Winter Storm Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
758 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013
DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ015>019-PAZ070-071-102-104-106-102100-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-131210T2200Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
758 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
* LOCATIONS...THE COUNTIES ADJACENT TO THE I-95 CORRIDOR IN
NORTHEAST MARYLAND...SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHWEST NEW
JERSEY.
* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOWFALL.
* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES.
* TIMING...IN PROGRESS AND LASTING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. THE
SNOW WILL TAPER OFF BETWEEN 230 PM AND 5 PM.
* IMPACTS...MODERATE TO SEVERE TRAVEL IMPACTS LATE THIS MORNING
AND MIDDAY. ICY ROADS REMAIN TONIGHT AFTER THE BRIEF SNOWSTORM
ENDS...SINCE TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AT OR BELOW FREEZING FROM
LATE TODAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK.
* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
* TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO AROUND 30 DURING THE SNOW.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
&&
$$
Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
000
FXUS61 KPHI 110854
AFDPHI
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
354 AM EST WED DEC 11 2013
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A RATHER COLD AIR AIRMASS CONTINUES ESPECIALLY THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY,
THEN A MESSY STORM LOOKS TO AFFECT OUR AREA OVER THE WEEKEND.
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP IS COMPRISED OF AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
FROM THE MIDWEST TO THE EAST INTO FRIDAY, THEN STARTS TO LIFT OUT AS
ENERGY FROM THE WEST SHIFTS EASTWARD. THE SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY IS
FORECAST TO EJECT EASTWARD AND RESULT IN A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES. THIS UPPER-LEVEL FEATURE MAY BECOME
INVOLVED WITH NORTHERN BRANCH ENERGY AMPLIFYING ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES, RESULTING IN A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW NEAR THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST DURING THE WEEKEND. AS COLD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND THEN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES, THE SETUP IS YET
AGAIN SHAPING UP TO BE A COLD AIR DAMMING EVENT AND POTENTIALLY
EVOLVING INTO MORE OF A DYNAMIC STORM. WHILE CONFIDENCE IS
INCREASING FOR A STORM TO OCCUR THIS WEEKEND, THE DETAILS STILL HAVE
TO BE DETERMINED WITH VARYING PRECIPITATION TYPES COMING INTO PLAY
ONCE AGAIN. IT APPEARS THAT A TROUGH THEN SETTLES INTO THE EAST FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH COLDER AIR SETTLING IN. WE USED A MODEL BLEND
APPROACH THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, THEN BLENDED IN SOME WPC
GUIDANCE WITH CONTINUITY THEREAFTER.
FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD BE EAST OF OUR
AREA TO START OUT THURSDAY, THEN A SECONDARY SURGE OF COLD AIR IS
FORECAST WITH INCREASING CAA. THIS APPEARS TO BE A GLANCING BLOW AT
LEAST AT 850 MB AS MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SOME WARMING FRIDAY AT
THIS LEVEL. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AXIS
GENERALLY SHIFTING TO OUR EAST. GIVEN THE DEEPENING CAA THURSDAY
ALONG WITH A TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT, FORECAST SOUNDINGS
INDICATE POTENTIALLY BRISK CONDITIONS. IT WILL BE A COLD DAY AND
WIND CHILL VALUES WILL ADD TO THE CHILL. AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
SLIDES TO OUR SOUTH FRIDAY AND OFF THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST,
AN ARCTIC FRONT LURKING TO OUR NORTH WILL TRY AND PRESS SOUTHWARD.
THIS IS ESPECIALLY NOTED AT 850 MB WITH A TIGHTENING THERMAL
GRADIENT FORECAST THAT IS ORIENTATED WEST TO EAST. STRONG SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CANADA AND INTO
NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS LOOKS TO START A COLD AIR DAMMING
SCENARIO DOWN INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION.
DESPITE THE COLD AIR, ONGOING LAKE EFFECT MAY END UP REMAINING
CLOSER TO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES ESPECIALLY AS THE FLOW LOOKS TO
BECOME MORE WESTERLY. WE CARRIED SOME MORE CLOUDS THURSDAY ACROSS
THE POCONO REGION. AS SOME WAA OCCURS FRIDAY ALOFT, CLOUDS LOOK TO
BE ON THE INCREASE AHEAD OF OUR NEXT IMPULSE. THIS IS SOUTHERN
STREAM ENERGY THAT MAY EVENTUALLY GET INVOLVED WITH AN INCOMING
AMPLIFYING NORTHERN STREAM. THEREFORE, AT LEAST SOME INCREASE IN
CLOUDS DURING FRIDAY AND ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT. IT APPEARS THAT ANY
PRECIPITATION STAYS TO OUR WEST AND SOUTHWEST PRIOR TO DAYBREAK
SATURDAY.
FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...A MESSY STORM LOOKS TO BE SETTING UP FOR
THIS TIME FRAME. THE MAIN TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE MODEL GUIDANCE WHILE THEY
AGREE A STORM WILL IMPACT THE AREA, THERE ARE DIFFERENCES WITH THE
THERMAL FIELDS. THERE APPEARS TO BE A BATTLE WITH THE AMOUNT OF COLD
AIR THAT REMAINS IN PLACE AND THE HANDLING OF THE ACTUAL ENERGY AS A
TRANSFER LOOKS TO OCCUR FROM A WEAK LOW NEAR THE OHIO VALLEY TO
WHAT BECOMES THE MAIN SURFACE LOW NEAR THE MID ATLANTIC COAST EARLY
SUNDAY. WHAT MAKES THIS A MORE CHALLENGING FORECAST IS THE INCLUSION
OF TRANSITIONING PRECIPITATION TYPES AS WARMING ALOFT OCCURS WHILE
COLDER AIR MAY GET STUCK AT THE SURFACE ESPECIALLY FARTHER INLAND.
SOME OF THE FORECAST SOUNDINGS PARTICULARLY NORTH AND WEST OF
INTERSTATE 95 INDICATE A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN, ESPECIALLY FROM
ABOUT THE LEHIGH VALLEY REGION ON NORTH AND WESTWARD. THERE IS A
STRONG SURFACE HIGH TO OUR NORTH THAT IS FORECAST TO SHIFT INTO
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES, AND THE LOW-LEVEL COLD AIR DAMMING DOES NOT
APPEAR TO BE AS STRONG AS THIS PAST SUNDAYS EVENT. WE ARE USING
CAUTION HERE GIVEN THAT LOW-LEVEL COLD AIR TENDS TO BE STUBBORN,
WHICH CAN BE ENHANCED AS A TRANSFER OCCURS. DESPITE THIS, THERE IS A
CONCERN THAT A PERIOD OF ICING MAY OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTHWEST ZONES
AS THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW REMAINS NORTHEAST, WHICH COULD BE PROLONGED AS
THE COASTAL SURFACE LOW DEEPENS ON ITS NORTHEASTWARD TRACK. WE
STARTED WITH THE TOP-DOWN METHOD USING THE GFS THERMAL FIELDS THEN
MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS. THIS RESULTED IN SOME MORE FREEZING
RAIN/SLEET NORTH AND WEST. OUR CONFIDENCE ON THIS IS ON THE LOWER
SIDE.
THIS WILL PROBABLY BE A QUICK MOVING SYSTEM GIVEN THE FLOW ALOFT
THAT IS FORECAST. WE ARE SEEING IN THE MODEL GUIDANCE THE THERMAL
GRADIENT ALOFT TIGHTENING SOME MORE AS THE SURFACE LOW SLIDES OFF
THE COAST AND STRENGTHENS. THIS TENDS TO INTRODUCE INCREASING
FRONTOGENETIC FORCING TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE SURFACE LOW AND THE
PRESENCE OF A DEFORMATION ZONE. WHILE IT IS WAY TO EARLY TO PINPOINT
THIS TYPE OF FEATURE RELATED TO STRENGTH, POSITIONING AND POSSIBLE
BANDING, THERE ARE SOME SIGNS. ALL OF THIS WILL PLAY A ROLE IN
CONJUNCTION WITH THE THERMAL PROFILES TO DETERMINE THE PRECIPITATION
TYPES. IT DOES APPEAR THOUGH THAT FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST AFTER AN
INITIAL SNOW OR SLEET POTENTIAL, PLAIN RAIN THEN OCCURS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO FORECAST A VARIETY OF PRECIPITATION TYPES ACROSS THE CWA
WITH THE BULK OF THE FROZEN/FREEZING PRECIPITATION NORTH AND WEST OF
THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR. THE POPS WERE INCREASED INTO THE
CATEGORICAL RANGE AS CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ENOUGH THAT IT WILL
PRECIPITATE, BUT LESSER CONFIDENCE REGARDING THE ACTUAL DETAILS. AS
MENTIONED, WE ADDED MORE FREEZING RAIN GIVEN THE WARMING ALOFT
FORECAST WHICH WOULD HINDER CRYSTAL GROWTH. THE AIRMASS IS FORECAST
TO BE RATHER DRY IN THE LOW LEVELS TO START, SO THIS PERHAPS COULD
LEAD TO MORE SNOW ON THE FRONT END FOR SOME AREAS. THE PRECIPITATION
SHOULD TAPER OFF SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SYSTEM MOVES AWAY.
