Texas Winter 2017-2018

[Yukon Cornelius]

Strong WNW wind here and a pretty decent dust storm limiting visibility.

[Brent]

Lol line lifting north to miss most of Dallas

[bubba hotep]

Lol line lifting north to miss most of Dallas

The line hit the airport but then the southern end started fading fast. Storms earlier missed MBY to the east and now storms are lifting out will miss us to the NW... Boo!

[Brent]

Tornado Warning just east of Terrell

[missygirl810]

Holy crap it looks bad!!! Tornado warning for me!!!!

[Ralph's Weather]

Storm over Lake Tawakoni generating a good hook. Rotation also showing just east of Corsicana.

[Ntxw]

DFW airport picked up a little over half an inch which is progress.

Meanwhile





The OP guidance of late is slowly foreseeing the intense/widespread cold to set foot in North America. Again will be interesting to note individual ENS members this week.

When you see near 480dm heights (PV anomaly) in North America that's very cold!

[hamburgerman7070]

DFW airport picked up a little over half an inch which is progress.

Meanwhile

http://i63.tinypic.com/6f4d4w.jpg
http://i67.tinypic.com/30vhvcz.png

The OP guidance of late is slowly foreseeing the intense/widespread cold to set foot in North America. Again will be interesting to note individual ENS members this week.

When you see near 480dm heights (PV anomaly) in North America that's very cold!

Ntxw, that's the 18z way out there lol. If mjo can make it to the cold phases, it should get cold again. Maybe with some storminess. Are the ensembles in agreement?

[Ntxw]

Ensembles have told us to look for these kind of solutions to show up as Feb nears for awhile now.

 https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/955231164226207744

[BigB0882]

Would those maps mean a strong southeast ridge? Seems we have been able to avoid that so far this winter but I don't know if I am reading those maps correctly. I am guessing SELA would be right on the edge of the cold in those maps or would the cold overwhelm the ridge and take over everywhere?

[Ntxw]

Would those maps mean a strong southeast ridge? Seems we have been able to avoid that so far this winter but I don't know if I am reading those maps correctly. I am guessing SELA would be right on the edge of the cold in those maps or would the cold overwhelm the ridge and take over everywhere?

It's way too far ahead to even contemplate location. It's the kind of pattern that swamps the whole continent cold. But just be aware that for awhile now, and is still on the table for a severe arctic outbreak could be on the horizon in early Feb. Possibly the coldest yet of the season.

[dhweather]

Pea-sized hail too. My neighbors weather station shows 0.97" so far.

Watching all of that train just to my West and straight to you Impressive rains today to my immediate West, North and East. I got .03 , which is still better than 0.00

[Brent]

Little quick line just blew up on top of Dallas

I thought we were done lol

[CaptinCrunch]

I got a good soaking when storms moved in from the SW. About 1.25" worth, no hail and very little lightning

[bubba hotep]

Here it comes and the -WPO could allow for the cold to center farther west this go round:

[hamburgerman7070]

Here it comes and the -WPO could allow for the cold to center farther west this go round:

https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/forecasts ... ndices.png

Bubba, what is the main difference between wpo and epo in terms of potential cold weather? Does the wpo allow more cold air than epo?

[Brent]

GFS dumping cold around Super Bowl Sunday(initial cold snap on the 1st of February), not much precip but it is fantasy land

[Ralph's Weather]

Bubba, what is the main difference between wpo and epo in terms of potential cold weather? Does the wpo allow more cold air than epo?

-EPO centers the ridge near the Alaska/Yukon border while -WPO is centered more over western Akaka or the Being Sea.

[Ralph's Weather]

All of yhe storms managed to miss me, only received .05" of rain. Had multiple tornado warnings within 20 miles of me though.

[Ntxw]

The -WPO is the teleconnection that sends the brutal cold from Siberia this week towards North America. Then we wait for the EPO to go negative and dump it into the US when Feb hits