Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

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cycloneye
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#121 Postby cycloneye » Sun Feb 09, 2014 4:20 pm

From Raleigh NWS Office.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 320 PM SUNDAY...

...WINTER STORM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED WITHIN 24 HOURS...

MODEL TRENDS/CONFIDENCE: THE LATEST 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO
BETTER AGREEMENT WITH REGARD TO THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN EAST OF THE
ROCKIES AND EXPECTED CYCLOGENESIS ALONG/OFFSHORE THE SOUTHEAST COAST
EARLY/MID WEEK...AND CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT CENTRAL NC WILL
EXPERIENCE ANOTHER (POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT) ROUND OF WINTER WEATHER
IN THE TUE-THU TIME FRAME. HOWEVER...THE COMPLICATED/CHAOTIC NATURE
OF THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN OVER NORTH AMERICA CONTINUES TO DICTATE
ABOVE AVERAGE UNCERTAINTY IN THE PRECISE EVOLUTION OF APPROACHING
SHORTWAVE ENERGY AND ATTENDANT CYCLOGENESIS IN VICINITY OF A POTENT
BAROCLINIC ZONE ALONG/OFFSHORE THE SOUTHEAST COAST.

SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW: A COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW (I.E. POLAR VORTEX
CURRENTLY OVER NUNAVUT) WILL SINK SOUTHWARD TO HUDSON BAY AND FAR
NORTHERN MANITOBA/ONTARIO TONIGHT-THU...ALLOWING ARCTIC HIGH
PRESSURE TO PLUNGE SOUTH FROM CANADA INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST
TODAY/TONIGHT AND THEN EASTWARD INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC...THE LEADING
EDGE OF WHICH WILL PROGRESS THROUGH THE CAROLINAS AS AN ARCTIC COLD
FRONT LATE MON/MON NIGHT. CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS
THE EASTERN CONUS THIS WEEK...WITH A SERIES OF SMALL AMPLITUDE
SHORTWAVES TRACKING EAST ACROSS THE CONUS. ACCORDING TO THE LATEST
12Z ECMWF/GFS GUIDANCE...SOME OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE ENERGY
IS EXPECTED TO PHASE ACROSS THE MS RIVER VALLEY TUE NIGHT/WED...WITH
A MORE AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL WAVE APPROACHING THE MID-
ATLANTIC/CAROLINAS LATE WED/WED NIGHT AND A STRONGER/MORE
CONSOLIDATED CYCLONE DEVELOPING IN VICINITY OF A BAROCLINIC ZONE IN
PLACE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST. HOWEVER...THE PRECISE EVOLUTION OF
THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE ENERGY AND ATTENDANT CYCLOGENESIS
REMAINS DIFFICULT TO ASCERTAIN GIVEN THE COMPLEX NATURE OF THE UPPER
LEVEL PATTERN ACROSS NORTH AMERICA...AND SOME AMOUNT OF CONVERGENCE
AMONG LONG RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE DOES NOT NECESSARILY IMPLY A
NARROWER RANGE OF POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS.

THE BULK OF LONG RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES PRECIPITATION
OCCURRING ACROSS CENTRAL NC TUE AFT/EVE THROUGH WED NIGHT. THE 12Z
ECMWF INDICATES A PATTERN OF CYCLOGENESIS CLOSER TO THE MILLER-B
VARIETY...WHILE THE GFS CONTINUES TO INDICATE MORE OF A MILLER-A
TYPE SOLUTION. THOUGH TIMING/PTYPE/ACCUM/IMPACT REMAIN DIFFICULT TO
ASCERTAIN WITH MUCH CONFIDENCE...IT DOES APPEAR THAT PROBABILITIES
OF SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER HAVE INCREASED FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NC
TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT. WITH THE ABOVE IN MIND...HAVE TRENDED
THE FORECAST COOLER/WETTER TUE-THU...WITH PTYPE CORRIDORS CLOSE TO
CLIMATOLOGY FOR THIS TYPE OF SYSTEM...I.E. THE BEST CHANCE OF SNOW
IN THE N/NW PIEDMONT...THE BEST CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX (SN/IP/FZRA)
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE TRIANGLE...AND SOMEWHERE IN-BETWEEN ALONG THE
HWY 1 CORRIDOR AND IN THE TRIANGLE. DUE TO THE AFOREMENTIONED
UNCERTAINTY AND THAT IT IS POSSIBLE PRECIP MAY NOT FULLY DEVELOP
ACROSS CENTRAL NC (ESP NORTH OF HWY 64) UNTIL LATE TUE/TUE NIGHT...
IT IS TOO EARLY TO ISSUE A WINTER STORM WATCH...THOUGH ONE COULD BE
NEEDED WITHIN 24 HOURS. -VINCENT
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#122 Postby seahawkjd » Sun Feb 09, 2014 5:56 pm

