South Texas Storms wrote::uarrow: My hope is that the models back off a bit from the major cold and that allows a disturbance and moisture to hold back and possibly bring us some wintry precip. Plenty of time still to watch.
I hope so too. But from the beginning I've been looking for the major HPs before the rumbles of winter storm in the analog patterns. Now that it's there, it's hard to disregard it. I've been skeptical with models showing low mid 20s for lows, when (yet again) the last blast was wimpier and it got to 22. I wouldn't be surprised if this got us into the low to mid teens.