Texas Winter 2017-2018

Winter Weather Discussion

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Ntxw
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8681 Postby Ntxw » Sun Feb 18, 2018 1:57 pm

Some -20s forecasted in Montana by Tuesday. I would not be surprised if next cold front hits harder than expected like what happened last weekend when it was really cold up north.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8682 Postby stantheboxman » Sun Feb 18, 2018 2:12 pm

gpsnowman wrote:Nice pics Brent, you lucky dog. You got your fix. Like Al Pacino in Panic in Needle Park.

A fine movie, Kitty Winn was his partner in crime, if I recall correctly. Central Park is magical with the snow, etc.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8683 Postby TheProfessor » Sun Feb 18, 2018 2:37 pm

This rain should be beneficial for you guys(as long as too much doesn't fall at once.) You can't step in the grass here unless you want mud on your shoes, the whole Ohio river is under a flood warning and many in state rivers just had their's canceled. If we get 4-6 inches like the Euro and GFS shows we might be in trouble. I'm just hoping we're not getting set up for one of those catastrophic flood events later this spring.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8684 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Feb 18, 2018 2:43 pm

Another crazy wet Euro run, the risk for flooding is starting to look real. Things get cranking on Tuesday:

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8685 Postby Ntxw » Sun Feb 18, 2018 2:54 pm

6-12" by the agencies and some models is a lot of a of rain. Above 6" is top 5 for Feb and 7+ is the wettest at DFW. That is a lot for any time of year. You have to go back to 2015 for those kind of rainfall totals
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8686 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Feb 18, 2018 3:49 pm

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8687 Postby Ralph's Weather » Sun Feb 18, 2018 4:25 pm

Interesting but expected trend being seen on the NAM.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8688 Postby Ntxw » Sun Feb 18, 2018 4:32 pm

ICON is a pretty good icing event west of I-35 in the western zones of NTX
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8689 Postby wxman57 » Sun Feb 18, 2018 4:38 pm

Just saw my first bluebonnet of the spring on the bike trail.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8690 Postby gpsnowman » Sun Feb 18, 2018 5:01 pm

wxman57 wrote:Just saw my first bluebonnet of the spring on the bike trail.

I like spring blooms and bluebonnets but I associate these things with spring allergies and an end to winter. I like Bubba's winter map better in mid-Feb.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8691 Postby South Texas Storms » Sun Feb 18, 2018 5:26 pm

wxman57 wrote:Just saw my first bluebonnet of the spring on the bike trail.


Been feeling a lot like spring here lately. Snow chances are decreasing by the day as we are quickly appoaching March. With this pattern of troughs digging into the SW US, it's going to be tough to see snow across much of the state with warm and moist air pushing in.

I'm very excited about the upcoming wet weather pattern. It's been too long since we've had a widespread heavy rainfall event!
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8692 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Feb 18, 2018 6:14 pm

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8693 Postby opticsguy » Sun Feb 18, 2018 6:26 pm

My tomatoes have been growing under lights since mid-Jan. The soil temp yesterday was 60F, good enough to plant, but the last two NAM runs have made me re-think putting them in the ground.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8694 Postby hamburgerman7070 » Sun Feb 18, 2018 7:28 pm

Hi guys. Looks like the mjo is moving and nao/ao
going real negative. Surprised there isn't much talk about it. I know its getting later in season, but we can get ULL this time year.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8695 Postby hamburgerman7070 » Sun Feb 18, 2018 7:55 pm

A pretty decent -nao west based if I looked at it right. And also looks like Pacific jet retraction which may lead to split flow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8696 Postby wxman57 » Sun Feb 18, 2018 7:56 pm

opticsguy wrote:My tomatoes have been growing under lights since mid-Jan. The soil temp yesterday was 60F, good enough to plant, but the last two NAM runs have made me re-think putting them in the ground.


I'd hold up that far north. I think we're ok in Houston, though.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8697 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 18, 2018 8:23 pm

I was up in the northern parts of NYC all day and saw more snow...

now we need a grand finale in Dallas. I'll be back Tuesday evening :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8698 Postby hamburgerman7070 » Sun Feb 18, 2018 8:30 pm

I just would have thought with the more favorable teleconnections and other things looking better that more people would be banging the drum, despite it being late in the season. I'm trying to remain optimistic that we see a late season winter event before we run out of time
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8699 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Feb 18, 2018 8:53 pm

hamburgerman7070 wrote:I just would have thought with the more favorable teleconnections and other things looking better that more people would be banging the drum, despite it being late in the season. I'm trying to remain optimistic that we see a late season winter event before we run out of time


I've been saying for a while now that I am high on the 1st 1/2 of March.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8700 Postby weatherdude1108 » Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:09 pm

Our weather office locally alluded to the Texarcana area.

WPC guidance for QPF continues
to highlight an area near TexArKana and by all indications at this
point, that still looks very good.


http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1
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