Thanks for the model links. Just what I was looking for.
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#123 Postby angelwing » Mon Feb 10, 2014 8:13 am

Mount Holly:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
437 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014

NJZ009-010-012-015-PAZ101>106-110945-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
437 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

STRONG COASTAL STORM IS FORECAST TO AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW JERSEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. HEAVY
SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE. THERE MAY BE SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR A
TIME THURSDAY IF THE STORM TRACKS WITHIN 50 MILES OF THE COAST.
MORE DETAILS WILL POST IN BRIEFING PACKAGES AND ALSO IN THIS
PRODUCT LATE TODAY AND BEYOND.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#124 Postby seahawkjd » Mon Feb 10, 2014 9:23 am

Definitely getting some deja vu from 2 weeks ago.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
428 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014

...WINTER WEATHER TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF EASTERN NC...

.SEVERAL WAVES OF WINTRY WEATHER ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA. THE
FIRST WAVE WILL BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH WILL
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF EASTERN NC TUESDAY MORNING INTO EARLY
TUESDAY EVENING. THERE MAY BE A BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION TUESDAY
EVENING BEFORE ANOTHER WAVE AFFECTS THE AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS SECOND BATCH OF WINTER WEATHER MAY BE
A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
INLAND PORTIONS OF EASTERN NC. WINTRY WEATHER SHOULD TRANSITION TO
ALL RAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING.

NCZ080-081-090>095-098-103-104-102200-
/O.NEW.KMHX.WS.A.0001.140211T1500Z-140212T1800Z/
BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-
CARTERET-ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...RIVER ROAD...WALLACE...
WARSAW...ROSE HILL...KENANSVILLE...BEULAVILLE...MAGNOLIA...
KINSTON...MAYSVILLE...POLLOCKSVILLE...TRENTON...NEW BERN...
HAVELOCK...VANCEBORO...ORIENTAL...ALLIANCE...BAYBORO...ARAPAHOE...
MINNESOTT BEACH...VANDEMERE...STONEWALL...MOREHEAD CITY...
BEAUFORT...EMERALD ISLE...NEWPORT...JACKSONVILLE...
KILL DEVIL HILLS...KITTY HAWK...NAGS HEAD...SOUTHERN SHORES
428 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS ISSUED
A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 2 TO 4
INCHES...ALONG WITH UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF FREEZING RAIN.

* TIMING...TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW
AND SLEET WILL AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. THERE
MAY BE A BREAK TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE MORE WINTRY WEATHER
AFFECTS THE AREA IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET... AND
SNOW LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ROADS...ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WILL
BECOME TREACHEROUS ON TUESDAY AND REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. WINTRY WEATHER SHOULD TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ROAD CONDITIONS IMPROVING.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.
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#125 Postby seahawkjd » Mon Feb 10, 2014 11:06 am

12Z GFS looks like more snow less ice than the 6z.
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#126 Postby cycloneye » Mon Feb 10, 2014 12:57 pm

From NWS in Wilmington, NC.

IT IS GOING TO BE A VERY INTERESTING NEXT 60 HOURS ACROSS THE
EASTERN CAROLINAS. THE RISK FOR A SIGNIFICANT AND PERHAPS LENGTHY
WINTER WEATHER EVENT CONTINUES TO INCREASE. A SEVERE ICE STORM IS
CERTAINLY PLAUSIBLE WITH THE ODDS OF THIS GREATEST ACROSS THE MORE
SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. WE WILL HAVE
TO WATCH THIS VERY CLOSELY...AND WE ADVISE OUR CUSTOMERS TO KEEP
CHECKING BACK FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE AREA AWAY FROM THE COAST
AND IT IS TIME TO PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER WHOSE
AFTERMATH MAY LAST FOR MANY DAYS...IF NOT WEEKS IN THE WORST CASE
SCENARIO.
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#127 Postby seahawkjd » Mon Feb 10, 2014 1:02 pm

Ummm thats a bit more dire than they have been predicting....
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#128 Postby Raebie » Mon Feb 10, 2014 1:26 pm

Charlotte & Columbia are gonna get spanked.
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#129 Postby cycloneye » Mon Feb 10, 2014 2:05 pm

12z NAM.

