Ohio Valley and KY Winter 2014-2015

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#21 Postby WeatherGuesser » Sat Dec 06, 2014 5:33 pm

Let's hope the Texans are wrong.

I'll never understand the drooling over potentially damaging weather.
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#22 Postby WeatherGuesser » Mon Dec 15, 2014 8:01 am

Still no sign of the much-ballyhooed deep freeze and crippling blizzard, but the first of the year isn't on the 7 day forecast yet.

So far, December is about average over all and on par with the last two years.
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#23 Postby WeatherGuesser » Tue Dec 16, 2014 5:56 pm

Well, since the Texans posted theirs .......
December 22, 2004 Winter Storm

...Record snowfall up to two feet paralyzed much of the region...
Evansville - 22.3 inches (19.3" on Dec. 22 and 3.0" on Dec. 23). This storm set a new 24-hour snowfall record, and made this the second snowiest December for Evansville.
Paducah - 14.2 inches. This storm set a new 24-hour snowfall record, and made this the snowiest December for Paducah.

This winter storm was accompanied by gusty north winds that produced drifts up to 5 feet deep. Many roads were closed or impassable. Interstate 64 in southwest Indiana was closed for about three days due to extensive drifting. On Interstate 24 in western Kentucky, a 29-mile long traffic jam formed from Trigg County into Lyon County. An estimated 1,000 people were stranded in their vehicles overnight. The National Guard was mobilized for both the Interstate 64 and Interstate 24 incidents. Traffic was reported stopped on other interstates as well, including the interchange of Interstates 55 and 57 in southeast Missouri.

Image

2. Truck traffic stopped on ramp at the Interstate 24 and Purchase Parkway interchange in western KY. Courtesy of Rick Shanklin.


http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pah/storm/christmas04/main.php
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#24 Postby gatorcane » Wed Dec 17, 2014 5:02 pm

Folks here may want to pay attention to the possible super storm the ECMWF is showing next week for this region. NWS Albany draws similarities to the Great Appalachian storm of 1950 as well as the "Cleveland Bomb" OF 1978 :eek:

BY LATE MONDAY...THE EUROPEAN AND GFS FORECAST MODELS ARE
FORECASTING A MUCH STRONGER TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHERN
BRANCH TO DIG IN THE NATION/S MID SECTION. THIS TROUGH IS FORECAST
TO INTERACT WITH SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY TO PRODUCE WHAT COULD BE A
POWERFUL STORM AS WE HEAD INTO LATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

THE TRACK OF THIS STORM LOOKS TO BE ALONG OR NEAR THE APPALACHIAN
MOUNTAINS...WELL TO THE WEST OF THE HUDSON VALLEY. IT WOULD IMPACT
OUR REGION MAINLY ON CHRISTMAS EVE. A STORM WITH THIS TRACK WOULD
LIKELY BRING MOSTLY RAIN...PERHAPS A LITTLE WINTRY MIX ON THE FRONT
SIDE. AS IT MOVES UP TO OUR NORTHWEST...IT WOULD PULL AIR IN COLD
ENOUGH TO PERHAPS SWITCH LEFTOVER RAIN SHOWERS INTO SNOW SHOWERS BY
CHRISTMAS EVE NIGHT.

THIS STORM MIGHT BRING SOME STRONG WIND TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN
WEDNESDAY...AS IT LOOKS SIMILAR TO THE SETUP OF THE GREAT
APPALACHIAN STORM OF 1950 AS WELL AS THE "CLEVELAND BOMB" OF 1978.
HEAVY RAIN MIGHT TRIGGER SOME HYDRO ISSUES AS WE STILL HAVE A BIT OF
SNOW TO MELT IN THE MOUNTAINS.


BEING NEARLY A WEEK AWAY A LOT OF THE SYNOPTIC SETUP COULD
CHANGE...BUT THIS STORM DEFINITELY BEARS WATCHING

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... hlight=off

12Z ECMWF 192 hours:
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#25 Postby brunota2003 » Sat Dec 20, 2014 4:46 am

Yeah, the Jackson, KY weather office has been highlighting the wind potential with that "bomb" of a storm here the last couple of days. Looks like for central-eastern KY, it'll be a mostly rain event, with a back end light snow/snow showers to give us a coating of snow on Christmas Eve (thinking less than an inch)...along with some 35 to 40 mph wind gusts.
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#26 Postby WeatherGuesser » Sat Dec 20, 2014 3:33 pm

As of right now, the NWS 7 day forecast for PAH is showing:

Friday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 50. South southwest wind around 11 mph.

Friday being the 26th, so if the refrigeration unit is to be cranked up, it must be after that.
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#27 Postby WeatherGuesser » Sat Dec 27, 2014 3:04 pm

7 Day forecast still not showing anything dramatic. A moderate cool down for the 31st, but then back up into the 40s.
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#28 Postby WeatherGuesser » Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:00 pm

Very middle of the road so far. The one big cold blast that wasn't really all that cold. A lesser chill a couple weeks back. December was right on average and January is on track to be.

