Coastal Carolinas Storm updates

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Three Blind Mice
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Coastal Carolinas Storm updates

#1 Postby Three Blind Mice » Mon Jan 27, 2014 10:33 am

Seeing how this storm is setting up I thought we needed a thread for the Carolina's!
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Re: Coastal Carolinas Storm updates

#2 Postby Three Blind Mice » Mon Jan 27, 2014 10:55 am

ilm NWS

000
FXUS62 KILM 271445
AFDILM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
945 AM EST MON JAN 27 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
THE RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW OR SLEET OR ICE IS
INCREASING LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM
THE SOUTH WILL BRING ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY. AN ARCTIC
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE TODAY...STALLING OFFSHORE AS LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG THIS FRONT BRINGING INCREASING CHANCES FOR
WINTRY PRECIPITATION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
-- Changed Discussion --AS OF 930 AM MONDAY...WITH MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS IN THE NEAR TERM
EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT...WILL WAIT ON UPDATED GUIDANCE TO MAKE ANY
SUBSTANTIAL CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. HAVE UPDATED CLOUDS AND TEMP
CURVE FOR THE FIRST SEVERAL HOURS...OTHERWISE PREVIOUS FORECAST
REMAINS ON TRACK. INITIAL GLANCE AT 12Z NAM SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
POTENTIAL FOR SOME LIGHT PRECIP BEFORE DAYBREAK TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY
NEAR THE COAST...BUT WILL MORE FULLY EXAMINE THIS BEFORE THE NEXT
UPDATE. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW:
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Re: Coastal Carolinas Storm updates

#3 Postby Three Blind Mice » Mon Jan 27, 2014 10:57 am

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#4 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Jan 27, 2014 1:29 pm

Good luck to you guys down there! I know how just a few flakes falling out of the sky can shut everything down :lol:
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Re: Coastal Carolinas Storm updates

#5 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jan 27, 2014 1:50 pm

I can't post graphics from Wxbell but I can at least tell you that the 12z ECMWF has between 8-10 inches for the I-95 corridor.
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Re: Coastal Carolinas Storm updates

#6 Postby syfr » Mon Jan 27, 2014 2:13 pm

Given that I'm about 10 miles from I95, that's interesting information!
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Re: Coastal Carolinas Storm updates

#7 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jan 27, 2014 4:18 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
317 PM EST MON JAN 27 2014

...WINTER STORM LIKELY FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA FROM NOON TUESDAY UNTIL NOON WEDNESDAY...

.A VERY COLD AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES COMBINED WITH A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING OFF THE COAST WILL BRING WIDESPREAD WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL BE MAINLY SNOW... BUT MIXED WITH A LITTLE SLEET IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST.


NCZ011-026-027-041-075-076-084-280930-
/O.UPG.KRAH.WS.A.0001.140128T2100Z-140129T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KRAH.WS.W.0001.140128T1700Z-140129T1700Z/
HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-WAKE-MOORE-LEE-RICHMOND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROANOKE RAPIDS...LOUISBURG...
FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...
RALEIGH...CARY...SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...
SEVEN LAKES...SANFORD...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM
317 PM EST MON JAN 27 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO NOON EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO
NOON EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.


* LOCATION...FOR THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... ROUGHLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM LAURINBURG TO LILLINGTON TO SMITHFIELD TO TARBORO.

* ACCUMULATION...FIVE TO EIGHT INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED... WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE SNOW MAY BE MIXED WITH A LITTLE SLEET MAINLY FROM FAYETTEVILLE TO THE SOUTH AND EAST.

* TIMING...THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW LIKELY TO FALL BETWEEN 3 PM TUESDAY AND 3 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* MAIN IMPACTS...SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL CONSECUTIVE HOURS WILL QUICKLY COAT ROAD SURFACES. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY. THE SNOW
WILL LIKELY IMPACT TRAVEL ON SUCH MAJOR ROUTES SUCH AS I-95... HIGHWAY 421...HIGHWAYS 64 AND 264... I-40 EAST OF RALEIGH... AND HIGHWAY 70.

* OTHER IMPACTS...RESIDUAL SNOWPACK AND ICE ON ROADS MAY IMPACT
TRAVEL THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.
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Re: Coastal Carolinas Storm updates

#8 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jan 27, 2014 4:27 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
412 PM EST MON JAN 27 2014

...DANGEROUS WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA
AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA
OVERNIGHT...WITH A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ON THE FRONT
OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST BY LATE TUESDAY. THE LOW WILL THEN LIFT
QUICKLY NORTHEAST OVER THE ATLANTIC INTO WEDNESDAY. PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES LATE
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...BEFORE SLOWLY TAPERING OFF FROM WEST
TO EAST ON WEDNESDAY. WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE...THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET
AND SNOW.

GAZ099>101-SCZ047>051-280515-
/O.UPG.KCHS.WS.A.0001.140128T1700Z-140129T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KCHS.IS.W.0001.140128T1700Z-140129T2200Z/
CANDLER-BULLOCH-EFFINGHAM-INLAND JASPER-BEAUFORT-COASTAL COLLETON-
CHARLESTON-COASTAL JASPER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...METTER...STATESBORO...SPRINGFIELD...
RIDGELAND...BEAUFORT...HILTON HEAD...EDISTO BEACH...CHARLESTON...
JASPER
412 PM EST MON JAN 27 2014

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED AN ICE
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA...INCLUDING THE CHARLESTON METRO AREAS.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING INTO THE LOWER
30S WITH LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE MID 20S.

