Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

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angelwing
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Re:

#101 Postby angelwing » Tue Jan 21, 2014 7:57 am

Bizzles wrote:I think the mets have been down playing this one. ABC is at 5-10, NBC started at 5 am w/ 8 inches (by 8pm). NWS went up 3 inches over night (see above). And the latest NWS forecast for my area is 3-7 total daytime accumulation + another "new accumulation total" of 3-7 inches for tonight. Which means...I'm assuming...that NWS is forecasting the potential for 14 inches! :cheesy:

On the bad side...Wednesday & Thursday nights...single digits :froze:

I was surprised when I saw the sat images this morning, this lil guy is turning into something fierce!



I don;'t bother with ABC, NBC, even KYW was not giving out these amounts, I follow a couple of real good mets on facebook, they've been dead on!
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#102 Postby Bizzles » Tue Jan 21, 2014 8:06 am

NAM and GFS both have me @ 12-14.5 in
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#103 Postby angelwing » Tue Jan 21, 2014 9:35 am

Image
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#104 Postby angelwing » Tue Jan 21, 2014 3:11 pm

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-NJZ016>020-026-027-PAZ070-071-101-102-
104-212130-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...
CENTREVILLE...EASTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...
CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...
HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...
NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE
306 PM EST TUE JAN 21 2014

...AREAS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES TO SIGNIFICANTLY
IMPACT MUCH OF THE REGION...

AT 300 PM, NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND SURFACE
REPORTS CONTINUED TO INDICATE AREAS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. THE MOVEMENT OF THESE ENHANCED AREAS OF
SNOW IS GENERALLY TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST.

SNOWFALL RATES WITHIN THESE ENHANCED AREAS OF SNOW ARE 1 TO AS
MUCH AS 2 INCHES PER HOUR. THIS IS RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. THE VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED
TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS DURING TIMES OF HEAVIER SNOW.

DUE TO THE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS, STAY OFF THE ROADS IF POSSIBLE.
IF YOU MUST TRAVEL, DRIVE SLOWLY AND USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE SURE TO
LEAVE PLENTY OF ROOM BETWEEN YOUR VEHICLE AND THE ONE AHEAD OF
YOU.
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#105 Postby Stephanie » Tue Jan 21, 2014 8:41 pm

The snow started earlier than they thought. By about 9:30 it was snowing in Philadelphia. By 10:30 I left for home. I'm in the 12+ inch swath. I went out at about 5:00 pm to shovel. There was about 6 or 7 inches blowing around then. Lots of digging tomorrow.
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#106 Postby Bizzles » Tue Jan 21, 2014 11:29 pm

just measured during the "lull" 12.5 - 13 and it's just started again! thinking 15 by day break w/ big drifts!
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#107 Postby Stephanie » Wed Jan 22, 2014 8:27 pm

I'll say we received about a foot of snow in my yard, but it was hard to tell because of the drifting. Even though the temperature only went into the mid teens, the sun was nice and bright, so it wasn't too bad being outside shoveling, even with the wind. My face did feel frozen when I came inside. It was a light and fluffy snow and the sun did help to melt some areas that I spread salt on. Back to work tomorrow.
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#108 Postby Bizzles » Thu Jan 23, 2014 10:45 am

Flurries tonight, another 1 inch Saturday, and the GFS has another clipper dumping 6-12" across our area in the Monday-Wednesday time frame. Temps don't go above freezing til late next week. Gonna be a fun couple of days!!!
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#109 Postby Bizzles » Fri Jan 24, 2014 8:45 am

NWS has dropped any accum for Monday's Clipper...BUT check out the highlighted comment below...might wanna keep an eye on this one!

000
FXUS61 KPHI 241125
AFDPHI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
625 AM EST FRI JAN 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE DOMINANT WEATHER
FEATURE INTO NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH, A FEW WEAK SYSTEMS WILL
CROSS THE AREA BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT SNOW. LOW PRESSURE IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN CANADA ON SATURDAY, WITH ITS
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT CROSSING OUR AREA. FROM LATE SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY, MORE LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE
NORTHEAST, SENDING ANOTHER COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR REGION. ARCTIC
HIGH PRESSURE THEN RE-ESTABLISHES ITSELF FOR THE REMAINDER OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
SNOW SHOWERS HAVE CLEARED OUT OF THE REGION. FEW CLOUDS EVEN
REMAIN IN THE REGION. MPO WITHIN THE LAST TWO HOURS HAS BEEN IN
WIND CHILL ADVISORY CRITERIA. THE LATEST WIND CHILL READING THERE
WAS -19. THUS...THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY LOOKS TO BE IN GOOD
SHAPE.

