Perhaps this interesting comment (in bold) qualifies for the "Talkin' Tropics" thread, too (lol), though it shows how an unexpected weather event can cause even short-term model forecasts to be incorrect:
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
122 PM EST WED JAN 26 2011
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKS FROM THE CAROLINA COAST TO THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST TODAY. THIS LOW WILL INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS
IT CONTINUES MOVING NORTHEAST...PASSING EAST OF CAPE COD ON
TONIGHT AND INTO THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FOR FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY A WEAK ALBERTA CLIPPER PASSING BY
ON SATURDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
WHOLESALE UPDATE TO NEAR TERMS GRIDS TO ACCOUNT FOR MUCH QUICKER
DEVELOPMENT OF HEAVY PRECIP. LIKELY CAUSE FOR POOR MODEL HANDLING
WAS DUE TO PROLIFIC CONVECTION OVER THE GULF...INTERRUPTING MODEL
HANDLING OF SUB TROPICAL MOISTURE FEED.
NWS Discussion Comment
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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