Major East Coast Snowstorm this Weekend?

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frigidice77

Re: Re:

#21 Postby frigidice77 » Thu Dec 16, 2010 10:43 pm

Stephanie wrote:
frigidice77 wrote:These snowstorms are always bust. Not being negative I personally wouldnt count on it happening. :double:


You need to back up your "predictions" with support like NWS data, models, etc. This maybe your opinion but we have a lot of people that come to this website for information and not wishcasting.

When I get on the NWS website my images appear to small so I really cant see the info.
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#22 Postby psyclone » Thu Dec 16, 2010 11:47 pm

this could be a biggie for the northeast. interesting to watch unfold for sure. as for a white christmas in PA, your best shot will be in Erie and Crawford counties in the northwest part of the state as well as the higher terrain. Lake Erie frequently delivers the goods in the northwest part of the state. Corry Pa (CLE CWA) reported a snow depth this morning of 42 inches! Good luck to our friends in the northeast hoping for a pre christmas snowstorm...you may get a very white christmas if things come together right.
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Re: Re:

#23 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Dec 16, 2010 11:52 pm

frigidice77 wrote:
Stephanie wrote:
frigidice77 wrote:These snowstorms are always bust. Not being negative I personally wouldnt count on it happening. :double:


You need to back up your "predictions" with support like NWS data, models, etc. This maybe your opinion but we have a lot of people that come to this website for information and not wishcasting.

When I get on the NWS website my images appear to small so I really cant see the info.

As she said, you need to back up your predictions with verifiable information. If you can't see the NWS info then you need to find another/other sources.
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Re: Major East Coast Snowstorm this Weekend?

#24 Postby wxman57 » Fri Dec 17, 2010 9:08 am

It's looking like the heavy snow will miss the big cities of the East Coast (DC/NY). Could be some heavy snow over eastern MA (into Boston) Sunday/Monday and along the coast of Maine. But it appears this storm system will be just a bit too far offshore for a major East U.S. storm.

Update: 12Z GFS keeps almost all of the snow well off the East U.S. Coast this weekend.
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Re: Major East Coast Snowstorm this Weekend?

#25 Postby cycloneye » Fri Dec 17, 2010 3:54 pm

Today's 12z ECMWF is like GFS,well offshore the coast.

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Re: Major East Coast Snowstorm this Weekend?

#26 Postby WeatherLovingDoc » Fri Dec 17, 2010 6:58 pm

I am happy to see no probable mid NE major hit on Sunday or Monday. Too chaotic a time on the roads, teens finishing up their classes and don't need loss of electricity and heat. Now Christmas Eve and Day and thereafter, bring (some of) it on. I'll stay tuned, however. Thank you for taking the time to update and Happy Holidays everyone.
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Re: Major East Coast Snowstorm this Weekend?

#27 Postby cpdaman » Sat Dec 18, 2010 3:55 pm

sref's and 18z nam trending more NW....getting decent precip shield into Eastern SNE....esp bos-pvd SE'ward

must follow this trend.

cause 5H maps would usually have a low in a better positiion than most globals indicate.

and there's always a chaotic time on the road and what not someone driving somewhere or there.....kids...adults or someone's brother sister....but i want a snow bomb.
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Re: Major East Coast Snowstorm this Weekend?

#28 Postby Nimbus » Sat Dec 18, 2010 4:50 pm

i want a snow bomb


Maybe later in the week if the first low moves offshore. The long term forecast is suggesting another chance for a northeaster next Saturday.
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Re: Major East Coast Snowstorm this Weekend?

#29 Postby Stephanie » Sat Dec 18, 2010 7:25 pm

A White Christmas would be wonderful, but I'd be afraid for the travelers then as well.
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Re: Major East Coast Snowstorm this Weekend?

#30 Postby ronjon » Sun Dec 19, 2010 8:25 am

PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
400 AM EST SUN DEC 19 2010

VALID 12Z THU DEC 23 2010 - 12Z SUN DEC 26 2010


...INCREASING CHANCES FOR A MAJOR WINTER STORM FROM THE MIDWEST TO
THE EAST COAST TOWARD CHRISTMAS...

USED THE 00Z ECMWF FOR THE PRELIMINARY FRONTS AND PRESSURES FOR
DAYS 3 THROUGH 7. THE 00Z ECMWF WAS IN PHENOMENALLY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE GFS WITH THE TRACK AND RELATIVE INTENSITY OF
THE MAJOR WAVE TRACKING ACROSS THE MIDWEST DAY 5 TO OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST DAY 7. FURTHERMORE...THE 00Z/19 GEFS MEAN IS VERY
CLOSE TO THE 12Z/18 ECENS MEAN WITH THE SAME SYSTEM...ADDITIONALLY
PARTICULARLY ROBUST SUPPORT. USED THE ECMWF SINCE ITS DETAILS
TEND TO VERIFY BETTER IN THE MEDIUM RANGE...WHICH MAY HELP TO SORT
OUT THE NOISY SHORTWAVE ENERGY RESURGING INTO THE WEST THIS
PERIOD.
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