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN MONDAY THEN SHIFTS
TO OUR NORTHEAST DURING TUESDAY. A CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM IS FORECAST
TO BE CRUISING FROM THE MIDWEST TO THE OHIO VALLEY MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. THIS COULD BRING SOME SNOW SHOWERS TO PARTS OF OUR AREA
LATE TUESDAY. OVERALL, NOT MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THIS TIME
FRAME.
&&
LONG TERM...GORSE
FXUS61 KPHI 110854
AFDPHI
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
354 AM EST WED DEC 11 2013
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A RATHER COLD AIR AIRMASS CONTINUES ESPECIALLY THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY,
THEN A MESSY STORM LOOKS TO AFFECT OUR AREA OVER THE WEEKEND.
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP IS COMPRISED OF AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
FROM THE MIDWEST TO THE EAST INTO FRIDAY, THEN STARTS TO LIFT OUT AS
ENERGY FROM THE WEST SHIFTS EASTWARD. THE SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY IS
FORECAST TO EJECT EASTWARD AND RESULT IN A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES. THIS UPPER-LEVEL FEATURE MAY BECOME
INVOLVED WITH NORTHERN BRANCH ENERGY AMPLIFYING ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES, RESULTING IN A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW NEAR THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST DURING THE WEEKEND. AS COLD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND THEN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES, THE SETUP IS YET
AGAIN SHAPING UP TO BE A COLD AIR DAMMING EVENT AND POTENTIALLY
EVOLVING INTO MORE OF A DYNAMIC STORM. WHILE CONFIDENCE IS
INCREASING FOR A STORM TO OCCUR THIS WEEKEND, THE DETAILS STILL HAVE
TO BE DETERMINED WITH VARYING PRECIPITATION TYPES COMING INTO PLAY
ONCE AGAIN. IT APPEARS THAT A TROUGH THEN SETTLES INTO THE EAST FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH COLDER AIR SETTLING IN. WE USED A MODEL BLEND
APPROACH THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, THEN BLENDED IN SOME WPC
GUIDANCE WITH CONTINUITY THEREAFTER.
FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD BE EAST OF OUR
AREA TO START OUT THURSDAY, THEN A SECONDARY SURGE OF COLD AIR IS
FORECAST WITH INCREASING CAA. THIS APPEARS TO BE A GLANCING BLOW AT
LEAST AT 850 MB AS MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SOME WARMING FRIDAY AT
THIS LEVEL. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AXIS
GENERALLY SHIFTING TO OUR EAST. GIVEN THE DEEPENING CAA THURSDAY
ALONG WITH A TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT, FORECAST SOUNDINGS
INDICATE POTENTIALLY BRISK CONDITIONS. IT WILL BE A COLD DAY AND
WIND CHILL VALUES WILL ADD TO THE CHILL. AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
SLIDES TO OUR SOUTH FRIDAY AND OFF THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST,
AN ARCTIC FRONT LURKING TO OUR NORTH WILL TRY AND PRESS SOUTHWARD.
THIS IS ESPECIALLY NOTED AT 850 MB WITH A TIGHTENING THERMAL
GRADIENT FORECAST THAT IS ORIENTATED WEST TO EAST. STRONG SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CANADA AND INTO
NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS LOOKS TO START A COLD AIR DAMMING
SCENARIO DOWN INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION.
DESPITE THE COLD AIR, ONGOING LAKE EFFECT MAY END UP REMAINING
CLOSER TO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES ESPECIALLY AS THE FLOW LOOKS TO
BECOME MORE WESTERLY. WE CARRIED SOME MORE CLOUDS THURSDAY ACROSS
THE POCONO REGION. AS SOME WAA OCCURS FRIDAY ALOFT, CLOUDS LOOK TO
BE ON THE INCREASE AHEAD OF OUR NEXT IMPULSE. THIS IS SOUTHERN
STREAM ENERGY THAT MAY EVENTUALLY GET INVOLVED WITH AN INCOMING
AMPLIFYING NORTHERN STREAM. THEREFORE, AT LEAST SOME INCREASE IN
CLOUDS DURING FRIDAY AND ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT. IT APPEARS THAT ANY
PRECIPITATION STAYS TO OUR WEST AND SOUTHWEST PRIOR TO DAYBREAK
SATURDAY.
FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...A MESSY STORM LOOKS TO BE SETTING UP FOR
THIS TIME FRAME. THE MAIN TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE MODEL GUIDANCE WHILE THEY
AGREE A STORM WILL IMPACT THE AREA, THERE ARE DIFFERENCES WITH THE
THERMAL FIELDS. THERE APPEARS TO BE A BATTLE WITH THE AMOUNT OF COLD
AIR THAT REMAINS IN PLACE AND THE HANDLING OF THE ACTUAL ENERGY AS A
TRANSFER LOOKS TO OCCUR FROM A WEAK LOW NEAR THE OHIO VALLEY TO
WHAT BECOMES THE MAIN SURFACE LOW NEAR THE MID ATLANTIC COAST EARLY
SUNDAY. WHAT MAKES THIS A MORE CHALLENGING FORECAST IS THE INCLUSION
OF TRANSITIONING PRECIPITATION TYPES AS WARMING ALOFT OCCURS WHILE
COLDER AIR MAY GET STUCK AT THE SURFACE ESPECIALLY FARTHER INLAND.
SOME OF THE FORECAST SOUNDINGS PARTICULARLY NORTH AND WEST OF
INTERSTATE 95 INDICATE A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN, ESPECIALLY FROM
ABOUT THE LEHIGH VALLEY REGION ON NORTH AND WESTWARD. THERE IS A
STRONG SURFACE HIGH TO OUR NORTH THAT IS FORECAST TO SHIFT INTO
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES, AND THE LOW-LEVEL COLD AIR DAMMING DOES NOT
APPEAR TO BE AS STRONG AS THIS PAST SUNDAYS EVENT. WE ARE USING
CAUTION HERE GIVEN THAT LOW-LEVEL COLD AIR TENDS TO BE STUBBORN,
WHICH CAN BE ENHANCED AS A TRANSFER OCCURS. DESPITE THIS, THERE IS A
CONCERN THAT A PERIOD OF ICING MAY OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTHWEST ZONES
AS THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW REMAINS NORTHEAST, WHICH COULD BE PROLONGED AS
THE COASTAL SURFACE LOW DEEPENS ON ITS NORTHEASTWARD TRACK. WE
STARTED WITH THE TOP-DOWN METHOD USING THE GFS THERMAL FIELDS THEN
MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS. THIS RESULTED IN SOME MORE FREEZING
RAIN/SLEET NORTH AND WEST. OUR CONFIDENCE ON THIS IS ON THE LOWER
SIDE.
THIS WILL PROBABLY BE A QUICK MOVING SYSTEM GIVEN THE FLOW ALOFT
THAT IS FORECAST. WE ARE SEEING IN THE MODEL GUIDANCE THE THERMAL
GRADIENT ALOFT TIGHTENING SOME MORE AS THE SURFACE LOW SLIDES OFF
THE COAST AND STRENGTHENS. THIS TENDS TO INTRODUCE INCREASING
FRONTOGENETIC FORCING TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE SURFACE LOW AND THE
PRESENCE OF A DEFORMATION ZONE. WHILE IT IS WAY TO EARLY TO PINPOINT
THIS TYPE OF FEATURE RELATED TO STRENGTH, POSITIONING AND POSSIBLE
BANDING, THERE ARE SOME SIGNS. ALL OF THIS WILL PLAY A ROLE IN
CONJUNCTION WITH THE THERMAL PROFILES TO DETERMINE THE PRECIPITATION
TYPES. IT DOES APPEAR THOUGH THAT FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST AFTER AN
INITIAL SNOW OR SLEET POTENTIAL, PLAIN RAIN THEN OCCURS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO FORECAST A VARIETY OF PRECIPITATION TYPES ACROSS THE CWA
WITH THE BULK OF THE FROZEN/FREEZING PRECIPITATION NORTH AND WEST OF
THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR. THE POPS WERE INCREASED INTO THE
CATEGORICAL RANGE AS CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ENOUGH THAT IT WILL
PRECIPITATE, BUT LESSER CONFIDENCE REGARDING THE ACTUAL DETAILS. AS
MENTIONED, WE ADDED MORE FREEZING RAIN GIVEN THE WARMING ALOFT
FORECAST WHICH WOULD HINDER CRYSTAL GROWTH. THE AIRMASS IS FORECAST
TO BE RATHER DRY IN THE LOW LEVELS TO START, SO THIS PERHAPS COULD
LEAD TO MORE SNOW ON THE FRONT END FOR SOME AREAS. THE PRECIPITATION
SHOULD TAPER OFF SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SYSTEM MOVES AWAY.
