Texas Winter 2017-2018

Winter Weather Discussion

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hamburgerman7070
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8701 Postby hamburgerman7070 » Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:15 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
hamburgerman7070 wrote:I just would have thought with the more favorable teleconnections and other things looking better that more people would be banging the drum, despite it being late in the season. I'm trying to remain optimistic that we see a late season winter event before we run out of time


I've been saying for a while now that I am high on the 1st 1/2 of March.


Bubba, you would think so with many favorable factors, but it don't always guarantee cold and snow unfortunately
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8702 Postby starsfan65 » Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:16 pm

hamburgerman7070 wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:
hamburgerman7070 wrote:I just would have thought with the more favorable teleconnections and other things looking better that more people would be banging the drum, despite it being late in the season. I'm trying to remain optimistic that we see a late season winter event before we run out of time


I've been saying for a while now that I am high on the 1st 1/2 of March.


Bubba, you would think so with many favorable factors, but it don't always guarantee cold and snow unfortunately

Yes it will
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8703 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:52 pm

starsfan65 wrote:
hamburgerman7070 wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:
I've been saying for a while now that I am high on the 1st 1/2 of March.


Bubba, you would think so with many favorable factors, but it don't always guarantee cold and snow unfortunately

Yes it will


in Texas its never a sure thing til its happening lol. Models are just guidance.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8704 Postby downsouthman1 » Sun Feb 18, 2018 11:29 pm

The beginning, west of del Rio, per radar. LLJ in full effect here. Surface winds very choppy. Haven't felt this in months! Full spring! Stormsx :D

New hashtag btw.

Interesting watching the baby instability forming along the escarpment. I love the Pacific.

There might be a tornado or 2 with this system.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8705 Postby JDawg512 » Mon Feb 19, 2018 3:06 am

Noticed some quick flashes a few min ago while I was out in back waiting for my dogs to do their business. I had a feeling it was lighting and sure enough checked the radar and saw there was a couple of strikes in the hills around Marble Falls.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8706 Postby Ntxw » Mon Feb 19, 2018 7:59 am

Euro has bullseye of nearly 10" of rain in Kaufman county. A lot of rain is coming. DFW looks like 2 rounds of rain today per HRRR. The current precip to the southwest of us will make its way through noon. Then a line may approach from the west

Slight possibility Feb rainfall records may be met
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8707 Postby Ntxw » Mon Feb 19, 2018 8:04 am

There is also a strong cold front pushing through the Texas Panhandle and Oklahoma

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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8708 Postby wxman57 » Mon Feb 19, 2018 8:44 am

Brent wrote:I was up in the northern parts of NYC all day and saw more snow...

now we need a grand finale in Dallas. I'll be back Tuesday evening :wink:


May have a number of flight delays getting into Dallas on Tuesday evening. Thunderstorms, not winter weather.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8709 Postby WacoWx » Mon Feb 19, 2018 9:03 am

Any chance that bulls eye moves closer to the DFW area? It hasn't seemed to really moved over the past couple of days.

It's nice to be excited about weather again.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8710 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Mon Feb 19, 2018 9:14 am

Man, it feels so gross outside. Low 60s and 90% humidity.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8711 Postby Ntxw » Mon Feb 19, 2018 9:19 am

WacoWx wrote:Any chance that bulls eye moves closer to the DFW area? It hasn't seemed to really moved over the past couple of days.

It's nice to be excited about weather again.


It has been shifting southwest over the past week. Bullseye earlier was in Arkansas. Cold surface air will be west of I-35 and warmer to the east. The middle ground will be highway for rain
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8712 Postby Ntxw » Mon Feb 19, 2018 9:46 am

12z NAM has 4-6" of rain for the major DFW counties with Dallas, Collin, and Rockwall counties 6+ the next few days.
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8713 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Feb 19, 2018 9:55 am

My guess, we see an area of High added and that we see Flash Flood watches hoisted across portions of DFW and for areas to the east.

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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8714 Postby Cerlin » Mon Feb 19, 2018 10:00 am

wxman57 wrote:
Brent wrote:I was up in the northern parts of NYC all day and saw more snow...

now we need a grand finale in Dallas. I'll be back Tuesday evening :wink:


May have a number of flight delays getting into Dallas on Tuesday evening. Thunderstorms, not winter weather.

Getting back in about 4 from Florida (was here for the Daytona 500), do you think I’ll make it back before flight delays?
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8715 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Feb 19, 2018 10:20 am

Also, some low end tornado threat today to the NW and up into OK:

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8716 Postby wxman57 » Mon Feb 19, 2018 11:02 am

Cerlin wrote:Getting back in about 4 from Florida (was here for the Daytona 500), do you think I’ll make it back before flight delays?


Not knowing where "in" is, I'll assume you mean the DFW area. Best chance for thunderstorms and delays is prior to 6pm, so you may see some delays. Squall line might not really get going until it's east of the DFW area, though. I watched the 500, didn't notice you in the crowd...
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8717 Postby Texas Snow » Mon Feb 19, 2018 12:17 pm

Good time to remind folks to add their location to their profile. You dont have to put your home address :lol: but a general indication of where you are helps in answering questions as well as adds to the community feel of the board.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8718 Postby DonWrk » Mon Feb 19, 2018 12:17 pm

NAM has been consistent on a rather large ice storm for western parts of Texas and a lot of Oklahoma. Anyone buying into this?
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8719 Postby BrokenGlassRepublicn » Mon Feb 19, 2018 1:35 pm

Yukon Cornelius wrote:Man, it feels so gross outside. Low 60s and 90% humidity.

I am working on a project in my garage and the floor in there is all moist and dewy. Rather disgusting.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8720 Postby Cerlin » Mon Feb 19, 2018 1:54 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Cerlin wrote:Getting back in about 4 from Florida (was here for the Daytona 500), do you think I’ll make it back before flight delays?


Not knowing where "in" is, I'll assume you mean the DFW area. Best chance for thunderstorms and delays is prior to 6pm, so you may see some delays. Squall line might not really get going until it's east of the DFW area, though. I watched the 500, didn't notice you in the crowd...

Sorry yeah, DFW, should’ve been clearer haha. And gotcha thanks for the heads up. It was a good race I sat at the very end of the grandstands.
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