FOR TODAY...IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT WHICH MOVED THROUGH
YESTERDAY...CONTINENTAL ARCTIC AIR MASS IS ENTRENCHED OVER THE
REGION. EXPECT CLEARING SKIES...BUT STILL COLDER CONDITIONS. HIGHS
TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE 20 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...GENERALLY
IN THE TEENS...WITH 20S POSSIBLE ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY/...
TONIGHT WINDS WILL BEGIN TO RAMP UP AS THE NEXT LOW APPROACHES THE
REGION LEADING TO AN INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND LOW
LEVEL HEIGHT GRADIENT. NAM AND GFS ARE IN SOME DISAGREEMENT AS TO HOW
QUICKLY THE TROUGH WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION. THE MORE PROGRESSIVE
GFS SHOWS PRECIPITATION BEGINNING AS EARLY AS TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT
IN THE POCONOS...WHILE THE NAM HOLDS OFF ON PRECIP THROUGH THIS
PERIOD. GIVEN HOW PROGRESSIVE THE PATTERN HAS BEEN...HAVE INCLUDED
MENTION OF SNOW BEGINNING 09Z...CONFINED TO EASTERN PA.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
CONTINUED WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE MAIN STORY
THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD.

AT THE START OF THE PD, ON SAT AN AREA OF LOW PRES WILL BE MOVG
ACRS SRN CANADA AND ITS ATTENDANT CDFNT WILL BE APPROACHING FROM
THE W. THIS FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION DURG THE DAY SAT AND WILL
TRIGGER SOME SNOW SHOWERS. QPF IS LIMITED, BUT THE GROUND IS VERY
COLD AND WHATEVER FALLS WILL STICK. THE MAJORITY OF THE QPF AND
SNOW ARE N AND W OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR WHERE 1-2 INCHES IS PSBL. AS
THIS LOW INTENSIFIES OVER THE CAN MARITIMES, IT WILL GET A BIT
BREEZY SAT NIGHT INTO EARLY SUN AS THE PGRAD BETWEEN THE LOW AND
HIGH PRES TO THE SW INCREASES.

THAT AREA OF HIGH PRES WILL BUILD IN FOR LATER SAT AND MOST OF SUN
BRINGING ANOTHER COLD BUT DRY DAY.

THEN, YET ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE ACRS SERN CAN SUN NIGHT AND ITS
ASSOCD CDFNT WILL CROSS THE REGION ERLY MON. THIS LOW, ANOTHER
ALBERTA CLIPPER SYSTEM HAS EVEN LESS MOISTURE WITH IT AND WILL BE
WEAKER, BUT COULD STILL BRING SOME SNOW MAINLY TO THE NRN THIRD OF
THE REGION. ANY ACCUMS WOULD BE LIGHTER THAN THE SAT EVENT.

BEHIND THIS LOW, A HUGE ARCTIC (ALMOST 1050 MB) HIGH BUILDS ACRS
THE CNTRL CONUS FROM CANADA. THIS WILL BE THE DOMINANT WX FEATURE
FOR MOST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. IT WILL BRING A REINFORCING SHOT OF
EXTREMELY COLD AIR AND SHOULD KEEP MOST, IF NOT ALL OF THE PD
PRECIP FREE.

THERE IS ONE POTENTIAL FLY IN THE OINTMENT, HOWEVER. ALL OF THE
MDLS DEVELOP A LOW OFF THE SERN CST AROUND WED. THEY THEN MOVE
THIS LOW NEWD. THE VAST MAJORITY OF THEM KEEP THE LOW WELL OFF THE
COAST WITH NO IMPACT ON OUR WX. THE ECMWF THOUGH HAS A SLIGHTLY
MORE WWD TRACK AND BRINGS A GLANCING BLOW TO OUR ERN LOCATIONS ON
WED. THE TREND SO FAR THIS WINTER (AS EVERYONE CAN SEE BY LOOKING
OUT THEIR WINDOWS) IS FOR A MORE WWD TRACK TO VERIFY AND GENLY FOR
A MORE WWD PROGRESSION WITH TIME. NOW, THE UPR AIR PATN IS A LOT
MORE PROGRESSIVE THIS TIME AND WITH SUCH A LARGE HIGH TO THE W OF
THE LOW, A WWD TRACK MAY NOT HAPPEN, BUT SOMETIMES A PERSISTENCE
FCST ENDS UP BEING THE BEST FCST. SO, WILL INTRODUCE SOME LOW POPS
IN OUR ERN AREAS, AND KEEP AN EYE ON THIS ONE. OF COURSE, THE
ECMWF IS OFTEN ONE OF THE BETTER MDLS AS WELL.