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN MONDAY THEN SHIFTS
TO OUR NORTHEAST DURING TUESDAY. A CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM IS FORECAST
TO BE CRUISING FROM THE MIDWEST TO THE OHIO VALLEY MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. THIS COULD BRING SOME SNOW SHOWERS TO PARTS OF OUR AREA
LATE TUESDAY. OVERALL, NOT MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THIS TIME
FRAME.
&&
LONG TERM...GORSE
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Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
angelwing
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4462
- Age: 62
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
(The Blue Route was a mess this morning with the surprise snow squall that came thru...truck flipped over at Quakertown and screwed everything up)
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
729 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013
PAZ060-101>104-121330-
BERKS-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...READING...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...
WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...
NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE
729 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013
...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING...
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WERE MOVING THROUGH BERKS COUNTY, INTO
WESTERN MONTGOMERY AND WESTERN CHESTER COUNTY AT 725 AM. THE SNOW
SHOWERS WERE RESULTING IN A BRIEF REDUCTION IN VISIBILITY. ALSO,
THEY COULD LEAVE BEHIND A LIGHT COATING OF SNOW.
IF YOU WILL BE DRIVING EARLY THIS MORNING BE PREPARED FOR REDUCED
VISIBILITY AND SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS IF YOU ENCOUNTER A SNOW
SHOWER.
$$
ROBERTSON
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
729 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013
PAZ060-101>104-121330-
BERKS-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...READING...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...
WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...
NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE
729 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013
...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING...
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WERE MOVING THROUGH BERKS COUNTY, INTO
WESTERN MONTGOMERY AND WESTERN CHESTER COUNTY AT 725 AM. THE SNOW
SHOWERS WERE RESULTING IN A BRIEF REDUCTION IN VISIBILITY. ALSO,
THEY COULD LEAVE BEHIND A LIGHT COATING OF SNOW.
IF YOU WILL BE DRIVING EARLY THIS MORNING BE PREPARED FOR REDUCED
VISIBILITY AND SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS IF YOU ENCOUNTER A SNOW
SHOWER.
$$
ROBERTSON
0 likes
-
angelwing
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4462
- Age: 62
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
524 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013
DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ012-015>019-PAZ070-071-102-104-106-131030-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
524 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF SNOW, SLEET AND PERHAPS SOME
FREEZING RAIN TO THE AREA SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
$$
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
524 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013
DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ012-015>019-PAZ070-071-102-104-106-131030-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
524 AM EST THU DEC 12 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF SNOW, SLEET AND PERHAPS SOME
FREEZING RAIN TO THE AREA SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
$$
0 likes
-
angelwing
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4462
- Age: 62
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
410 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013
DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ012-015>019-PAZ070-071-102-104-106-140915-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
410 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
A STORM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF SNOW, SLEET AND SOME FREEZING RAIN
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. AT LEAST SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW IS
EXPECTED, WITH GREATER AMOUNTS IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA TO
MERCER AND MIDDLESEX COUNTIES. CONFIDENCE IS STILL ON THE LOWER
SIDE REGARDING AMOUNTS GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
410 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013
DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ012-015>019-PAZ070-071-102-104-106-140915-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
410 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
A STORM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF SNOW, SLEET AND SOME FREEZING RAIN
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. AT LEAST SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW IS
EXPECTED, WITH GREATER AMOUNTS IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA TO
MERCER AND MIDDLESEX COUNTIES. CONFIDENCE IS STILL ON THE LOWER
SIDE REGARDING AMOUNTS GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
$$
0 likes
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
angelwing wrote:Hazardous Weather Outlook
WITH GREATER AMOUNTS IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA TO
MERCER AND MIDDLESEX COUNTIES.
Bring it on!!
0 likes
Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
tomboudreau
- Category 5
- Posts: 1869
- Age: 47
- Joined: Tue Feb 18, 2003 6:07 pm
- Location: Carnegie, PA
- Contact:
I'm glad to see the folks over at the NWS office in Pittsburgh have a sense of humor while writing the late morning discussion for the upcoming system tomorrow morning -
GOOD LUCK OUT THERE ON SATURDAY WITH THE WINTRY CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE REGION. INSTANTANEOUS CARPAL TUNNEL MAY ENSUE IF I WRITE
MORE...HOWEVER ALL WATCH/ADVISORY PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN ISSUED AT
THIS TIME...SO NO MORE TYPING TONIGHT.-- End Changed Discussion --
GOOD LUCK OUT THERE ON SATURDAY WITH THE WINTRY CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE REGION. INSTANTANEOUS CARPAL TUNNEL MAY ENSUE IF I WRITE
MORE...HOWEVER ALL WATCH/ADVISORY PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN ISSUED AT
THIS TIME...SO NO MORE TYPING TONIGHT.-- End Changed Discussion --
0 likes
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
428 AM EST MON DEC 16 2013
NJZ014-017>020-027-PAZ070-071-102-170930-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-
428 AM EST MON DEC 16 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED FOR LATE TONIGHT WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF
AROUND AN INCH POSSIBLE BY DAYBREAK.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
THE LIGHT SNOW EVENT WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY MORNING WITH
TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS FORECAST TO BE MAINLY IN THE 1 TO 2 INCH
RANGE. THE LIGHT SNOW WILL IMPACT THE MORNING COMMUTE. THE SNOW
MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN BEFORE ENDING BY AFTERNOON.
