Mid-Atlantic Winter Weather 2015-2016

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TheLonesomeTractor
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Mid-Atlantic Winter Weather 2015-2016

#1 Postby TheLonesomeTractor » Thu Oct 22, 2015 10:32 am

Hello All,

I don't know about you guys, but I love snow. There is nothing that gets me more excited than watching those perfect little flakes fall from the sky and begin to accumulate on the ground. The snow will eventually cover the grass, pavement, and tree limbs with a blanket of white giving us a new perspective on the world around us.

A lot of speculation has been made as to the effects the current El Nino on the upcoming winter. Some say mild temperatures with more moisture/precipitation. How will this translate into snowfall for our area?

My prediction is that on average, temperatures will trend more mild. But my gut is telling me we will see the stars align, at least a handful of times, bringing us the beautiful combination of temperatures well below freezing and large swaths of moisture from the south.

Please feel free to enlighten me on what you see in our future for the 2015-2016 Mid-Atlantic Winter.

Sincerely,

TheLonesomeTractor
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#2 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Oct 22, 2015 10:48 am

:uarrow: It may be possible for a couple of significant snow events across the Mid-Atlantic region this upcoming winter. Much will depend if we get some variation of a negative NAO during the next few months, which could happen even during a strong El Nino. I will say that if this happened, it could potentially produce a major snowstorm along the U.S. Eastern seaboard. Definitely something potentially to watch for this upcoming winter.
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Winter Weather 2015-2016

#3 Postby TheLonesomeTractor » Thu Oct 29, 2015 9:51 am

This one response is making me more lonely... what are yalls thoughts? Blizzard or Bologna?
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Winter Weather 2015-2016

#4 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Oct 29, 2015 1:25 pm

TheLonesomeTractor wrote:This one response is making me more lonely... what are yalls thoughts? Blizzard or Bologna?


Well, right now it is a bologna sandwich with light mayo and mustard :( :eek: ... There are no indications at least through the next 10-14 days leading into mid- November that any significant cold will be coming down the pike. It seems that for now this is resembling the 1997-1998 El Nino version, which gave the Southeast region/Florida a very wet and and unseasonbly mild winter.

Could be late November into December before we get any real cold coming down into the CONUS.
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#5 Postby Bizzles » Thu Nov 05, 2015 12:49 pm

Kind of jumping the gun here aren't we? Winter is still a month and a half away!

Anyway welcome Lonesome!

I'm afraid this is one of the less popular spots for winter wx discussion. 90% of the time it's just myself and AngelWing trading snow totals and record lows since we live relatively close to each other. Still though I thoroughly enjoy the winter and being I live in the infamous I-95 corridor (that magically seems to always be the line between 2 feet and 2 inches of snow) there's a lot of attention on NWS Mt. Holly for mid-atlantic winter wx.

Where abouts are you located?

So since we're currently looking at breaking record Highs tomorrow, I'll retreat back to my slumber. See ya when the flakes start flying!

:froze:
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Winter Weather 2015-2016

#6 Postby angelwing » Thu Nov 05, 2015 1:51 pm

Hiya Lonesome!!

Been busy lately and have not had much time for the board:( AS Bizzles says it's usually just him & I trading totals, freeze stories, etc when winter starts :D Glad to see another person jump on board here!

Where about are you located? I'm 30 miles from Philly and usually get the usual "north and west of the city" crap, lol. Bizzles could have nothing and I could get a foot and vice versa!

My thoughts on winter I haven't had much...I'm not a weather met, just dabble a little, but I think we might not get our really first snow until maybe mid-December. I'm hoping anytime after Dec 11 as I am going to see Mannheim Steamroller on Dec 11 and don't want to drive to Reading in the snow!

Be back here when we get the first winter warning!
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Winter Weather 2015-2016

#7 Postby TheLonesomeTractor » Thu Nov 05, 2015 3:56 pm

Hey Guys! I am from northern Virginia (Manassas) but currently live down in Virginia Beach. Last year the best we had was around 4 inches. The year before that though, we had a solid 8. Pretty exciting at the beach.

