6 mph
High Today: 42
Low Today: 34
Conditions: Cloudy/Mist

If they need to be back by early morning I'd leave tonight, otherwise I'd wait and go tomorrow around 10 - 11 AM. I-71 should be in good condition over the next 24 hours.
0 likes   

Miss Mary

Re:

#10 Postby Miss Mary » Mon Dec 01, 2008 7:14 am

ai9d wrote:Miss Mary, out here in southeast Indiana the only thing we have is a light mist if that. Temperature is 40 degrees and holding. The closest snow I see right now on radar is southeastern Illinois and even that is spinning around the L pressure area located near Terra Haute. I'd say if they leave tonight they'd be fine. What I'm seeing for tomorrow/monday are snow showers with little or no accumulation + our roads are still fairly warm because 40 degree temps so I doubt if the snow actually sticks to the roads.

Here is our local forecast out of Wilmington NWS:

Tonight: A chance of rain and snow showers between 10pm and 11pm, then a chance of snow showers after 11pm. Cloudy, with a low around 32. West wind between 10 and 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Monday: Snow showers likely, mainly after 8am. Cloudy, with a high near 37. Breezy, with a west wind between 16 and 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Monday Night: Snow showers likely, mainly before 3am. Cloudy, with a low around 24. West wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.


Thanks! The person traveling was an 18 year old college freshman (friend of my daughter's, same age). This girl's father wanted her to push on and not stay overnight in Cincinnati. Which she ended up doing (which disappointed my daughter, they wanted to hang out in our warm basement and watch movies, etc.). Anyway, I can see why this girl's dad wanted her safe, at home. And not traveling today if the snow was going to accumulate.

But it didn't. Same as you, we had light rain or a mist, if that. Right now, wet snowflakes.

I've been an overprotective mother so I understood why this dad wanted his daughter home.

Thanks again!

Mary
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 73
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#11 Postby Dave » Mon Dec 01, 2008 8:19 am

Good morning Miss Mary, I going to be like her father because I probably would have said the same thing, it's good she went ahead and left last night because it's easier to drive in mist than it is snow showers. One never knows where the black ice has formed on the road especially since we are now getting snow showers out here this morning.

It was windy all through the night and light snow showers are moving through this region now. Possibly a light dusting coming in today from what I see on radar.

Anytime I can be of help just let me know. I'm 40 miles west of the city and 12 miles south of I-74 out of Sunman Indiana, and always will get hit by whatever is coming before Cincinnati does. :lol:

Current weather at 8:18 am:

Temperature: 32
Pressure: 29.41 and rising
Humidity: 96%
Dew Point: 31
Winds: W @ 14 mph
High Today: 34
Low Today: 32
Conditions: Snow showers
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 73
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#12 Postby Dave » Sat Dec 06, 2008 4:37 pm

This statement was issued earlier this afternoon but it's still snowing (light) at 4:30 pm. Secondary & rural roads were icy this morning while I was out and this afternoon I'm not hearing much traffic on the state highway in back of my house.

Current temperature at my home is: 31 degrees at 4:35 pm.


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
136 PM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-070215-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-
DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-
MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-
PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-
CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY...
BROOKVILLE...VERSAILLES...LAWRENCEBURG...RISING SUN...VEVAY...
CARROLLTON...WARSAW...BURLINGTON...INDEPENDENCE...ALEXANDRIA...
OWENTON...WILLIAMSTOWN...FALMOUTH...BROOKSVILLE...MOUNT OLIVET...
MAYSVILLE...VANCEBURG...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA...
GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...
PIQUA...URBANA...SPRINGFIELD...LONDON...COLUMBUS...NEWARK...
EATON...DAYTON...XENIA...WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE...CIRCLEVILLE...
LANCASTER...HAMILTON...LEBANON...WILMINGTON...CHILLICOTHE...
LOGAN...CINCINNATI...MILFORD...GEORGETOWN...HILLSBORO...
WEST UNION...PIKETON...PORTSMOUTH
136 PM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO ACCUMULATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE
OHIO VALLEY WILL SEE A PERSISTENT LIGHT SNOW WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF
1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND EARLY EVENING.
TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S ARE CAUSING MUCH OF THE SNOW THAT HAS
MELTED ON AREA ROADWAYS TO RE-FREEZE. THIS HAS CAUSED AN UNUSUAL
BUT SHARP INCREASE OF MOTOR VEHICLE ACCIDENTS ON THE INTERSTATES.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND LIMIT THEIR SPEED TO WHAT
CONDITIONS WILL PERMIT...AS BREAKING DISTANCES NEED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED TODAY.
0 likes   

Ed Mahmoud

Is there a Kentucky/Ohio Valley Winter Thread

#13 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Mon Jan 26, 2009 2:18 pm

Because I'm looking at the GFS and WRF for Northern Kentucky, as HPC products, and various warnings peak my interests, and well, especially the WRF, looks like the end of the world as we know it, practically.


