Texas Winter 2016-2017

Winter Weather Discussion

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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4961 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Feb 26, 2017 11:25 pm

You can always count on the GFS!

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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4962 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 26, 2017 11:34 pm

More cold that won't happen

:roflmao:

Sure GFS, we go from no freeze after January 8th to a freeze on March 14th. :roll:

Yesterday it had temps pushing 90 then... I hate to sound like wxman57 but given recently I think that's more likely. :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4963 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Feb 26, 2017 11:37 pm

DFW looks to be on the edge the next two days, but wouldn't be surprised if one of them over performs.

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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4964 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 26, 2017 11:56 pm

bubba hotep wrote:You can always count on the GFS!



The GFS says nevermind :roflmao:

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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4965 Postby WeatherGuesser » Mon Feb 27, 2017 5:01 am

gboudx wrote:
Brent wrote:In other news Chicago is about to do something it hasn't done since records began in 1871... record no snow on the ground in January or February!!! :double:

Oh btw their "snow on the ground" has to be at least a half inch because I was confused too. :P


The Polar Plunge for Special Olympics won't be quite as brutal as years past. But that doesn't mean I want to jump into Lake Michigan. :)



Seems like just a few years ago, we were doing a thread on record widespread ice cover on the Great Lakes.

Oh wait .. it was: viewtopic.php?f=22&t=116168&hilit=ice+cover
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4966 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Mon Feb 27, 2017 7:45 am

gboudx wrote:
Brent wrote:In other news Chicago is about to do something it hasn't done since records began in 1871... record no snow on the ground in January or February!!! :double:

Oh btw their "snow on the ground" has to be at least a half inch because I was confused too. :P


The Polar Plunge for Special Olympics won't be quite as brutal as years past. But that doesn't mean I want to jump into Lake Michigan. :)

I have friends that live in Wisconsin. One of them races Harleys on the ice of Lake Michigan and they have had to cancel their whole late season due to nonexistent ice. I've also heard a lot of ice fishing tournaments have been canceled due to no ice.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4967 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Feb 27, 2017 8:41 am

Another chance at storms today:

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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4968 Postby Ntxw » Mon Feb 27, 2017 9:19 am

We will be moving to the Spring thread on Wednesday for the next trimonthly season (M-A-M). This thread will be left open for discussion of reanalysis or summaries of what transpired for DJF only, or if there is an imminent threat of a March freak winter precip (no threat as of today).

If you can't find the spring thread I will link it here on Wednesday

:sun: :rain:
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4969 Postby Portastorm » Mon Feb 27, 2017 9:31 am

Brent wrote:In other news Chicago is about to do something it hasn't done since records began in 1871... record no snow on the ground in January or February!!! :double:

Oh btw their "snow on the ground" has to be at least a half inch because I was confused too. :P


This is absolutely amazing! I really didn't think we'd see this kind of thing in our lifetime. I spent my first 21 years in Cleveland, Ohio (a similar climate to Chi-town) and I can tell you that such a thing occurring is just ... well, I don't have the adjectives to describe the rarity. Kinda helps put this winter in perspective for all of us.

I'd like to think next winter can't be this bad ... LOL ... but I thought that last year at this time and look what happened!! :eek:
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4970 Postby wxman57 » Mon Feb 27, 2017 9:31 am

Ntxw wrote:We will be moving to the Spring thread on Wednesday for the next trimonthly season (M-A-M). This thread will be left open for discussion of reanalysis or summaries of what transpired for DJF only, or if there is an imminent threat of a March freak winter precip (no threat as of today).

If you can't find the spring thread I will link it here on Wednesday

:sun: :rain:


It's about time. Could have moved there the second week of January. ;-) :layout:

P.S.
Portastorm - I said I'd relinquish control over the Texas thermostat next winter.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4971 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Feb 27, 2017 10:30 am

What about long range speculation for next winter? I don't care about summer and spring is only slightly more interesting.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4972 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Feb 27, 2017 11:02 am

Storms already starting to fire SW of DFW and SPC bumps the entire area up a notch and 5% TOR added for areas east of DFW:

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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4973 Postby Ntxw » Mon Feb 27, 2017 11:10 am

bubba hotep wrote:What about long range speculation for next winter? I don't care about summer and spring is only slightly more interesting.


You can start a winter 2017-2018 thread and post forecasts, always welcome. We'll sometimes discuss future winter impacts in the other threads too due to current ENSO and stuff. But the rains and severe weather aspects tends to go in the spring thread. 2015 had good traffic despite non winter threads for TX are less active.

Summer thread is usually pretty quiet unless there is tropical impacts but thats well covered in the very active talkin tropics/active cyclones threads which is the meat of this forum
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4974 Postby wxman57 » Mon Feb 27, 2017 11:17 am

bubba hotep wrote:What about long range speculation for next winter? I don't care about summer and spring is only slightly more interesting.


The 6,384-hour panel of the GFS is indicating lots of sub-freezing air for Texas and plenty of snow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4975 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Feb 27, 2017 11:17 am

bubba hotep wrote:DFW looks to be on the edge the next two days, but wouldn't be surprised if one of them over performs.



Looks like today has already over performed going from TSTM to slight with a watch possible and our first warning of the day:

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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4976 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Feb 27, 2017 11:19 am

wxman57 wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:What about long range speculation for next winter? I don't care about summer and spring is only slightly more interesting.


The 6,384-hour panel of the GFS is indicating lots of sub-freezing air for Texas and plenty of snow.


I run an in house hacked WRF out to 8,760 hrs, it always shows snow!
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4977 Postby wxman57 » Mon Feb 27, 2017 11:24 am

bubba hotep wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:What about long range speculation for next winter? I don't care about summer and spring is only slightly more interesting.


The 6,384-hour panel of the GFS is indicating lots of sub-freezing air for Texas and plenty of snow.


I run an in house hacked WRF out to 8,760 hrs, it always shows snow!


There you go! Looks like a cold and snowy winter for Texas next December-February.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4978 Postby Brent » Mon Feb 27, 2017 11:25 am

Kind of surprised to wake up to a slight but boundaries
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4979 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Feb 27, 2017 11:43 am

Ping pong ball sized hail being reported with that cell now.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4980 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Mon Feb 27, 2017 12:21 pm

I'll see yall next October! Spring and Summer are boring to me. :ggreen:
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