February can be a strange month though. It can be very nasty.

One thing is the precip. Nothing major at all (so far). No significant snowfalls and no ice to speak of. The big ice storm was the last couple of days of January and into February though, so anything could happen yet.

Precip is below average though which may not bode well going into spring if things don't change.
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#29 Postby WeatherGuesser » Fri Feb 13, 2015 4:29 pm

Some of the coldest air of the season forecast for this week. Highs in the 20s some days with single digit lows. Showing snow chances for 3 or three days, but not much for accumulation.

Comparable to last year, but a week later.

About 3 weeks left for things to start to change for the better.
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Re: Ohio Valley and KY Winter 2014-2015

#30 Postby tolakram » Sun Feb 15, 2015 4:16 pm

We might finally get some appreciable snow Monday. Euro has drifted north and local NWS has bitten, going for 6 to 10 for my area. I'll believe it once it's on the ground. :)

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
258 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

INZ075-080-KYZ091>093-OHZ078-079-081-088-160400-
/O.CON.KILN.WS.W.0003.150216T1000Z-150217T1000Z/
OHIO-SWITZERLAND-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-CLERMONT-BROWN-ADAMS-
SCIOTO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RISING SUN...VEVAY...BURLINGTON...
INDEPENDENCE...ALEXANDRIA...MILFORD...GEORGETOWN...WEST UNION...
PORTSMOUTH
258 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM MONDAY TO
5 AM EST TUESDAY...

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY MORNING...BECOMING STEADY AND HEAVY THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY
BEFORE TAPERING OFF MONDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO
REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF INFORMATION FOR THE
LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILN AS WELL AS ON OUR FACEBOOK AND TWITTER PAGES.

&&

$$
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#31 Postby WeatherGuesser » Sun Feb 15, 2015 8:17 pm

Image
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#32 Postby WeatherGuesser » Sun Feb 15, 2015 8:53 pm

Every time I look at a forecast, they drop Wednesday night colder. A few days ago, they were showing it to be about 10 degrees. Now they're down to 5 below.

Factoring in the anticipated snow cover I guess.
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#33 Postby WeatherGuesser » Mon Feb 16, 2015 10:42 pm

Area reports are in the 10" realm.

Not too concerned about what we've got, but the weekend forecast isn't very comforting.
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#34 Postby WeatherGuesser » Mon Feb 23, 2015 7:37 pm

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
0431 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT PADUCAH KY...

A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 9 DEGREES WAS SET AT PADUCAH KY TODAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 10 SET IN 1978.


RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
0525 PM CST MON FEB 23 2015

...RECORD MIN MAX SET AT PADUCAH KY...

A RECORD COLD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 22 DEGREES WAS SET AT PADUCAH KY
TODAY FEBRUARY 23RD. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 26 SET IN 1939.
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#35 Postby WeatherGuesser » Fri Feb 27, 2015 9:06 am

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
0720 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2015

...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT PADUCAH KY...

A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 11 DEGREES WAS SET AT PADUCAH KY
THIS MORNING. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 14 SET IN 1963.

TODAY IS ALSO THE 12 CONSECUTIVE DAY WITH AT LEAST 1 INCH OF SNOW
DEPTH. THIS RANKS AS THE 5 LONGEST STREAK OF 1 INCH SNOW DEPTH. THE
RECORD WAS SET DURING THE HARSH WINTER OF 1978 WITH 44 CONSECUTIVE
DAYS OF AT LEAST 1 INCH OF SNOW ON THE GROUND.

$$
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#36 Postby WeatherGuesser » Sat Feb 28, 2015 12:24 pm

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
0930 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2015

...RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT PADUCAH KY FOR YESTERDAY...

A RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF 26 DEGREES WAS SET AT PADUCAH KY
YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 30 SET IN 2002.

$$
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#37 Postby WeatherGuesser » Mon Mar 02, 2015 6:03 pm

Oh Goody!

322 PM CST MON MAR 2 2015

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING: RAIN SHOULD BEGIN CHANGING OVER TO SLEET AND SNOW FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST STARTING EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING WITH THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* MAIN IMPACT: BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM FOUR TO SIX INCHES GENERALLY NORTH AND
WEST OF A LINE FROM ROCKPORT INDIANA TO DEXTER MISSOURI WITH SIX
TO TEN INCHES POSSIBLE SOUTH AND EAST OF THAT LINE
.

* OTHER IMPACTS: THIS MUCH SNOWFALL WILL CAUSE NUMEROUS TRAVEL
ISSUES ACROSS THE REGION. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MAKE
PREPARATIONS NOW FOR THIS UPCOMING WINTER STORM AND STAY TUNED
FOR UPDATES AND THE POSSIBLE UPGRADE TO A WINTER STORM WARNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT WOULD GREATLY IMPACT
TRAVEL. STAY TUNED FOR LATER STATEMENTS. THIS WATCH WILL BE
UPGRADED TO A WARNING IF WINTER STORM CONDITIONS BECOME MORE
CERTAIN.