AN ADDITIONAL DUSTING OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN SNOW SHOWERS FROM
LATE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
$$
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
428 AM EST MON DEC 16 2013
NJZ014-017>020-027-PAZ070-071-102-170930-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-
428 AM EST MON DEC 16 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED FOR LATE TONIGHT WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF
AROUND AN INCH POSSIBLE BY DAYBREAK.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
THE LIGHT SNOW EVENT WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY MORNING WITH
TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS FORECAST TO BE MAINLY IN THE 1 TO 2 INCH
RANGE. THE LIGHT SNOW WILL IMPACT THE MORNING COMMUTE. THE SNOW
MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN BEFORE ENDING BY AFTERNOON.
AN ADDITIONAL DUSTING OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN SNOW SHOWERS FROM
LATE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
$$
0 likes
Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
angelwing
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4462
- Age: 62
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
Ok who ordered the 67 degree temp for Sunday??????? It's DECEMBER...I want snow!!!!! Thunderstorm is fine but we have a snow pack that will melt and cause flooding, I don't need MORE water coming into my shed or laundry room, thank you very much! (though if it was Thundersnow if it was cold enough I would take that)
Today Partly sunny, with a high near 51. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph.
Tonight Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph.
Saturday A slight chance of showers after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday Night A slight chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 50. South wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday Showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 67. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Sunday Night Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a low around 50. Chance of
precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday A chance of rain before noon. Cloudy, with a high near 53. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29.
Today Partly sunny, with a high near 51. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph.
Tonight Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph.
Saturday A slight chance of showers after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday Night A slight chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 50. South wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday Showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 67. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Sunday Night Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a low around 50. Chance of
precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday A chance of rain before noon. Cloudy, with a high near 53. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29.
0 likes
-
angelwing
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4462
- Age: 62
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
Winter Storm Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
332 AM EST THU JAN 2 2014
...A WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE ENTIRE AREA LATER THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND
DANGEROUS COLD...
.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST
TODAY...THEN STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD AND
AWAY FROM OUR AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA ESPECIALLY TONIGHT THEN
TAPER OFF BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A DANGEROUSLY COLD AIRMASS WILL
OVERSPREAD THE AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS THE STORM INTENSIFIES
OUT TO SEA.
DEZ001-NJZ009-010-012>022-025>027-PAZ060-070-071-101>106-022200-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0002.140102T2300Z-140103T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KPHI.WS.W.0001.140102T2300Z-140103T1800Z/
NEW CASTLE-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...READING...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
332 AM EST THU JAN 2 2014
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST FRIDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6
PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.
* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW.
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES.
* TIMING...PRECIPITATION SHOULD START AS SOME RAIN OR A RAIN SNOW
MIX THIS AFTERNOON FROM PHILADELPHIA SOUTH AND EAST BEFORE
CHANGING TO ALL SNOW EARLY THIS EVENING. THE BULK OF THE SNOW IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACTS...TRAVEL SHOULD BECOME HAZARDOUS THURSDAY EVENING AS
SNOW BEGINS TO ACCUMULATE. THIS WILL BE AN INCREASINGLY FLUFFY
SNOW AND AS WINDS INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT...BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS. ROAD PLOWING
OPERATIONS WILL BE GREATLY AFFECTED...ESPECIALLY DUE TO BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW AND ALSO SNOWFALL RATES NEAR AN INCH PER HOUR
AT TIMES DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. IT
IS POSSIBLE THAT THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND WIND CREATES NEAR
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES... ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS CLOSER TO
THE ATLANTIC COAST.
* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* TEMPERATURES...STARTING OUT RANGING BETWEEN THE LOWER 30S TO
LOWER 40S THIS AFTERNOON, THEN FALLING INTO THE 20S AND TEENS
TONIGHT. ALL AREAS SHOULD BE IN THE TEENS BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY.
