SW LA/SE TX WINTER 2014-2015

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Jagno
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Re: SW LA/SE TX WINTER 2014-2015

#41 Postby Jagno » Sun Mar 01, 2015 8:15 pm

000
FXUS64 KLCH 012310
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
510 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

REAL FUN BEGINS WEDNESDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/STORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG/AHEAD OF IT...
SPC IS MENTIONING TODAY THAT A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO
POSSIBLY SEVERE ALTHOUGH POTENTIAL LIMITED INSTABILITY COULD BE
ENOUGH TO KEEP SEVERE STORMS TO ZERO. THEREAFTER COLD AIR OF
CANADIAN SOURCE IS PROGGED TO QUICKLY ENGULF THE AREA...WITH TEMPS
LIKELY DROPPING 30-40 DEGREES BETWEEN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
THURSDAY MORNING. GOOD OVERRUNNING IS PROGGED FOR BEHIND THE FRONT
AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR
YET ANOTHER ROUND OF [color=#FF0000]FREEZING RAIN
AND POSSIBLY MORE OVER CENTRAL
LA/INTERIOR SERN TX...STARTING MAINLY TOWARD SUNRISE THURSDAY AND
LINGERING INTO MID-MORNING. WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE WHAT LATER
MODEL RUNS/SOUNDINGS DO WITH THIS WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. FRIDAY MORNING LOOKS TO BE THE COLDEST OF ALL
WITH READINGS WELL INLAND DROPPING TO POSSIBLY THE MID 20S[/color]. CLOSER
TO THE COAST MINS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 30S WHICH COULD BE
PROBLEMATIC AS LONGER RANGE MODELS ARE WANTING TO HOLD ONTO SOME
PRECIP AS A WAVE DEVELOPS ALONG THE FRONT AND PUSHES NEWD...STAY
TUNED.

TEMPS BEGIN TO MODIFY TOWARD NEXT WEEKEND BEFORE YET ANOTHER
STRONG SHORTWAVE ALOFT APPROACHES THE AREA. MODELS ARE MIXED ON
HOW MUCH MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE FOR THIS FEATURE TO WORK
WITH...THUS ONLY SMALL POPS ARE INCLUDED FOR THE OUT PERIODS IN
THIS FORECAST.
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CYCLONE MIKE
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Re: SW LA/SE TX WINTER 2014-2015

#42 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sun Mar 01, 2015 8:18 pm

CajunMama wrote:
Jagno wrote:Well my Louisiana friends are in fact still alive and well. Nice to hear from you. I've pretty much stayed on the Texas thread reading there since I was the only one on this one.


I've been reading the thread but winter's been quite dull this year. :Chit: :sleeping:



Very dull indeed. And according to our nws office it looks to stay that way by way of the euro.
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Re: SW LA/SE TX WINTER 2014-2015

#43 Postby BigB0882 » Sun Mar 01, 2015 9:08 pm

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:
CajunMama wrote:
Jagno wrote:Well my Louisiana friends are in fact still alive and well. Nice to hear from you. I've pretty much stayed on the Texas thread reading there since I was the only one on this one.


I've been reading the thread but winter's been quite dull this year. :Chit: :sleeping:



Very dull indeed. And according to our nws office it looks to stay that way by way of the euro.


I have been wondering what the Euro says. No Bueno for us, I suppose? Temps too warm or no precip or just bad timing?

The GFS has been surprisingly consistent. Now, it has been horrible all winter but I don't recall it being so consistent on any event for us like this. Not sure if it means anything other than now they are wrong and consistent about it, though. Lol
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Re: SW LA/SE TX WINTER 2014-2015

#44 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sun Mar 01, 2015 11:54 pm

You got it, consistently wrong. I wouldn't believe it if it were showing this 6 hrs out. The 00z run looks to almost lose it again. Wonder what the euro will show later tonight? Wouldn't surprise if the gfs shows nothing come tomorrow's runs.
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#45 Postby BigB0882 » Mon Mar 02, 2015 12:01 am

I definitely think the writing is on the wall. We will, again, be too far south and east. As has been the case all winter. If, by some miracle, the models are showing anything Tuesday then I might actually get excited and get my hopes up. Not a minute before, though. lol
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Re: SW LA/SE TX WINTER 2014-2015

#46 Postby CajunMama » Tue Mar 03, 2015 12:51 am

Supposed to have 70% chance of rain Wednesday night with a low of 35. 35? 35?? 35??? Cold wet RAIN. :crying: :red:
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Re: SW LA/SE TX WINTER 2014-2015

#47 Postby vbhoutex » Sun Mar 08, 2015 2:38 pm

I am so READY FOR SPRING!! I am tired or the COLD :cold: and I'm tired of the WET and we haven't gotten any SNOW :froze: to go with this miserable COLD, RAINY WEATHER!! Today it has rained all day and is 46 degrees. UGH!! We've had about 1/2" of rain so far. :roll: I guess I shouldn't complain because we could easily slip back into a drought.
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