Image
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#130 Postby seahawkjd » Mon Feb 10, 2014 2:31 pm

Any reason to favor the GFS or the NAM one more than the other?
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#131 Postby cycloneye » Mon Feb 10, 2014 4:05 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
347 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014

...DANGEROUS WINTER STORM EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS INLAND
PORTIONS OF GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY...

GAZ087-088-SCZ040-042>045-110500-
/O.UPG.KCHS.WS.A.0002.140212T0500Z-140213T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KCHS.IS.W.0002.140212T0500Z-140213T1500Z/
JENKINS-SCREVEN-ALLENDALE-HAMPTON-INLAND COLLETON-DORCHESTER-
INLAND BERKELEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MILLEN...SYLVANIA...ALLENDALE...
HAMPTON...WALTERBORO...ST. GEORGE...SUMMERVILLE...MONCKS CORNER
347 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT TO
10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED AN ICE
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT TO
10 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH.

* TIMING...RAIN IS FORECAST TO MIX OR CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN
TUESDAY EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...THEN CONTINUE INTO
AS LATE AS THURSDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS COULD CREATE DANGEROUS
OR IMPOSSIBLE DRIVING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ON
BRIDGES...OVERPASSES AND UNTREATED ROADS. DAMAGE TO TREES AND
POWER LINES ARE LIKELY AS WELL AS POWER OUTAGES ACROSS THE AREA.
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#132 Postby angelwing » Mon Feb 10, 2014 7:29 pm

Just what we need here....
Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
338 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014

...POTENT COASTAL STORM TO AFFECT THE REGION MID WEEK...


DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-110500-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0006.140213T0000Z-140214T0600Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
338 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

* LOCATIONS...THIS WATCH INCLUDES FAR SOUTHEASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE PHILADELPHIA METRO
AREA...SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY...FAR NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND...AND
NORTHERN DELAWARE.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE FORECAST TO GENERALLY
RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 INCHES WITH AMOUNTS OVER 8 INCHES POSSIBLE IN
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA. IN ADDITION...ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM A TRACE UP TO ONE
QUARTER INCH.


* TIMING...PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS MOSTLY SNOW WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE SNOW IS FORECAST TO CHANGE OVER TO A
SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN MIX DURING THE DAY
THURSDAY...BEFORE CHANGING TO SNOW AND TAPERING OFF THURSDAY
NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED ACROSS THE
REGION ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL
IMPACTS...WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES IF
SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OCCUR BY THE TIME WINDS INCREASE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#133 Postby seahawkjd » Mon Feb 10, 2014 9:26 pm

Two winter storm warnings in a month's time. That doesn't happen often here.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
325 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014

...WINTER WEATHER TO AFFECT EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...

.SEVERAL WAVES OF WINTRY WEATHER ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA. THE
FIRST WAVE WILL BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH WILL
AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TUESDAY MORNING
INTO EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. THERE MAY BE A BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION
TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE ANOTHER WAVE AFFECTS THE AREA LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS SECOND BATCH OF WINTER WEATHER
MAY BE A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
INLAND PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. WINTRY WEATHER SHOULD
TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH CONDITIONS
IMPROVING.

NCZ090>095-098-121600-
/O.UPG.KMHX.WS.A.0001.140211T1500Z-140212T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.WS.W.0002.140211T1500Z-140212T1600Z/
DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-ONSLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALLACE...WARSAW...ROSE HILL...
KENANSVILLE...BEULAVILLE...MAGNOLIA...KINSTON...MAYSVILLE...
POLLOCKSVILLE...TRENTON...NEW BERN...HAVELOCK...VANCEBORO...
ORIENTAL...ALLIANCE...BAYBORO...ARAPAHOE...MINNESOTT BEACH...
VANDEMERE...STONEWALL...MOREHEAD CITY...BEAUFORT...EMERALD ISLE...
NEWPORT...JACKSONVILLE
325 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO NOON EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS ISSUED
A WINTER STORM WARNING WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO
NOON EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 4 INCHES...ALONG WITH
UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE.