I drove through Kentucky once, but didn't really stop.

And South of the surface freezing isotherm, look at the rain!


PSU e-Wall close up on Ohio Valley


If there is a Kentucky/Ohio Valley winter thread already I missed, feel free Moderator du Jour to merge this in...
0 likes   

User avatar
somethingfunny
ChatStaff
ChatStaff
Posts: 3926
Age: 35
Joined: Thu May 31, 2007 10:30 pm
Location: McKinney, Texas

#14 Postby somethingfunny » Mon Jan 26, 2009 3:24 pm

viewtopic.php?f=22&t=104054

Halfway down page 2.
0 likes   

Ed Mahmoud

Re: Winter Weather 2008-2009 - IL, IN, KY, OH

#15 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Mon Jan 26, 2009 4:47 pm

There is a KY winter thread!


Ed Mahmoud wrote:Because I'm looking at the GFS and WRF for Northern Kentucky, as HPC products, and various warnings peak my interests, and well, especially the WRF, looks like the end of the world as we know it, practically.


I drove through Kentucky once, but didn't really stop.

And South of the surface freezing isotherm, look at the rain!


PSU e-Wall close up on Ohio Valley


If there is a Kentucky/Ohio Valley winter thread already I missed, feel free Moderator du Jour to merge this in...
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 73
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#16 Postby Dave » Mon Jan 26, 2009 4:48 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1215 PM EST MON JAN 26 2009

...POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY...

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ077>082-088-270115-
/O.CON.KILN.WS.A.0003.090127T0300Z-090128T1200Z/
RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-
CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-
HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VERSAILLES...LAWRENCEBURG...
RISING SUN...VEVAY...CARROLLTON...WARSAW...BURLINGTON...
INDEPENDENCE...ALEXANDRIA...OWENTON...WILLIAMSTOWN...FALMOUTH...
BROOKSVILLE...MOUNT OLIVET...MAYSVILLE...VANCEBURG...CINCINNATI...
MILFORD...GEORGETOWN...HILLSBORO...WEST UNION...PIKETON...
PORTSMOUTH
1215 PM EST MON JAN 26 2009

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
STRENGTHEN AS IT CROSSES THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND MOVES INTO THE
MID-ATLANTIC. THE LOW WILL TRAVEL ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...CAUSING
WIDESPREAD WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF THE
OHIO VALLEY THROUGH MIDWEEK.

THE FIRST DISTURBANCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY...BRINGING ACCUMULATING
SNOW TO THE REGION. THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECIPITATION WILL LIGHTEN ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY BEFORE A
SECOND SYSTEM LIFTS INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TUESDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL BRING A SECOND ROUND OF WIDESPREAD WINTRY PRECIPITATION
ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY LATE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. AS WARMER
AIR MOVES IN ALOFT ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...LIGHT SNOW
WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WITH A LIGHT
ICE ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING
ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT ICE OR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR A HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER EVENT IN OR CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA.

$$
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 73
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#17 Postby Dave » Mon Jan 26, 2009 4:50 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
325 PM EST MON JAN 26 2009

INZ060>065-067>072-270430-
/O.UPG.KIND.WS.A.0001.090127T0000Z-090128T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KIND.WS.W.0001.090127T0000Z-090128T1200Z/
SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-
MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLOOMINGTON...COLUMBUS...VINCENNES...
BEDFORD...SEYMOUR
325 PM EST MON JAN 26 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WINTRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS A
COUPLE OF WEATHER DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. ONE
DISTURBANCE WILL BRING SNOW TO THE AREA TONIGHT...AND A SECOND
ONE WILL BRING MORE SNOW TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. SNOW WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET FOR A TIME TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. UP TO 6 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOWFALL ARE
EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

SNOW AMOUNTS MAY BE REFINED AS THE TRACK OF THE SYSTEM BECOMES
BETTER DEFINED. STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR THIS
DEVELOPING SITUATION.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.


$$
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 73
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#18 Postby Dave » Mon Jan 26, 2009 4:52 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
435 PM EST MON JAN 26 2009

...A SIGNIFICANT WINTRY MIX WILL IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT...

.A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL MOVE INTO
THE REGION TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN...
SLEET AND SNOW TO THE AREA FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-270500-
/O.CON.KLMK.WS.W.0001.090127T0300Z-090128T0600Z/
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...
JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG...
BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...
MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...
BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...
CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...
LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...BARDSTOWN...SPRINGFIELD...
HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...HODGENVILLE...
LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...RICHMOND
435 PM EST MON JAN 26 2009 /335 PM CST MON JAN 26 2009/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST /9 PM
CST/ THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/ WEDNESDAY...

ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY...THE BEST CHANCE
FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TONIGHT WITH UP TO AN ADDITIONAL 4 INCHES OF
SNOW BY TUESDAY EVENING.

ACROSS THE BLUEGRASS REGION...2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATION ARE EXPECTED BY TUESDAY MORNING WITH ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES
OF SNOW AND SLEET POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY EVENING.

FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS CENTRAL KENTUCKY...MAINLY A SNOW AND SLEET
MIXTURE IS ANTICIPATED. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TONIGHT WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES
ACCUMULATION ON TUESDAY EVENING.

UP TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE
BLUEGRASS REGION AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY TUESDAY EVENING.

USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVELING THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT AS UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK.
BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL ALSO DEVELOP SLICK SPOTS AND TRAVEL
MAY BECOME TREACHEROUS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY
HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 73
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#19 Postby Dave » Mon Jan 26, 2009 5:13 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
501 PM EST MON JAN 26 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER EVENT EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY...

A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT
WILL LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

INZ066-073-074-OHZ070>072-077-270615-
/O.UPG.KILN.WS.A.0003.090127T0300Z-090128T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KILN.WS.W.0003.090127T0300Z-090128T1700Z/
FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROOKVILLE...VERSAILLES...
LAWRENCEBURG...HAMILTON...LEBANON...WILMINGTON...CINCINNATI
501 PM EST MON JAN 26 2009

WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 12
PM EST WEDNESDAY...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM
EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO
TUESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TO LIGHT SNOW AND LIGHT
FREEZING DRIZZLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...ANOTHER WAVE OF PRECIPITATION
WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA TUESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BE A
MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...CHANGING TO ALL SNOW
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL THEN TAPER OFF TO SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL BE
POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING ALONG WITH ICE
ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH.

TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION FOR THE ENTIRE EVENT IS
EXPECTED TO BE 5 TO 8 INCHES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE
TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN
ALSO BE FOUND AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILN.


$$
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 73
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#20 Postby Dave » Tue Jan 27, 2009 3:28 am

Image

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0048
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 PM CST MON JAN 26 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...OZARK PLATEAU TO THE OH RIVER VALLEY

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION

VALID 270544Z - 271045Z

ONGOING ICE STORM WILL SPREAD EWD OVERNIGHT FROM NRN AR/SERN MO
TOWARDS SWRN WV. SLEET SHOULD REMAIN THE PREDOMINANT PTYPE FARTHER N
ACROSS SRN IL AND ALONG THE OH RIVER. WIDESPREAD LIQUID-EQUIVALENT
RATES OF 0.05 TO 0.15 IN/HR...LOCALLY APPROACHING 0.30 IN/HR WILL
RESULT IN CONTINUED SIGNIFICANT ICE/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS.

RECENT RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES E/NEWD EXPANSION OF LIGHT TO MODERATE
PRECIPITATION STRETCHING FROM E-CNTRL OK/NWRN AR TO SRN IND/WRN KY
AS OF 0530Z...POWERED BY STRONG LOW-LEVEL MOIST/WARM ADVECTION WITH
A 50-55 KT LLJ PER REGIONAL VAD PROFILERS. THIS TREND WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE THROUGH 12Z AS EVENING MODEL FORECASTS ARE CONSISTENT IN
SUGGESTING THAT MORE INTENSE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL BROADEN RESULTING
IN A LARGER AREA OF MORE STRONGLY FORCED ASCENT. THUS...OBSERVED
PRECIPITATION RATES FROM 0.05 TO 0.15 IN/HR SHOULD EXPAND E/NEWD AND
BE MAINTAINED ALONG THE WRN PORTION OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD.
WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY NOTED IN 00Z SGF/LZK RAOBS WILL SUPPORT
BURSTS OF HEAVIER CONVECTIVE RATES OF PRECIPITATION TO AROUND 0.30
IN/HR...AS NOTED IN 05Z FAYETTEVILLE AR METAR. PTYPE TRANSITION
LINES BETWEEN RAIN/FREEZING RAIN/SLEET/SNOW SHOULD GRADUALLY SHIFT
SLOWLY NWD GIVEN ONLY WEAK NEAR-SURFACE FLOW...AND THE COUNTERING
EFFECTS OF SATURATION DOWNSTREAM OF ONGOING PRECIPITATION VERSUS
LATENT HEAT RELEASE/DOWNWARD HEAT FLUX WHERE SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
ARE OCCURRING.

..GRAMS.. 01/27/2009

-------------------------------
Starting to plow the roads in towns across southeastern Indiana. Picture taken from a tower cam at Osgood Indiana Hyw Dept at 3:00 this morning. Looks like it's going to get worse before it gets better out here.

Image
0 likes   


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 36 guests