Texas Winter 2016-2017

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 17316
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4941 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 25, 2017 4:32 pm

Brent wrote:DFW is on track for warmest winter on record... 1999-2000 is the current record. Only 4 days left and 3 of them will be above normal with the likelihood of one last 80 degree Tuesday... :roll:

Last winter was 5th...


So statistically this winter is worse. Anecdotally this winter had more to offer though when it did get cold albeit brief. But the warm days were warmer
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
TheAustinMan
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 866
Age: 19
Joined: Mon Jul 08, 2013 4:26 pm
Location: SW Austin, TX (summer); Ithaca, NY
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4942 Postby TheAustinMan » Sat Feb 25, 2017 6:42 pm

Austin's February mean temperature this year, 64.5F, is greater than the average temperatures of 20 of the 27 Marches since 1990, and the average low, 49F, ties or exceeds the average lows of 23/27 Marches since 1990. Meanwhile, the average February high for 2017 beats the average highs of 18 of the 27 Marches since 1990. Although it looks like this weekend will bring these values down slightly, they should go back up again to close out February as highs in the low 80s and lows in the low 60s are expected.
0 likes   
ImageImageImage
- Treat my opinions with a grain of salt. For official information see your local weather service/RSMC.
- In the summer I'm in Austin, Texas; otherwise I'm in college in upstate New York

User avatar
TheProfessor
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 2755
Age: 23
Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2013 10:56 am
Location: Roaming Texan

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4943 Postby TheProfessor » Sat Feb 25, 2017 6:42 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Brent wrote:DFW is on track for warmest winter on record... 1999-2000 is the current record. Only 4 days left and 3 of them will be above normal with the likelihood of one last 80 degree Tuesday... :roll:

Last winter was 5th...


So statistically this winter is worse. Anecdotally this winter had more to offer though when it did get cold albeit brief. But the warm days were warmer


If it weren't for our 4 inch event I would be inclined to call this year the year without winter. we had about 1.5 inches of snow right before the 4 inch event but it melted in the same day(This was way back in December). Since we might have hit an 1 inch of snow once. The rest have been days of snow showers where the ground was too warm. And I thought last year was bad. Our only hope now is if we can get a legit clipper train and then have a good storm in March. That's not to get back to average, that's just to make it look like something actually happened. Yet somehow this winter still wasn't as bad as 2011-12 where Columbus only got 7 inches of snow. We likely have the 4 inch event to thank for this.
0 likes   
An alumnus of The Ohio State University.

You local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2661
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4944 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Feb 25, 2017 8:28 pm

It looks like there should be some storms late tomorrow into the overnight hours. I wonder if any those will leave behind any interesting boundaries for Monday? Then same story for Tuesday. It wouldn't be surprising to see some unexpected fireworks Monday or Tuesday, esp. if some mesoscale features come together. DFW area speaking.
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 34185
Age: 31
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4945 Postby Brent » Sat Feb 25, 2017 10:35 pm

Just to make it worse DFW's February average right now is 3 degrees above the normal MARCH average

The average high this month is 71.5 degrees the average high doesn't even reach 71 til March 24th...
1 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2661
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4946 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Feb 25, 2017 10:40 pm

Brent wrote:Just to make it worse DFW's February average right now is 3 degrees above the normal MARCH average


Just crazy
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
Quixotic
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 154
Joined: Tue Feb 14, 2017 12:27 am
Location: Frisco

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4947 Postby Quixotic » Sat Feb 25, 2017 11:44 pm

What I've learned from this is: go with precedence. 97-98 was a super Nino followed by an equally abhorrent Nina. Two years of futility. Not to frighten anyone, but 99-00 had one winter event albeit more substantial than anything we've seen since March 2015. This is all DFW centric.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 34185
Age: 31
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4948 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 26, 2017 12:59 am

Marginal risk tomorrow DFW/Austin. The 4km NAM has some storms firing just south of the metroplex and moving in during the evening hours
0 likes   
#neversummer

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 17316
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4949 Postby Ntxw » Sun Feb 26, 2017 9:59 am

Yesterday was just perfect. Cold morning, 50s during the day with windows all open and good air circulation with just a slight wind, not too dry not too humid.

Hoping for a cool, wet March
1 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2661
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4950 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Feb 26, 2017 10:02 am

Brent wrote:Marginal risk tomorrow DFW/Austin. The 4km NAM has some storms firing just south of the metroplex and moving in during the evening hours


It could be an active 3 days or it could be 3 days of missing out. The latest thinking from FWD:

Image

Image

Image

ETA:

Things will be more active to our east and SPC might be busy this week:

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
TheProfessor
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 2755
Age: 23
Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2013 10:56 am
Location: Roaming Texan

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4951 Postby TheProfessor » Sun Feb 26, 2017 12:43 pm

It's looking like it could get pretty bad in Arkansas, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky and Southwestern Ohio. These are the areas that SPC thinks could see more celluar storms. Right now the NAM has some pretty extreme atmospheres for these regions on Tuesday and again on Wednesday.
0 likes   
An alumnus of The Ohio State University.

You local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.

Yukon Cornelius
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1245
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Dec 20, 2012 9:23 pm
Location: Petrolia, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4952 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Sun Feb 26, 2017 2:03 pm

Picked up another freeze last night. It wouldn't surprise me if it wasn't the last one of this "winter".
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2661
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4953 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Feb 26, 2017 3:04 pm

HRRR is wanting to fire some storms west of DFW later and move them through the area. Doesn't look overly impressive but I'll gladly take the rain and a few claps of thunder.

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 34185
Age: 31
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4954 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 26, 2017 5:06 pm

Already had a couple showers here
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2661
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4955 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Feb 26, 2017 7:25 pm

Lol @ HRRR, it gives up on the storms out west but then reality:

ETA: they seem to be fizzling out now

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 34185
Age: 31
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4956 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 26, 2017 8:26 pm

In other news Chicago is about to do something it hasn't done since records began in 1871... record no snow on the ground in January or February!!! :double:

Oh btw their "snow on the ground" has to be at least a half inch because I was confused too. :P
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
gboudx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3796
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:39 pm
Location: Rockwall, Tx but from Harvey, La

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4957 Postby gboudx » Sun Feb 26, 2017 8:33 pm

Brent wrote:In other news Chicago is about to do something it hasn't done since records began in 1871... record no snow on the ground in January or February!!! :double:

Oh btw their "snow on the ground" has to be at least a half inch because I was confused too. :P


The Polar Plunge for Special Olympics won't be quite as brutal as years past. But that doesn't mean I want to jump into Lake Michigan. :)
0 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2661
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4958 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Feb 26, 2017 9:56 pm

Reports of hail with this cell moving towards DFW:

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 34185
Age: 31
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4959 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 26, 2017 11:05 pm

Just barely lifting north of me... but quite a light show.

The HRRR had this earlier and then lost it. Fail. :lol:
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
Quixotic
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 154
Joined: Tue Feb 14, 2017 12:27 am
Location: Frisco

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4960 Postby Quixotic » Sun Feb 26, 2017 11:25 pm

Lot of lightning and light rain with this storm here in NW Frisco.

ETA: heavy rain and pea sized hail now.
Last edited by Quixotic on Sun Feb 26, 2017 11:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 9 guests