The 2009/10 North Texas Halloween Analog and Winter Outlook

[CaptinCrunch]

Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
330 PM CST MON FEB 8 2010

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-090600-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
330 PM CST MON FEB 8 2010

...COLD TONIGHT THEN WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH
TEXAS EARLY THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT WITH
NORTH WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH. ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION
WILL HAVE MOVED EAST OF THE AREA BY THE TIME TEMPERATURES FALL TO
BELOW FREEZING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
FALL TO BETWEEN 24 AND 29 DEGREES ACROSS MOST OF NORTH TEXAS...SO
ANY RESIDUAL WATER ON AREA ROADS WILL LIKELY FREEZE. PATCHY ICE IS
LIKELY TO FORM DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING
HOURS...MAKING ROADS SLICK. WIND CHILLS WILL BE IN THE LOW TEENS
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA BY MIDWEEK WHILE
TEMPERATURES REMAIN COLD ACROSS THE REGION. IT APPEARS AT THIS
TIME THAT SUFFICIENT MOISTURE WILL MOVE NORTHWARD IN ADVANCE OF
THIS SYSTEM FOR SNOWFALL TO OCCUR ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS
DURING THE DAY THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY EVENING. WHILE THERE IS
STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE SPEED AND TRACK OF THE EVOLVING
SYSTEM...WHICH COULD SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECT THE THERMAL PROFILE
FAVORABLE FOR SNOW PRODUCTION...OVERALL CONFIDENCE IN THIS STORM
SYSTEM IS INCREASING.

AREAS NORTH OF A KILLEEN TO WACO TO ATHENS LINE APPEAR TO HAVE
THE BEST CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWS DURING THE DAY THURSDAY.
TEMPERATURES AT THE SURFACE WILL BE AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING
AT THE ONSET OF THE EVENT...WHICH MEANS THAT SNOW WILL LIKELY MELT
INITIALLY...THEN ACCUMULATE AS HEAVIER BANDS DEVELOP. AT THIS TIME
IT APPEARS THAT ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT TRACK AND SPEED OF THIS SYSTEM COULD
SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION TOTALS.

RESIDENTS OF NORTH TEXAS AND MOTORISTS TRAVELING ACROSS THE
REGION ON THURSDAY SHOULD STAY INFORMED OF THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION AND FORECASTS BY VISITING OUR WEBSITE AT
http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FORTWORTH

[CaptinCrunch]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
403 AM CST TUE FEB 9 2010

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-091800-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
403 AM CST TUE FEB 9 2010

...WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA BY MIDWEEK BRINGING A
CHANCE FOR SNOW AND A WINTRY MIX WITH IT. WHILE THERE IS STILL
SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE SPEED AND TRACK OF THE EVOLVING
SYSTEM...WHICH COULD SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECT THE THERMAL PROFILE FOR
SNOW PRODUCTION...OVERALL CONFIDENCE IN THIS STORM SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO INCREASE. AS THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO FALL
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW
FREEZING...A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...A CHANGE
OVER TO ALL SNOW APPEARS HIGHLY POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY ON
THURSDAY NORTH OF A LINE FROM KILLEEN TO WACO TO ATHENS.

AREAS NORTH OF A KILLEEN TO WACO TO ATHENS LINE APPEAR TO HAVE
THE BEST CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWS DURING THE DAY THURSDAY.
TEMPERATURES AT THE SURFACE WILL BE AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING
AT THE ONSET OF THE EVENT...WHICH MEANS THAT SNOW WILL LIKELY MELT
INITIALLY...THEN ACCUMULATE AS HEAVIER BANDS DEVELOP. AT THIS TIME
IT APPEARS THAT ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT TRACK AND SPEED OF THIS SYSTEM COULD
SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION TOTALS.

SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS COULD OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AS TEMPERATURES
FALL BACK BELOW FREEZING. THIS COULD RESULT IN ICY ROAD
CONDITIONS DUE TO RESIDUAL WATER FREEZING ON THE ROADWAYS. ICY
ROADS WOULD LIKELY PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

RESIDENTS OF NORTH TEXAS AND MOTORISTS TRAVELING ACROSS THE
REGION ON THURSDAY SHOULD STAY INFORMED OF THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION AND FORECASTS BY VISITING OUR WEBSITE AT
http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FORTWORTH

[CaptinCrunch]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
139 PM CST MON FEB 22 2010

...A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS
FROM EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