My brother works out at Snowshoe Mountain in WV and I snowboard pretty frequently so I am hoping to see some good snowfall totals out there as well!

Weather has definitely been warm lately. I believe you guys may be right in thinking that the brunt of our winter season will fall on or after December.
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#8 Postby Bizzles » Mon Nov 09, 2015 8:27 am

== First Freeze ==

Low was 30°F @ 4:58 am.

At or below freezing for 5+hrs!!

(#s per NWS for Columbus, NJ)

:froze:
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#9 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Nov 09, 2015 8:37 am

There you have it Bizzles. I have to go back and see how you did in the First Freeze Predictions thread.

EDIT: Bizzles you had October 18 for your prediction as I just checked.
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Winter Weather 2015-2016

#10 Postby angelwing » Mon Nov 09, 2015 8:58 am

It was 28 when I left the house at 5Am :cold:
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#11 Postby Bizzles » Tue Nov 10, 2015 1:03 pm

I was wrong...and right!

I forgot all about my guess Jax, so I started digging...can't easily find data for my exact location but Trenton is 10 mi from my home...look what I found:

000
CDUS41 KPHI 200628
CLITTN


CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
226 AM EDT TUE OCT 20 2015


...................................

...THE TRENTON NJ CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 19 2015...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1865 TO 2015


WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
YESTERDAY
MAXIMUM 53 246 PM 83 1963 64 -11 53
MINIMUM 27R 549 AM 30 1986 43 -16 40
1974
AVERAGE 40 53 -13 47
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#12 Postby mitchell » Sat Dec 12, 2015 7:54 pm

Georgetown Delaware hit 73 today. Broke the old record by 5 degrees. Other Delmarva stations (Wilmington, Salisbury) also hit low 70s and broke records. Local mets predicting three record breaking days of warmth in a row at most stations.
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#13 Postby Bizzles » Mon Dec 14, 2015 10:49 am

AC hit 73 on Sunday!! Bermuda Highs in December ftw!

But really...this is getting just a tad ridiculous now... :sun: :sun:
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Winter Weather 2015-2016

#14 Postby mitchell » Tue Dec 15, 2015 9:59 am

75 in Georgetown Delaware yesterday broke old record by 8 degrees. Four consecutive days with record warmth in DE.
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Winter Weather 2015-2016

#15 Postby NDG » Sun Dec 20, 2015 10:31 am

More record breaking highs possibly for the Mid Atlantic and NE US for Christmas eve, possible 70s all the way up to southern Pennsylvania and NJ, wow!

Image
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#16 Postby Bizzles » Tue Dec 22, 2015 9:07 am

Possible is an understatement! I would go with imminent shattering :lol:

Looking at 75°F here!!
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Winter Weather 2015-2016

#17 Postby mitchell » Sat Dec 26, 2015 10:26 am

Georgetown Delaware on Christmas: Low 66 high 74.
High temp broke a record.
Low temp was 38 degrees higher than average.
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#18 Postby Bizzles » Sat Jan 02, 2016 9:44 am

Well just like that...Happy New Year!!

Monday: H 31 L 16 :froze:
Tuesday: H 30 L 19

Also tracking possible flurry activity for Monday!!! First "snow" of 2016!!
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#19 Postby Bizzles » Tue Jan 05, 2016 10:48 am

Didn't see any flurries yesterday...but tonight's forecast low is SEVEN! :cold:
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Winter Weather 2015-2016

#20 Postby angelwing » Tue Jan 05, 2016 1:11 pm

Extremely thankful that after 3 years of trying to get it fixed they finally got my heat in the van working!!!! Still a little fluckie but getting in the van at 5AM when it was 4 degrees out this morning was not as bad as it usually is!!!

We're getting 10 for a low tonight here! :cold:
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