THU IS DRY EVEN IN THE ECMWF SCENARIO.

TEMPS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NRML. SOME OF THE MORE OPTIMISTIC
GUIDANCE SAYS MANY AREAS WILL GET TO OR ABOVE FREEZING ON SAT,
WHILE THE MORE PESSIMISTIC GUID INDICATES MOST AREA WILL NOT. SUN
IS A RETURN TO THE FREEZER. THEN ALL GUID INDICATES MANY
LOCATIONS WOULD GET A DECENT SHOT AT ABV FREEZING TEMPS ON MON
BEFORE A RETURN TO THE DEEP FREEZE ON TUE AND WED. THE GUID IS
IMPLYING THAT THERE COULD BE SOME MODERATION BY NEXT WEEKEND. I
WONDER WHAT THE GROUNDHOG WILL HAVE TO SAY ABOUT ALL THIS?

&&
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#110 Postby angelwing » Fri Jan 24, 2014 7:24 pm

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
407 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ008-010-012>020-026-027-PAZ070-071-104-106-252115-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MORRIS-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
407 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PERIODS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH 1 TO 2 INCH ACCUMULATIONS
POSSIBLE LATE MORNING INTO THE EVENING. ICE COLD GROUND AND BELOW
FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL PERMIT SLIPPERY PAVEMENT TO DEVELOP.

ADDITIONALLY, VERY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH THE ONLY DAY ABOVE FREEZING BEING
MIDDAY MONDAY.

RIVER ICE WILL BE THICKENING AND INCREASING THIS COMING WEEK, WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW ICE JAMS AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING. WHERE
AND WHEN THESE WILL FORM ARE UNKNOWNS.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#111 Postby Stephanie » Sat Jan 25, 2014 8:22 pm

Hopefully that storm on Wednesday does stay out to sea. This year is reminding me of the winters of 2009/2010 & 2010/2011 with the "regular" snow storms dropping 20+ inches at a shot. Snow did not go away quickly, it hung around for a while. It wasn't as brutally cold though after each snowfall. I certainly hope that February provides us with a break.
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#112 Postby angelwing » Sun Jan 26, 2014 12:07 am

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1146 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-NJZ001-007-009-015>019-021-PAZ054-055-060>062-
070-071-101>106-260700-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-SUSSEX-WARREN-HUNTERDON-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CUMBERLAND-CARBON-
MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...
NEWTON...WASHINGTON...FLEMINGTON...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
MILLVILLE...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...
BETHLEHEM...EASTON...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...
OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...
POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...
MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
1146 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

...SNOW SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION...

AN AREA OF SNOW SHOWERS IS MOVING FROM THE SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY
TOWARDS THE DELAWARE RIVER VALLEY. THOUGH IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED FOR
ONLY AN HOUR OR LESS FOR ANY ONE LOCATION...VISIBILITIES BELOW A
HALF MILE...AND SNOW AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE WITH
SOME OF THE SHOWERS. IN ADDITION...GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE POCONOS. SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE
AFFECTED THROUGH 2 AM INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
PHILADELPHIA...MOUNT POCONO...AND TRENTON.

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING DRIVING
CONDITIONS. THESE SNOW SHOWERS COULD AFFECT INTERSTATES
95...80..78 AND THE PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE.

THE SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS.

$$

JOHNSON
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#113 Postby Bizzles » Wed Jan 29, 2014 11:01 am

Less than an inch overnight. Shame it didn't have time to turn farther west. My friend in the Barnegat area got 4+" but he's right on the bay.

Eyes setting to a possible storm mid next week...but models have it going too far North for us to see much of anything.
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#114 Postby angelwing » Wed Jan 29, 2014 12:13 pm

We got about the same here in Montgomery county, was a bit slippery though. I am watching to see what develops next Tuesday night also
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#115 Postby angelwing » Tue Feb 04, 2014 9:15 am

(We got 8 inches yesterday!!!)

