Official 2010/11 Denver - I hate La Nina Thread

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SCMedic
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#101 Postby SCMedic » Sat Mar 05, 2011 12:59 am

Looking like Tuesday could have a good heavy snow and blizzard conditions. Stay tuned.
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Re: Official 2010/11 Denver - I hate La Nina Thread

#102 Postby zephyr99 » Sat Mar 05, 2011 12:24 pm

Hope so, but I'm not counting on it. Drought and LaNina, the way it is this year. Already changed to 50% chance of snow showers. :sun:
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#103 Postby SCMedic » Sat Mar 05, 2011 1:58 pm

The wording on the HWO is a bit more aggressive than "showers". Looking quite likely at this point.
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Re: Official 2010/11 Denver - I hate La Nina Thread

#104 Postby zephyr99 » Sat Mar 05, 2011 10:32 pm

THE LATEST
THINKING INDICATES THAT A FAIRLY DECENT SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY...HOWEVER A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL DOES NOT LOOK AS LIKELY AS
IT DID YESTERDAY. WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY LOOK DRY WITH
TEMPERATURES WARM TO OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.

Pretty much sums up this disappointing winter. Hope we're not headed toward a serious drought. Looks like a very dry spring as well :(
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Re: Official 2010/11 Denver - I hate La Nina Thread

#105 Postby zephyr99 » Fri Mar 11, 2011 9:39 am

I don't think it's going to snow again this month. That would another record for March.
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#106 Postby SCMedic » Fri Mar 11, 2011 5:48 pm

Yup. We're about 3 weeks of dry weather from one of the top 5 least snowy winters of all time in Denver. :( This winter has really sucked.
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#107 Postby Scott Patterson » Mon Mar 14, 2011 9:59 pm

On the plus side, check out the snowpack numbers in CO:

ftp://ftp-fc.sc.egov.usda.gov/CO/Snow/s ... e_snow.pdf
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Re: Official 2010/11 Denver - I hate La Nina Thread

#108 Postby PTPatrick » Mon Mar 28, 2011 12:07 am

WORST. WINTER. EVER. I am so over this dryness and lack of snow. Praying for snow tomorrow or tuesday. Models had looked promising with this storm, but as usually backed off at the last minute. Even on the high side wont be more than 2 inches. DIA TOTAL for the year is a whopping 18.5 inches...normal for the end of March is 51. So if we get an inch and a half tomorrow will leave march 31 inches behind schedule.

On a side note...the winter of 02-03 was shaping up like this. We had about 17 inches leading up to the blizzard in march that dumped 35 inches. I kinda wish that would happen again.

On average we still have about 10 inches of "normal" snow left for april and may. if some how we can scrape together another 10 inches by June...we would still probably be in the top 10 least snowy. If we get nothing else, it will have been the least snowy winter ever, beating 1889-1889 which had 20.8

To be fair I have recorded a good bit more than DIA this year...at least 30 inchs total... So I still gotta say, if they still took measurements here downtown, the snow numbers wouldn't look so scary. leaving march with about 30 inches of snow, in the past when measuremnts have been down here...isnt THAT big of a deal. In the past 120 year there have been 26 winters with 40 inches or less of snow...at least 6 I could find had less than 30. In that perspective, its dry but probably not record breaking...but since records are now at DIA, it probably will be.
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Re: Official 2010/11 Denver - I hate La Nina Thread

#109 Postby SCMedic » Tue Mar 29, 2011 10:11 pm

I'm going to go out on an early spring limb here...

Sunday/Monday has big spring storm potential. Lots of moisture, good upslope and cold air on the ECMF, GFS brings it in later in the storm. The way this winter has gone, I'm not holding out hope, but the bad weather lover in me has his fingers crossed.
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Re: Official 2010/11 Denver - I hate La Nina Thread

#110 Postby PTPatrick » Fri Apr 01, 2011 7:33 pm

Models seem to be convening on much lower precip for this sundays storm...they have been all week. Def doesnt look like an April bllizzard in the making...but perhaps a nice april slush storm. QPF looking like .5-.75 nam, .25-.5 GFS...NAM just seems a bit slow with it. Eitherway, expect some accumulation. Todays discuss says ground is warm...def will be warm by tomorrow. If we can get 5 inches to stick I think I would surprised...more likely 2-3 down in these parts. THat might be enough to give of a few days worth of no fires...and maybe put out any fires that start tonight or tomorrow...did I mention tomorrow looks dry, windy and toasty? bonfire in the foothills anyone?
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Re: Official 2010/11 Denver - I hate La Nina Thread

#111 Postby Dencolo » Sun Apr 03, 2011 6:03 pm

From nearly 80 degrees on the SW side of town this morning to heavy snow. April in Colorado is always interesting.

Couple inches on elevated surfaces, like patios etc. Grass has an inch or so. Still coming down. At least the moisture will drop the fire danger over the next few days.
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