WHERE TEMPERATURES START OUT WELL ABOVE FREEZING TODAY, FLASH
FREEZING CAN OCCUR TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES RAPIDLY DROP BELOW
FREEZING AND THE SNOW INCREASES.
* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE HALF OF A MILE A TIMES TONIGHT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
&&
$$
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
332 AM EST THU JAN 2 2014
...A WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE ENTIRE AREA LATER THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND
DANGEROUS COLD...
.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST
TODAY...THEN STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD AND
AWAY FROM OUR AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA ESPECIALLY TONIGHT THEN
TAPER OFF BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A DANGEROUSLY COLD AIRMASS WILL
OVERSPREAD THE AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS THE STORM INTENSIFIES
OUT TO SEA.
DEZ001-NJZ009-010-012>022-025>027-PAZ060-070-071-101>106-022200-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0002.140102T2300Z-140103T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KPHI.WS.W.0001.140102T2300Z-140103T1800Z/
NEW CASTLE-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...READING...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
332 AM EST THU JAN 2 2014
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST FRIDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6
PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.
* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW.
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES.
* TIMING...PRECIPITATION SHOULD START AS SOME RAIN OR A RAIN SNOW
MIX THIS AFTERNOON FROM PHILADELPHIA SOUTH AND EAST BEFORE
CHANGING TO ALL SNOW EARLY THIS EVENING. THE BULK OF THE SNOW IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACTS...TRAVEL SHOULD BECOME HAZARDOUS THURSDAY EVENING AS
SNOW BEGINS TO ACCUMULATE. THIS WILL BE AN INCREASINGLY FLUFFY
SNOW AND AS WINDS INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT...BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS. ROAD PLOWING
OPERATIONS WILL BE GREATLY AFFECTED...ESPECIALLY DUE TO BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW AND ALSO SNOWFALL RATES NEAR AN INCH PER HOUR
AT TIMES DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. IT
IS POSSIBLE THAT THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND WIND CREATES NEAR
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES... ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS CLOSER TO
THE ATLANTIC COAST.
* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* TEMPERATURES...STARTING OUT RANGING BETWEEN THE LOWER 30S TO
LOWER 40S THIS AFTERNOON, THEN FALLING INTO THE 20S AND TEENS
TONIGHT. ALL AREAS SHOULD BE IN THE TEENS BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY.
WHERE TEMPERATURES START OUT WELL ABOVE FREEZING TODAY, FLASH
FREEZING CAN OCCUR TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES RAPIDLY DROP BELOW
FREEZING AND THE SNOW INCREASES.
* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE HALF OF A MILE A TIMES TONIGHT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
&&
$$
0 likes
I'm gonna go with 6" @ my house by sunrise tomorrow 
0 likes
Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
159 PM EST THU JAN 2 2014
...A WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE AREA WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW...
.LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WITH STRENGTHEN
RAPIDLY TONIGHT AND TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM OUR AREA FRIDAY
MORNING. AS THIS OCCURS...SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE ENTIRE
AREA TONIGHT THEN TAPER OFF LATE FRIDAY MORNING OR MIDDAY FRIDAY.
A DANGEROUSLY COLD AIRMASS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY AS THE STORM INTENSIFIES OUT TO SEA.
DEZ001-NJZ009-010-012>022-025>027-PAZ060-070-071-101>106-030500-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0001.140102T2300Z-140103T1800Z/
NEW CASTLE-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...READING...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
159 PM EST THU JAN 2 2014
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY...
* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN NEW JERSEY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80.
* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW.
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO POSSIBLY AS MUCH AS 8
INCHES.
* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE. THE BULK OF
THE SNOW WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. BLOWING SNOW
WILL DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS TONIGHT AS SNOW
ACCUMULATES AND TEMPERATURES FALL THROUGH THE 20S. SNOWFALL
RATES NEAR AN INCH PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED AT TIMES TONIGHT. IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND WIND CREATES NEAR
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY FOR COASTAL MONMOUTH
AND COASTAL OCEAN COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY.
* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE TEENS BY FRIDAY MORNING WITH
WIND CHILL NEAR 5 BELOW ZERO.
* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE HALF OF A MILE AT TIMES TONIGHT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
&&
$$
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
159 PM EST THU JAN 2 2014
...A WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE AREA WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW...
.LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WITH STRENGTHEN
RAPIDLY TONIGHT AND TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM OUR AREA FRIDAY
MORNING. AS THIS OCCURS...SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE ENTIRE
AREA TONIGHT THEN TAPER OFF LATE FRIDAY MORNING OR MIDDAY FRIDAY.