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
345 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014

...ANOTHER WINTER STORM WITH SNOW AND ICE WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE
AREA LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

NJZ009-PAZ060>062-101>105-042100-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0005.140205T0600Z-140205T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0005.140205T0400Z-140205T1800Z/
HUNTERDON-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...READING...ALLENTOWN...
BETHLEHEM...EASTON...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE
345 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN, WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER
STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION LATE THIS EVENING AND
MAY FALL HEAVY AT TIMES. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET OVERNIGHT,
THEN CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION
SHOULD TAPER OFF DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS
AND REDUCED VISIBILITY LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE
ACCUMULATION OF SNOW IN ADDITION TO SIGNIFICANT ICING COULD VERY
WELL BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES, RESULTING IN POWER
OUTAGES. THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE WILL BE GREATLY IMPACTED.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS AROUND ONE HALF MILE DURING TIMES OF
HEAVIER SNOW.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TONIGHT, THEN RISING INTO THE
LOWER 30S WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW, SLEET, AND
ICE ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW THEN ICING, BE PREPARED
FOR POSSIBLE POWER OUTAGES.

&&

$$
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#116 Postby angelwing » Thu Feb 06, 2014 12:25 pm

Well I have power off and on at home. We had about 0.75 inches of ice :eek: PECO is still working with a bunch from other states including Canada!

2014-02-06 04:35:55 - Complex Emergency - USA

EDIS Code: CE-20140206-42593-USA
Date&Time: 2014-02-06 04:35:55 [UTC]
Continent: North-America
Country: USA
State/Prov.: State of Pennsylvania,
Location: Statewide,
City:
Event exciting : Snowstorm
Damage level:
Affected people: 580000
Not confirmed information!

Event location map
Description:
A coating of ice and slush took down power lines and trees, closed schools and snarled traffic in Pennsylvania on Wednesday, the latest insult in what has been a long winter of weather-related injury. About 586,000 customers were without power by late Wednesday night, down from a peak of 849,000 earlier in the day, Gov. Tom Corbett said in a briefing at the headquarters of the Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency outside Harrisburg. Corbett said he has signed a disaster emergency proclamation, freeing up state agencies to use all available resources and personnel. "People are going to have to have some patience at this point," Corbett said, warning that an overnight refreeze could cause more problems on the roads Thursday. PECO, which was working to restore power to more than 500,000 customers, warned that it could take until the weekend for some people get their electricity back. The storm piled up to a foot of new powder along the state's northern tier and coated the southeastern quadrant with a layer of ice that gave trees a picturesque, frosty sheen but brought down limbs and trees from Gettysburg to Philadelphia. Long stretches of the Pennsylvania Turnpike were under speed and trailer restrictions all morning, but those rules were lifted as the weather warmed and some melting began.rnrnA fatal crash shut down the turnpike in both directions outside Harrisburg for more than 13 hours, and turnpike officials also warned motorists to watch for fallen trees in eastern Pennsylvania. A crash involving a tractor-trailer and the Army women's basketball team charter bus, which had been scheduled to play Lehigh University in Bethlehem, sent more than a dozen players to local hospitals to be checked out for what officials said were non-life-threatening injuries. Several hospitals in the Philadelphia suburbs were running on backup power, forcing most to reschedule elective surgeries and outpatient procedures. Amtrak suspended its Philadelphia-to-Harrisburg service because of downed trees on wires and along tracks, with no estimate of when it would be restored. The Southeastern Pennsylvania Transportation Administration reported delays and some cancellations on its suburban routes and urged transit riders to use caution and delay commutes if possible until conditions improved. Customers at Weist Hardware in New Cumberland, across the river from Harrisburg, made a run on metal shovels, snow scrapers and the store's supply of 10-pound bags of ice melt. "We had a whole mountain high in the back, and that went in the last two days," said store owner Audrey Weist.rnrnIn Hamburg, the storm deposited a quick couple inches of snow and sleet, followed by a cold, persistent rain that coated tree branches, parked cars and other untreated surfaces in a layer of ice while turning roads slushy and slick. John Balthaser gunned his pickup as he plowed the parking lot of an RV dealership, trying to pick up a head of steam to push mounds of very heavy slush into a bank. "It just wants to push your truck all over," he said. "It's getting harder and harder to push as the rain comes on." Reading cafe owner Mark Hazer made a pit stop to get gas and characterized his commute to work this way: "It was wet, icy and dangerous." "I'd rather be home sleeping," Hazer said with a laugh, but "I gotta go to work, that's the thing." Philadelphia International Airport reported more than 100 cancelled flights early Wednesday but continued its normal operations with all four runways open. Many school districts announced delays or canceled classes entirely. Having lost power and with no heat in its dormitories, Villanova University shut down for the rest of the week and urged students to make arrangements to go home. Pittsburgh and surrounding areas were dealing with about three inches of snow, topped by ice created by freezing rains that began falling before dawn. Most roads were plowed and passable, though black ice was a consideration in spots as the freezing drizzle continued in spots as the morning rush hour began.
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Agnes 72, Gloria 85, Floyd 99, Irene 2011, TS Lee 2012, Sandy 2012

seahawkjd
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#117 Postby seahawkjd » Sun Feb 09, 2014 2:19 pm