&&
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#38 Postby WeatherGuesser » Tue Mar 03, 2015 4:51 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
251 PM CST TUE MAR 3 2015

...MINOR FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATIONS AND SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND
SLEET ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.SUB FREEZING AIR IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT COMBINED WITH
ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL LIKELY PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND SLEET
AS WELL AS LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE REGION.

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-040400-
/O.UPG.KPAH.WS.A.0003.150304T1200Z-150305T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KPAH.WS.W.0003.150304T1200Z-150305T1200Z/


< snipped>


251 PM CST TUE MAR 3 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM CST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM CST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING: RAIN SHOULD BEGIN CHANGING OVER TO FREEZING RAIN...
SLEET AND SNOW FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST STARTING EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW WILL PROGRESS
SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THE CHANGEOVER TO SLEET AND
SNOW IS NOT EXPECTED TO OCCUR UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
GENERALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF THE OHIO RIVER. THE SNOW WILL THEN
TAPER OFF FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* MAIN IMPACT: BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM FOUR TO SIX INCHES GENERALLY NORTH AND
WEST OF A LINE FROM MOUNT CARMEL ILLINOIS TO PERRYVILLE TO VAN
BUREN TO DONIPHAN MISSOURI. SOUTH AND EAST OF THAT LINE SIX TO
EIGHT INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. AN EIGHT TO TEN INCH SWATH OF
SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE GENERALLY TWENTY-FIVE MILES EITHER SIDE OF
A LINE FROM NEW MADRID MISSOURI TO CALHOUN KENTUCKY. AS MUCH AS
ONE INCH OF SLEET MAY FALL PRIOR TO THE SNOW... PARTICULARLY
ACROSS WESTERN KENTUCKY AND FAR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

* OTHER IMPACTS: THIS MUCH SNOW AND SLEET WILL PRODUCE TREACHEROUS
CONDITIONS AND CAUSE SIGNIFICANT TRAVEL ISSUES ACROSS THE
REGION. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. CONFIDENCE
IS HIGH IN THE OUTCOME OF THIS STORM SYSTEM SO MAKE PREPARATIONS
NOW. STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES AND POSSIBLE ADJUSTMENTS TO SNOWFALL
TOTALS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
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#39 Postby WeatherGuesser » Wed Mar 04, 2015 2:07 pm

Seems they got the timing pretty close so far. Just turning over to sleet in the last half hour or so. I just hope they're not so close with the accumulations. We got got rid of all of the last 8-10 and I really don't need it all back.

At least this time they're showing temps back into the 40s and 50s within a few days instead of staying in the 20s for a week or two.
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#40 Postby WeatherGuesser » Fri Mar 06, 2015 9:06 am

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
744 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

...MARCH SNOWFALL AND TEMPERATURE RECORDS BROKEN AT PADUCAH...

THE SNOWFALL THAT OCCURRED ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY /MARCH 4 AND
5/ WAS THE HEAVIEST MARCH SNOWSTORM AT PADUCAH. A TOTAL OF 12.1
INCHES WAS MEASURED AT THE PADUCAH NWS OFFICE. THE PREVIOUS
RECORD FOR MARCH WAS 9.0 INCHES ON MARCH 3RD OF 1960. THIS RECORD
IS FOR SINGLE DAY OR TWO-DAY SNOWSTORMS ONLY.

THE RECENT SNOWSTORM WAS THE 3RD LARGEST SNOWSTORM ALL-TIME AT
PADUCAH THAT OCCURRED OVER A 2 DAY PERIOD. LAST MONTHS SNOWSTORM
NOW HAS FALLEN INTO 4TH PLACE. HERE ARE THE TOP FOUR SNOWSTORMS AT
PADUCAH...

1. 14.2 INCHES DEC. 22-23 OF 2004
2. 12.2 INCHES JAN. 16-17 OF 1978
3. 12.1 INCHES MAR. 4-5 OF 2015
4. 10.8 INCHES FEB. 16-17 OF 2015

THERE HAVE BEEN NO OTHER SNOWFALLS OF 10 INCHES OR MORE AT PADUCAH
IN THE RECORDS.

THE EARLY MORNING LOW OF MINUS 6 DEGREES AT PADUCAH WAS THE
COLDEST TEMPERATURE NOT ONLY FOR TODAYS DATE BUT ALSO FOR THE
MONTH OF MARCH. THE OLD RECORD OF MINUS 2 WAS SET ON MARCH 5TH
AND 6TH OF 1960...RIGHT AFTER THE OLD MARCH RECORD SNOWFALL WAS
SET.
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