Texas Winter 2017-2018

[bubba hotep]

Kind of lost in all this winter wx talk, the 3k NAM has 0.5"+ of rain for a lot of areas east of I35 tomorrow. I'll gladly take every drop.

[missygirl810]

Kind of lost in all this winter wx talk, the 3k NAM has 0.5"+ of rain for a lot of areas east of I35 tomorrow. I'll gladly take every drop.

We need it in Hunt Co too.

[bubba hotep]

Kind of lost in all this winter wx talk, the 3k NAM has 0.5"+ of rain for a lot of areas east of I35 tomorrow. I'll gladly take every drop.

We need it in Hunt Co too.

It has been a miserably dry stretch. I really hope this rain comes through for the area tomorrow.

[Yukon Cornelius]

18Z GFS doesn't paint a pretty picture for central to NE Texas and southern Arkansas. Over 3" of freezing rain and sleet - not snow. I'd be very cautious about taking that ECMWF snowfall map at face value. I'm not sure how well it does discriminating between snow and freezing rain/sleet in these situations. I'm not aware of anywhere that I can get an ECMWF sounding as we can with the GFS. We get the full ECMWF package at work, but I don't think we can plot a sounding. However, I did promise that the DFW area would get its snow next, now that I let the rest of the state have snow last week. Would a foot be enough up there?

Again, this may more likely be a freezing rain and sleet event - quite a severe ice storm. Central to NE TX and southern Arkansas are under the gun. Not so much of a threat for SE TX this time, it appears. Still a week off, though.

http://wxman57.com/images/18ZGFS.JPG

Don’t leave us up along the river out!

[starsfan65]

18Z GFS doesn't paint a pretty picture for central to NE Texas and southern Arkansas. Over 3" of freezing rain and sleet - not snow. I'd be very cautious about taking that ECMWF snowfall map at face value. I'm not sure how well it does discriminating between snow and freezing rain/sleet in these situations. I'm not aware of anywhere that I can get an ECMWF sounding as we can with the GFS. We get the full ECMWF package at work, but I don't think we can plot a sounding. However, I did promise that the DFW area would get its snow next, now that I let the rest of the state have snow last week. Would a foot be enough up there?

Again, this may more likely be a freezing rain and sleet event - quite a severe ice storm. Central to NE TX and southern Arkansas are under the gun. Not so much of a threat for SE TX this time, it appears. Still a week off, though.

http://wxman57.com/images/18ZGFS.JPG

Don’t leave us up along the river out!

That is one bad ice storm.

[EnnisTx]

Does anyone else here the theme song for the game show Jeopardy playing in the background??

[EnnisTx]

Sorry about all that, seems I've forgotten how to post!

[Brent]

Is it next week yet been watching for a week and still another week to go

In the meantime i hope that rain tomorrow verifies.

[starsfan65]

Is it next week yet been watching for a week and still another week to go

In the meantime i hope that rain tomorrow verifies.

Rain will happen tomorrow.

[sphelps8681]

00Z GFS is starting to come in. Wonder what it will reveal!!

[spencer817]

00Z GFS is starting to come in. Wonder what it will reveal!!

Snow for DFW i wouldnt mind

[starsfan65]

Is it next week yet been watching for a week and still another week to go

In the meantime i hope that rain tomorrow verifies.

Rain will happen tomorrow.

Half of an inch of rain tomorrow.

[Ntxw]

So GFS is running.

If anyone is wondering our storm is currently spinning in the southwest coast of Alaska.

Hour 72 system is coming down the coast of British Columbia

[Quixotic]

Let’s get this show on the road. Up to Wednesday....

[Brent]

I hate being in the bullseye a week out, so much can go wrong...

[JayDT]

I hate being in the bullseye a week out, so much can go wrong...

My thoughts exactly

[Ntxw]

Hour 120 snow is being laid down ahead of the arctic air mass in the northern plains and high rockies. Storm is digging into the Great Basin, 1048 building HP behind it

[gpsnowman]

Let’s get this show on the road. Up to Wednesday....

Yep, I am up later than normal. Need to see the goods before a long coma kicks in. Not sure if I can make it, the eyelid show is about to start.

[Ntxw]

Compared to the 18z, 500mb heights are lower on the western side of the trough. I think it may be a colder run//Euro

[spencer817]

Front a little faster this run...