* TIMING...TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. SNOW AND
SLEET WILL AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. THERE MAY BE
A BREAK TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE MORE WINTRY WEATHER AFFECTS THE
AREA IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN... SLEET... AND SNOW LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE TO MOSTLY RAIN NEAR THE COAST AND EAST OF THE HIGHWAY 17
CORRIDOR DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ROADS...ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WILL
BECOME TREACHEROUS ON TUESDAY AND REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. WINTRY WEATHER SHOULD TRANSITION TO ALL
RAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ROAD CONDITIONS IMPROVING.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 15.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND
ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS
OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#134 Postby angelwing » Tue Feb 11, 2014 4:49 pm

*Winter Storm Warning from 2/12 10PM to 2/14 1AM. Heavy snow expected. Travel is strongly discouraged.*

... Winter Storm Warning in effect from 10 PM Wednesday to 1 AM
EST Friday...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Winter
Storm Warning for snow and sleet... which is in effect from 10 PM
Wednesday to 1 AM EST Friday. The Winter Storm Watch is no longer
in effect.

* Hazard types... snow and sleet.

* Accumulations... snow accumulation will generally range from 6 to
8 inches along the Interstate 95 corridor with 8 to 10 inches
possible in the higher terrain for southeastern Pennsylvania.

* Timing... precipitation should begin as mostly snow Wednesday
night. The snow is forecast to mix with sleet by Thursday
morning and may even briefly change over to rain Thursday
afternoon. By Thursday evening it is expected to change over to
all snow again and begin to taper off.

* Impacts... travel could be significantly impacted across the
region especially on Thursday. In addition to travel impacts...
winds of 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph will be possible
on Thursday which could lead to power outages if heavy snow
accumulations on power lines and tree limbs by the time winds
increase.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow...
sleet... and ice are expected or occurring. Strong winds are also
possible. This will make travel very hazardous or impossible.
For additional updates and weather information, visit http://www.weather.gov/phi
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#135 Postby angelwing » Wed Feb 12, 2014 8:11 am

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
334 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

...POTENT COASTAL STORM TO AFFECT THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT...

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-122130-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0006.140213T0300Z-140214T0600Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...
WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...
NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...
DOYLESTOWN
334 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THIS WARNING INCLUDES FAR SOUTHEASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA... INCLUDING THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA... FAR
SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY... FAR NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND...AND
NORTHERN DELAWARE.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...ALONG
WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.


* TIMING...PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS MOSTLY SNOW TONIGHT. THE
SNOW IS FORECAST TO MIX WITH SLEET BY THURSDAY MORNING AND MAY
EVEN BRIEFLY CHANGE OVER TO RAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. BY THURSDAY
EVENING IT IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW AGAIN AND
BEGIN TO TAPER OFF.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED ACROSS THE
REGION ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL IMPACTS... WINDS
OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
THURSDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES IF HEAVY SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ON POWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS BY THE TIME WINDS
INCREASE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$
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#136 Postby Bizzles » Wed Feb 12, 2014 8:48 am

Here we go again! Interesting to see when/if the ice comes with it. Thankfully Friday's forecast high is 40 F.
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#137 Postby cycloneye » Wed Feb 12, 2014 9:02 am

Our friend Mark Sudduth (Hurricanetrack) has a live stream as he travels in NC.

http://www.ustream.tv/hurricanetrack
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#138 Postby angelwing » Wed Feb 12, 2014 9:02 am

And more snow on Sat & Tues...making up for the last 2 years!
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#139 Postby angelwing » Wed Feb 12, 2014 9:03 am

cycloneye wrote:Our friend Mark Sudduth (Hurricanetrack) has a live stream as he travels in NC.

http://www.ustream.tv/hurricanetrack


Ooo will have to check that out on the phone, TY cycloneye!
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Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014

#140 Postby cycloneye » Wed Feb 12, 2014 12:32 pm

:uarrow: Nice view in the stream of the snow falling.
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