TXZ100>104-115>122-230345-
/O.NEW.KFWD.WW.Y.0004.100223T0900Z-100224T0300Z/
YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-
DALLAS-ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAHAM...OLNEY...JACKSBORO...DECATUR...
BRIDGEPORT...DENTON...LEWISVILLE...FLOWER MOUND...THE COLONY...
PLANO...BRECKENRIDGE...MINERAL WELLS...WEATHERFORD...BRIAR...
FORT WORTH...ARLINGTON...DALLAS...ROCKWALL...TERRELL...KAUFMAN...
FORNEY...WILLS POINT...CANTON...GRAND SALINE...VAN...EDGEWOOD
139 PM CST MON FEB 22 2010

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM CST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM
CST TUESDAY.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN FALLING OVER NORTH TEXAS...MAINLY WEST
OF INTERSTATE 35 EARLY TUESDAY BEFORE SPREADING ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION DURING THE DAY. SNOWFALL TOTALS ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM A TRACE TO 2 INCHES WITH
HIGHER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS LIKELY NEAR INTERSTATE 20. SNOWFALL IS
EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH SNOWFALL ENDING ACROSS THE ENTIRE ADVISORY AREA
TUESDAY EVENING.

AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR OR JUST ABOVE
FREEZING THROUGH THE EVENT SO MOST ROADWAYS WILL PICK UP A SLUSHY
ACCUMULATION. DURING PERIODS OF MODERATE SNOWFALL ROADWAYS MAY
ACCUMULATE SNOWFALL QUICKLY CREATING HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

[CaptinCrunch]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
139 PM CST MON FEB 22 2010

...A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS
FROM EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

TXZ100>104-115>122-230345-
/O.NEW.KFWD.WW.Y.0004.100223T0900Z-100224T0300Z/
YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-
DALLAS-ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAHAM...OLNEY...JACKSBORO...DECATUR...
BRIDGEPORT...DENTON...LEWISVILLE...FLOWER MOUND...THE COLONY...
PLANO...BRECKENRIDGE...MINERAL WELLS...WEATHERFORD...BRIAR...
FORT WORTH...ARLINGTON...DALLAS...ROCKWALL...TERRELL...KAUFMAN...
FORNEY...WILLS POINT...CANTON...GRAND SALINE...VAN...EDGEWOOD
139 PM CST MON FEB 22 2010

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM CST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM
CST TUESDAY.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN FALLING OVER NORTH TEXAS...MAINLY WEST
OF INTERSTATE 35 EARLY TUESDAY BEFORE SPREADING ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION DURING THE DAY. SNOWFALL TOTALS ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM A TRACE TO 2 INCHES WITH
HIGHER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS LIKELY NEAR INTERSTATE 20. SNOWFALL IS
EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH SNOWFALL ENDING ACROSS THE ENTIRE ADVISORY AREA
TUESDAY EVENING.

AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR OR JUST ABOVE
FREEZING THROUGH THE EVENT SO MOST ROADWAYS WILL PICK UP A SLUSHY
ACCUMULATION. DURING PERIODS OF MODERATE SNOWFALL ROADWAYS MAY
ACCUMULATE SNOWFALL QUICKLY CREATING HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

Snowfall amounts will be in the 3 to 4 inche range along and south of I-20 with 1 to 3 in the area north or I-30 on tuesday. Expect side streets to become hazardous to drive on and hwys to be wet and slick with light slush accumulations.

[CaptinCrunch]

It's official: North Texas had one of the snowiest winter seasons on record.

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth reported today that North Texas got 17.1 inches of snow this cold season, ranking it No. 2 behind the 1977-78 season which got 17.6 inches.

Of course, this weekend's dusting of snow helped the 2009-10 total. Dallas/Fort Worth Airport recorded 1.2 inches of snow on Saturday, which shattered the old record of 0.4 inches established on March 20, 1970. An additional 0.1 inches of snow earlier today brought the weekend total to 1.3 inches.

Yes, spring did arrive on Saturday, but meteorologist Dan Shoemaker said today that the NWS observations are not based on the calendar, but on the more loosely defined season.

So if North Texas gets snow in the next few days, that will be considered still part of the winter season by NWS standards, he said. But he said the 10-day outlook for North Texas isn't calling for snow.

"I'm 90 percent sure we're done," Shoemaker said. "I wouldn't say 100 percent."

North Texas has seen a late March snow in the past. The last time an inch or more fell on North Texas was March 29, 1937, when 2 inches fell



Read more: http://www.star-telegram.com/2010/03/21 ... z0iubHSXis

[CaptinCrunch]

This makes the "North Texas Halloween Analogy" correct again for the 8th straight winter season, can't wait till Halloween 2010.....

Yall have a great summer!!!

Christopher,