Winter 2010-11 for the Southern Plains

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
TwisterFanatic
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1041
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:43 pm
Location: Sallisaw, Oklahoma

#901 Postby TwisterFanatic » Fri Feb 04, 2011 1:58 pm

I'm approaching 8 INCHES! Unreal snow rates today. 2" an hour easily.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Extremeweatherguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 11095
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
Location: Houston, TX

#902 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Feb 04, 2011 2:07 pm

Yeah, it looks like you guys are getting quite the snowfall over there today. 8 inches is definitely a lot of snow!

It's not quite as crazy here today. Mostly just a non-stop light to moderate snow. I haven't measured, but based on the looks of things, I would estimate that we've probably picked up a good 1-2 inches so far. It looks like the bands are back-building somewhat too, so we have more on the way. I could see us easily receiving another 1-2 inches before it is all said and done. Not bad considering the original forecast for today called for only a light dusting.
0 likes   

User avatar
wx247
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14279
Age: 40
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
Location: Monett, Missouri
Contact:

#903 Postby wx247 » Fri Feb 04, 2011 2:22 pm

Snowing here, too, with 1-3" now forecasted.

Twister: Congrats on the snow!
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
TwisterFanatic
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1041
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:43 pm
Location: Sallisaw, Oklahoma

Re:

#904 Postby TwisterFanatic » Fri Feb 04, 2011 2:51 pm

wx247 wrote:Snowing here, too, with 1-3" now forecasted.

Twister: Congrats on the snow!


I got to much now. :lol:
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

natecast
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 18
Joined: Mon Jan 31, 2011 7:58 pm
Location: NW OKC/Edmond

Re: Winter 2010-11 for the Southern Plains

#905 Postby natecast » Fri Feb 04, 2011 4:41 pm

Discussion from NWS Norman regarding the potential winter storm middle of next week.

THE 12Z GFS REPRESENTS ONE
EXTREME...WITH A VERY EARLY ARRIVAL OF COLD AIR AND LITTLE
AMPLIFICATION OF THE UPPER WAVE...WHILE THE 12Z ECMWF REPRESENTS
ANOTHER EXTREME...WITH THE SURFACE AND UPPER FEATURES ACTING IN
CONCERT TO GENERATE A STRONG WINTER STORM. WITH THE GFS TENDENCY TO
MOVE SYSTEMS TOO QUICKLY...WE LEANED CLOSER TO THE ECMWF IN
SPREADING HIGH CHANCE POPS AND GREATER WIND SPEEDS INTO WEDNESDAY.
FOLLOWING THE ARCTIC FRONT...REGARDLESS OF THE INTENSITY OF
SNOWFALL...THE COLD AIR IS LIKELY REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE END OF
NEXT WEEK. AGAIN...THE STORM MAY COME INTO BETTER FOCUS OVER THIS
WEEKEND...BUT CERTAINLY BY MONDAY...AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES INLAND.
0 likes   

User avatar
wx247
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14279
Age: 40
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
Location: Monett, Missouri
Contact:

#906 Postby wx247 » Fri Feb 04, 2011 10:12 pm

New NAM shows nadda... hmm... wonder if this is a trend!
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5523
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

Re:

#907 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Feb 05, 2011 1:47 am

wx247 wrote:New NAM shows nadda... hmm... wonder if this is a trend!

For the storm next wednesday? It doesnt even go out that far, but at hour 84 it looks like the storm is out in the western US
0 likes   

User avatar
wx247
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14279
Age: 40
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
Location: Monett, Missouri
Contact:

Re: Re:

#908 Postby wx247 » Sat Feb 05, 2011 5:51 am

cheezyWXguy wrote:
wx247 wrote:New NAM shows nadda... hmm... wonder if this is a trend!

For the storm next wednesday? It doesnt even go out that far, but at hour 84 it looks like the storm is out in the western US


No, I was referring to the system coming in tomorrow. Local NWS offices have us at between 50-80% chance of precip, but the NAM prints out next to nothing. I am hoping the 12z changes its tune.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

natecast
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 18
Joined: Mon Jan 31, 2011 7:58 pm
Location: NW OKC/Edmond

Re: Winter 2010-11 for the Southern Plains

#909 Postby natecast » Sat Feb 05, 2011 5:48 pm

Latest run of the GFS (18z) shows a very wide swath of 6-10 inches of snow across OK from Tue-Wed PM, with accumulating snow as far south as DFW. Even gives the Red River counties of Texas upwards of 6 inches of snow. Here we go again! :double:
0 likes   

BlueIce
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 194
Age: 35
Joined: Mon Sep 01, 2008 10:05 pm
Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma

Re: Winter 2010-11 for the Southern Plains

#910 Postby BlueIce » Sat Feb 05, 2011 6:20 pm

natecast wrote:Latest run of the GFS (18z) shows a very wide swath of 6-10 inches of snow across OK from Tue-Wed PM, with accumulating snow as far south as DFW. Even gives the Red River counties of Texas upwards of 6 inches of snow. Here we go again! :double:


I haven't looked at any model data from the CMC or the Euro but if the GFS is still hinting at a decent storm I am sure the other models will start to verify. I'm going to check out the OUN FA discussion and see what their thoughts are on the system.
0 likes   

User avatar
Extremeweatherguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 11095
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
Location: Houston, TX

#911 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Feb 06, 2011 12:34 pm

It looks like another high-impact winter weather event is on the way for midweek. Several more inches are possible on top of what has already been a record-snowiest February for Oklahoma City and surrounding areas..