A DANGEROUSLY COLD AIRMASS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY AS THE STORM INTENSIFIES OUT TO SEA.
DEZ001-NJZ009-010-012>022-025>027-PAZ060-070-071-101>106-030500-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0001.140102T2300Z-140103T1800Z/
NEW CASTLE-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...READING...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
159 PM EST THU JAN 2 2014
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY...
* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN NEW JERSEY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80.
* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW.
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO POSSIBLY AS MUCH AS 8
INCHES.
* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE. THE BULK OF
THE SNOW WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. BLOWING SNOW
WILL DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS TONIGHT AS SNOW
ACCUMULATES AND TEMPERATURES FALL THROUGH THE 20S. SNOWFALL
RATES NEAR AN INCH PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED AT TIMES TONIGHT. IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND WIND CREATES NEAR
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY FOR COASTAL MONMOUTH
AND COASTAL OCEAN COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY.
* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE TEENS BY FRIDAY MORNING WITH
WIND CHILL NEAR 5 BELOW ZERO.
* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE HALF OF A MILE AT TIMES TONIGHT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
&&
$$
0 likes
Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
Just a guess - a guess - but my guess is that the low pressure system will move a bit further east of the EC and the snowfall will be less than forecast - the NWSFO New York latest forecast discussion regarding the latest model runs said, "...would not suggest any big changes to overall [forecast], but will analyze further this afternoon", so time will tell. In my years between living in South Florida we had a similar situation in New York City, and it turned out to be a "busted" forecast with little or no precip, after an initial blizzard forecast was made, so we'll see what happens...
P.S. My thinking is that the low is moving further east than earlier forecast, and the precip moving NE from the TN valley is mostly on the light side...
Frank
P.S. My thinking is that the low is moving further east than earlier forecast, and the precip moving NE from the TN valley is mostly on the light side...
Frank
0 likes
Light snow began about 1 1/2 hrs ago. Full on now, already have about 1/2 inch. Still expecting the 1" per hour snow lol.
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Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Wind has been calm, slightly out of the east.
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Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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SaskatchewanScreamer
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angelwing
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4462
- Age: 62
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
Hiya screamer:)
Can't check fb as I am working from home this morning but we got about 8 inches here and its 14 degrees F with a wind chill of minus 1F, its going to drop as the day goes on, Monday the high is going to be 9F but Sunday it will be 40F!
Our borough has this:
Chief Robert McDyre of the Lansdale Police Department has declared a snow emergency for Lansdale Borough effective 3 p.m. Thursday until 6 p.m. Friday.
Looks like I have to call out for the night job too I know Philadelphia got about 6 inches and those folks down there are clueless, I used to live there, they never ever plowed the secondary streets and I know there are a lot of chairs saving parking spots, lol!
As for NJ I know they got it worse than we did from what I heard!
TY for asking:)
Can't check fb as I am working from home this morning but we got about 8 inches here and its 14 degrees F with a wind chill of minus 1F, its going to drop as the day goes on, Monday the high is going to be 9F but Sunday it will be 40F!
Our borough has this:
Chief Robert McDyre of the Lansdale Police Department has declared a snow emergency for Lansdale Borough effective 3 p.m. Thursday until 6 p.m. Friday.
Looks like I have to call out for the night job too I know Philadelphia got about 6 inches and those folks down there are clueless, I used to live there, they never ever plowed the secondary streets and I know there are a lot of chairs saving parking spots, lol!
As for NJ I know they got it worse than we did from what I heard!
TY for asking:)
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angelwing
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4462
- Age: 62
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
(look at Monday...yikes!!!!! 
)
Today A slight chance of snow before 11am, then widespread blowing snow after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 20. Wind chill values as low as -9. Blustery, with a northwest wind 15 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 2. Northwest wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday Sunny, with a high near 27. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the morning.
Saturday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 17. Light southwest wind.
Sunday A chance of snow before 1pm, then rain likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 37. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Sunday Night Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday A chance of rain before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 44. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night Partly cloudy, with alow around -1.
)Today A slight chance of snow before 11am, then widespread blowing snow after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 20. Wind chill values as low as -9. Blustery, with a northwest wind 15 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 2. Northwest wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday Sunny, with a high near 27. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the morning.
Saturday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 17. Light southwest wind.
Sunday A chance of snow before 1pm, then rain likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 37. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Sunday Night Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday A chance of rain before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 44. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night Partly cloudy, with alow around -1.
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