* IMPACTS...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION WILL CREATE DANGEROUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS FOR MOTORISTS...INCLUDING FIRST RESPONDERS. DAMAGE TO
TREES...POWER LINES AND EVEN STRUCTURES IS POSSIBLE. WIDESPREAD
POWER OUTAGES COULD PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING SITUATIONS.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF OF AN INCH WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH.

* TIMING...TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY EVENING PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
TO TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET AS MUCH COLDER AIR
SPREADS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION. PRECIPITATION
COULD THEN MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW OVERNIGHT TUESDAY INTO
EARLY WEDNESDAY. PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF WEDNESDAY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS TRAVEL
CONDITIONS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE OR WALK. ICE ACCUMULATION
WILL DAMAGE TREES AND POWER LINES. IF YOU ENCOUNTER DOWNED POWER
LINES...DO NOT TOUCH THE LINES BECAUSE YOU COULD BE ELECTROCUTED.
REPORT DOWNED POWER LINES TO LAW ENFORCEMENT OR THE POWER
COMPANY.
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Re: Coastal Carolinas Storm updates

#9 Postby seahawkjd » Mon Jan 27, 2014 4:54 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
338 PM EST MON JAN 27 2014

...HEAVY SNOWFALL EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN NC TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT.
MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL INTERACT WITH THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WITH A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ALONG IT TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY. THIS LOW WILL BE IN A FAVORABLE POSITION SOUTHEAST
OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TO SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA BEGINNING AS EARLY AS TUESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW
WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGH THE DAY AND BECOME HEAVY LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

SOME SLEET AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL MIX IN WITH THE SNOW
INITIALLY ON TUESDAY NEAR THE COAST...AND THIS WILL LIMIT SNOW
AMOUNTS THERE UNTIL TUESDAY NIGHT.


NCZ092-093-095-098-281100-
/O.EXT.KMHX.WS.W.0001.140128T1200Z-140129T2100Z/
JONES-CRAVEN-CARTERET-ONSLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MAYSVILLE...POLLOCKSVILLE...TRENTON...
NEW BERN...HAVELOCK...VANCEBORO...MOREHEAD CITY...BEAUFORT...
EMERALD ISLE...NEWPORT...JACKSONVILLE
338 PM EST MON JAN 27 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 4 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6
INCHES...ALONG WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE FROM FREEZING RAIN.

* TIMING...TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE HEAVIEST
SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...DRIVING WILL BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY
TUESDAY NIGHT WHEN THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...WILL BE NEAR 25 TO 30 TUESDAY MORNING...THEN BE
IN THE 20S THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE AROUND 30
WEDNESDAY.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 9 ABOVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. NEVER
USE A GENERATOR INDOORS. GAS GRILLS... GENERATORS... AND CAMP
STOVES CREATE DEADLY CARBON MONOXIDE FUMES THAT WILL BUILD UP
WHEN USED IN YOUR HOME.
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Re: Coastal Carolinas Storm updates

#10 Postby seahawkjd » Mon Jan 27, 2014 4:55 pm

I'm on the coast and it looks like its going to be more of an ice event :( I guess time will tell.
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Re: Coastal Carolinas Storm updates

#11 Postby Duddy » Mon Jan 27, 2014 10:19 pm

NWS here in Wilmington expecting mainly sleet/freezing rain on Tuesday with a transition to all snow Wednesday night then all snow Wednesday. They expect 3-4" to accumulate along the coast with isolated higher totals.

:froze:
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Re: Coastal Carolinas Storm updates

#12 Postby seahawkjd » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:11 am

Freezing rain has started here on the coast of North Carolina. Roads aren't slick yet but everything is wet and the temperature is dropping.
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Re: Coastal Carolinas Storm updates

#13 Postby syfr » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:38 am

No precip yet in Johnston county, low ceiling now apparent and temp dropping
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Re: Coastal Carolinas Storm updates

#14 Postby seahawkjd » Tue Jan 28, 2014 11:55 am

Not liking the look of this:

Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
Last edited by tolakram on Tue Jan 28, 2014 12:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: fixed image link
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#15 Postby seahawkjd » Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:16 pm

Everything in Beaufort is now glazed over in ice and several inch long icicles. Its beautiful, but I'm afraid as it continues we're going to have limbs / trees down because there's no end in sight.
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Re: Coastal Carolinas Storm updates

#16 Postby seahawkjd » Wed Jan 29, 2014 7:48 am

We have an inch of ice with snow now falling on top of it. Its all very granular, like sand. They are saying we might have some tomorrow too depending on what the low near Florida does.

Image

Image
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Re: Coastal Carolinas Storm updates

#17 Postby seahawkjd » Wed Jan 29, 2014 9:34 am

Now its looking like we might get some snow tomorrow. Is anyone else looking at the models and seeing the moisture inching into the coast tomorrow morning?
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#18 Postby momwalker1966 » Wed Jan 29, 2014 10:14 am

Sorry, I so didn't mean to post here!

Friendsville, Tn- Our snow is over, still below freezing till tomorrow afternoon.
Image
100_1558 by momwalker, on Flickr
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#19 Postby Tstormwatcher » Wed Jan 29, 2014 10:30 am

Here in New Bern we got about 1/16 inches of ice followed by about 2.5 inches of sleet and snow. Very disappointed considering how much snow they had forecasted originally. But we do have the day off which is nice. :D
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Re: Coastal Carolinas Storm updates

#20 Postby Tstormwatcher » Wed Jan 29, 2014 10:39 am

seahawkjd wrote:Now its looking like we might get some snow tomorrow. Is anyone else looking at the models and seeing the moisture inching into the coast tomorrow morning?


Saw that on the NOAA site. Only supposed to be light snow showers though.
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