From Morehead City NC (Eastern NC)

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 335 AM SUN...MODELS REMAIN IN POOR AGREEMENT FOR MUCH OF THE
PERIOD...THOUGH 00Z ECMWF SEEMS CLOSEST TO HPC IN PLACEMENT OF
SURFACE FEATURES THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY. HAVE USED MAINLY HPC FOR
SURFACE FEATURES AND WPC FOR POTENTIAL WINTER WEATHER TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT AND BECOME STATIONARY TO THE SOUTH MONDAY.
BROAD TROF MOVING OUT OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL
HELP FORM A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE FRONT IN THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF WITH A SECOND LOW JUST OFF THE GEORGIA COAST. THE
SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST DURING THE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH THE EXACT TRACK STILL UNCERTAIN. FOR THE LATEST
PUBLIC ZONES I HAVE GONE WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX BEGINNING TUESDAY
MORNING OVER THE SOUTHWEST COUNTIES. PRECIP WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD
DURING THE DAY. MOST GUIDANCE TEMPS LOOKED TOO WARM ON TUESDAY AND
USED LATEST ECMWF MOS NUMBERS FOR HIGHS...WHICH KEEPS MUCH OF THE
FORECAST AREA IN THE 32F-35F DEGREE RANGE EXCEPT ALONG THE SOUTH
COAST AND SOUTHERN OUTER BANKS. HAVE KEPT PRECIP ALL SNOW TUESDAY
AFTERNOON EXCEPT FOR A RAIN/SNOW MIX IN THE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS.
WHERE MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT IS IN FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR
TUESDAY NIGHT...ALL REMAIN BELOW THE ZERO DEGREES FROM THE GROUND
UP...SO AM FORECASTING ALL SNOW THROUGH THE AREA. WILL NOT PUT IN
ACCUMULATIONS IN THE ZONES THIS FAR AHEAD WITH SO MUCH UNCERTAINTY
BUT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SEVERAL INCHES ACCUMULATION FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE LOW WILL EXIT QUICKLY TO THE NORTHEAST
ON WEDNESDAY. SURFACE FLOW WILL BECOME WEST WITH A SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS WARM ABOVE FREEZING BELOW 850 MB DURING
THE DAY AND AM GOING WITH HIGHS AROUND 40 ON THE COASTAL PLAIN TO
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ON THE SOUTH COAST AND SOUTHERN OUTER
BANKS. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL PASS TO THE SOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY THEN OFF THE COAST ON FRIDAY. RESULTING TEMPS WILL WARM
NICELY...WITH HIGHS ON SATURDAY IN THE MID 50S AND AROUND 60 ON
SUNDAY. THE NEXT FRONT APPROACHES SATURDAY AND MOVES OFF THE COAST
SATURDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE LOOKS LIMITED AT THIS POINT AND HAVE
INCLUDED ONLY LOW CHANCE POPS.
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Gloria, Hugo, Emily, Bertha, Bonnie, Dennis (twice), Fran, Floyd, Isabel, Irene, Arthur, Matthew, Florence, Dorian (and many tropical storms and nor'easters).

seahawkjd
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#118 Postby seahawkjd » Sun Feb 09, 2014 2:20 pm

Does anyone have a good link for weather models? My Weatherbell sub ran out and I'm looking for alternatives.
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Gloria, Hugo, Emily, Bertha, Bonnie, Dennis (twice), Fran, Floyd, Isabel, Irene, Arthur, Matthew, Florence, Dorian (and many tropical storms and nor'easters).

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Re:

#119 Postby South Texas Storms » Sun Feb 09, 2014 2:29 pm

seahawkjd wrote:Does anyone have a good link for weather models? My Weatherbell sub ran out and I'm looking for alternatives.


Here's a few good ones:
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-area.php
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Re:

#120 Postby cycloneye » Sun Feb 09, 2014 2:30 pm

seahawkjd wrote:Does anyone have a good link for weather models? My Weatherbell sub ran out and I'm looking for alternatives.


Here is Levi Cowan model site that is a good one. He is upgrading the site but I can tell you is a good alternative to look for model runs.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/
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