Image

Image

GFS Snowfall amounts: http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overla ... TIONID=TLX

NAM snowfall amounts: http://wxcaster.com/gis-snow-overlays.p ... TIONID=TLX
0 likes   

kmc8264
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 21
Joined: Thu Jan 27, 2011 7:42 pm

Re: Winter 2010-11 for the Southern Plains

#912 Postby kmc8264 » Sun Feb 06, 2011 2:16 pm

That's not looking very good for schools on Wed. Maybe it will miss SW OK.
0 likes   

User avatar
TwisterFanatic
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1041
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:43 pm
Location: Sallisaw, Oklahoma

#913 Postby TwisterFanatic » Sun Feb 06, 2011 7:06 pm

Winter Storm Watch for all of Western Oklahoma including the OKC area.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138883
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re:

#914 Postby cycloneye » Sun Feb 06, 2011 7:19 pm

TwisterFanatic wrote:Winter Storm Watch for all of Western Oklahoma including the OKC area.


URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
532 PM CST SUN FEB 6 2011

OKZ004>044-046-TXZ083>085-070745-
/O.NEW.KOUN.WS.A.0002.110209T0000Z-110210T0000Z/
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
CARTER-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ALVA...CHEROKEE...MEDFORD...
PONCA CITY...ARNETT...WOODWARD...FAIRVIEW...ENID...PERRY...
CHEYENNE...TALOGA...WEATHERFORD...CLINTON...WATONGA...
KINGFISHER...GUTHRIE...STILLWATER...ELK CITY...SAYRE...CORDELL...
ANADARKO...YUKON...EL RENO...MUSTANG...OKLAHOMA CITY...CHANDLER...
CHICKASHA...PURCELL...NORMAN...MOORE...SHAWNEE...SEMINOLE...
HOLDENVILLE...HOLLIS...MANGUM...HOBART...ALTUS...FREDERICK...
LAWTON...DUNCAN...PAULS VALLEY...SULPHUR...ADA...COALGATE...
WALTERS...ARDMORE...QUANAH...CHILLICOTHE...CROWELL...VERNON
532 PM CST SUN FEB 6 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* TIMING: FROM TUESDAY EVENING UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* MAIN IMPACT: SNOWFALL AMOUNTS 4 TO 8 INCHES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

KEEP UP WITH THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...ESPECIALLY IF YOU
PLAN TO TRAVEL.

&&

$$
WR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
TwisterFanatic
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1041
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:43 pm
Location: Sallisaw, Oklahoma

#915 Postby TwisterFanatic » Sun Feb 06, 2011 10:23 pm

NAM is wanting to pound Oklahoma again with over a foot of snow.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

kmc8264
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 21
Joined: Thu Jan 27, 2011 7:42 pm

Re: Winter 2010-11 for the Southern Plains

#916 Postby kmc8264 » Sun Feb 06, 2011 10:28 pm

What part of OK?
0 likes   

User avatar
TwisterFanatic
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1041
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:43 pm
Location: Sallisaw, Oklahoma

#917 Postby TwisterFanatic » Sun Feb 06, 2011 11:01 pm

Northeast OK

EDIT: Pretty much the entire northern half of Oklahoma actually.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Peanut432
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 119
Joined: Mon Jan 25, 2010 10:21 pm
Location: Hollis Ok

Re: Winter 2010-11 for the Southern Plains

#918 Postby Peanut432 » Sun Feb 06, 2011 11:24 pm

GFS shows less moisture but still a pretty good snow storm for the western half of OK through 72 hours. Wasn't there some sort of recon or better sampling for the 00z run?
0 likes   

User avatar
TwisterFanatic
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1041
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:43 pm
Location: Sallisaw, Oklahoma

#919 Postby TwisterFanatic » Mon Feb 07, 2011 12:44 am

I think the GFS is under doing the moisture. I also think the NAM might be slightly too high with it.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21470
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Winter 2010-11 for the Southern Plains

#920 Postby Ntxw » Mon Feb 07, 2011 1:29 am

Euro has a lot of snow for OKC and -21.4c (-6) for a low Thurs morning!! Ouch...
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 50 guests