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TheProfessor wrote::uarrow: Thats a Satirical website, like the onion, look at the comments below, or the fake meteorologist and their fake titles. Don't base anything on the map on that website. But maybe you guys knew that and were playing along.
Tireman4 wrote:Portastorm wrote:Screamer needs to be careful about those football comments ... Aggie fans and Baylor Bear fans would vehemently disagree with her assessment, and rightfully so. Maybe so would Texan fans. But we all know to whom she was referring.
Was she talking about the University of Texas ( that is a rebuilding project for Charlie Strong. I am thinking three years, but will the UT folks give him that?) or the Dallas Cowboys? Well, one game does not make a season. Lastly, I do wonder about this Winter. Will it be a strong one?
) with 4 downs that slow the game down even more. 
Ntxw wrote:With the way things are setting up over the Pacific, I only see two years that really stick out. 1976 and 1977 as analogs thus far when trying to match SST's. Some pre 1950 years but data back then isn't reliable. 2009 is next best fit. Should have a better feel in October looking at atmospheric responses.
What led to this extreme period of cold temperatures? A very amplified pattern, meaning troughs of low pressure and ridges of high pressure at all levels of the atmosphere were far stronger than normal for the time period. The Ohio Valley, unfortunately resided underneath an extremely strong and deep trough of low pressure, what was in fact a very displaced Polar Vortex, which is a feature common in most winters over higher latitudes in Canada. Below is a chart of the average deviation from normal of the 500mb surface through this period. Hues of purple indicate that these 500mb heights were significantly lower than normal, in some cases over 200 meters below normal. These values are extremely significant and rare when considering a 30-day average. This overall weather pattern is the ideal setup for outbreaks of frigid air in the eastern United States. A west coast ridge of high pressure (yellow hues) and extreme blocking (very strong ridge of high pressure in red hues) just off the east coast of the United States near Greenland.
If that's Alberta, then our Canadian friends might want to take a refresher course in driving in snow and ice!
Texas Snowman wrote::uarrow:
Texas Snowman wrote::uarrow:
)Portastorm wrote:Texas Snowman wrote::uarrow:
No kidding, what a bunch of amateurs!
)!
I've noticed even the "seasoned drivers up North" usually slide off the roads en masse during the first snow of the season. The reason this happens is because they haven't yet installed the snow tires that let them survive the rest of the winter. The tires are better up north, not the drivers. Ntxw wrote:Jb posted the JMA that goes out to December and it is saying everything most of us has been saying. Powerful Alaskan ridge, very low heights across the southern US and some -NAO. Frankly, could be a harsh winter.
Texas Snowman wrote:Ntxw wrote:Jb posted the JMA that goes out to December and it is saying everything most of us has been saying. Powerful Alaskan ridge, very low heights across the southern US and some -NAO. Frankly, could be a harsh winter.
More and more - and with every reference to 1976/1977 - that's the feeling I get. At the moment, it appears that most systems are go for a very memorable winter in Texas. Maybe even Portastorm will get some love from the cold and snow machine.
And when Wxman57 is all but conceding that fact in September, well...either a winter to remember is forthcoming. Or a complete bust!
Ntxw wrote:With the way things are setting up over the Pacific, I only see two years that really stick out. 1976 and 1977 as analogs thus far when trying to match SST's. Some pre 1950 years but data back then isn't reliable. 2009 is next best fit. Should have a better feel in October looking at atmospheric responses.
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If we have a winter even close to 2009-2010 but this time for a lot more of the state I'm expecting at least 700.