Texas Winter 2017-2018

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Cerlin
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8541 Postby Cerlin » Tue Feb 13, 2018 1:06 pm

When was the last time DFW recorded back to back below normal months?
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8542 Postby Ntxw » Tue Feb 13, 2018 1:19 pm

Cerlin wrote:When was the last time DFW recorded back to back below normal months?


Feb/March 2015. The last time there was significant snow
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8543 Postby Cerlin » Tue Feb 13, 2018 1:32 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Cerlin wrote:When was the last time DFW recorded back to back below normal months?


Feb/March 2015. The last time there was significant snow

Good company. :ggreen:
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8544 Postby Haris » Tue Feb 13, 2018 2:01 pm

Brent ! You here? 12z Euro brings us almost a foot of snow this weekend
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8545 Postby Cerlin » Tue Feb 13, 2018 2:09 pm

12z GFS starts to entertain the idea of a significant NTX ice storm starting on the 22nd, and could possibly be shaping up for a late February snowstorm.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8546 Postby SGJ » Tue Feb 13, 2018 2:10 pm

Haris wrote:Brent ! You here? 12z Euro brings us almost a foot of snow this weekend


Brings Austin almost a foot of snow??? Nice for you!!!

How about Collin County??? Anything showing for us???

Thank you!
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8547 Postby Haris » Tue Feb 13, 2018 2:11 pm

SGJ wrote:
Haris wrote:Brent ! You here? 12z Euro brings us almost a foot of snow this weekend


Brings Austin almost a foot of snow??? Nice for you!!!

How about Collin County??? Anything showing for us???

Thank you!


NYC
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8548 Postby gpsnowman » Tue Feb 13, 2018 2:20 pm

:uarrow: New York? I just got excited for no reason.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8549 Postby dhweather » Tue Feb 13, 2018 2:37 pm

gpsnowman wrote::uarrow: New York? I just got excited for no reason.


For real!
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8550 Postby Brent » Tue Feb 13, 2018 2:44 pm

Lol yep 10 inches of snow in NYC on the euro when im there :double:

Dallas gets 5 inches of rain :eek: nothing frozen
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8551 Postby Texas Snow » Tue Feb 13, 2018 3:04 pm

Brent wrote:Lol yep 10 inches of snow in NYC on the euro when im there :double:

Dallas gets 5 inches of rain :eek: nothing frozen



While I would love 5 inches of snow (or the 50 inches that the liq equiv would bring in snow) I will take 5 inches or rain in a second. We need it bad.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8552 Postby Brent » Tue Feb 13, 2018 3:15 pm

Texas Snow wrote:
Brent wrote:Lol yep 10 inches of snow in NYC on the euro when im there :double:

Dallas gets 5 inches of rain :eek: nothing frozen



While I would love 5 inches of snow (or the 50 inches that the liq equiv would bring in snow) I will take 5 inches or rain in a second. We need it bad.



Most of that rain is still beyond a week out although there is close to an inch on the euro this weekend
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8553 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Feb 13, 2018 4:05 pm

This weekend is just the beginning, take a look at this 6 - 10 day outlook!

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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8554 Postby Ntxw » Tue Feb 13, 2018 4:11 pm

-SOI :D

-24 today it continues
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8555 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Tue Feb 13, 2018 4:19 pm

LOL. Once again the forecast has pulled most of the rain out but this time has kept the cool temps. It will be fun to see what it shows later this evening. This is actually getting pretty humorous.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8556 Postby Portastorm » Tue Feb 13, 2018 4:34 pm

Two days in a row now here in Austin where the majority of the models, including the short range/higher res models, busted badly on high temps. We've ended up 3-5 degrees colder than what most of them showed overnight. Only the WRF-ARW2 seemed to get it.

I'm telling ya ... if they can't get it right within 24 hours, I'm not so inclined to buy into solutions beyond 4-5 days. :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8557 Postby utweather » Tue Feb 13, 2018 4:55 pm

Portastorm wrote:
utweather wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
More evidence that I really delivered on my promise last winter, though I suspect that your statement about the last time the DFW area had back-to-back below-normal monthly average temps may be a slight exaggeration. It's not easy bringing cold and ice to Texas with a strong La Nina raging in the Pacific.

At IAH, the temperature this month is runnint 1.6F above normal, which seems odd since it has been so persistently cold. I counted the number of 70+ high days so far since Dec. 20th and I got 13. Last year at this time, we'd had 49 days when the high hit 70+, and highs around now were in the mid to upper 80s.


yeah, its pretty strange when a normal winter feels way below normal. I think last winter it was cold here for just a 1-2 week period. Some recent year priors it went straight from fall to spring. I'll just take normal and hope the summers aren't brutal:-)


Actually it has not been a normal winter for Austin. This has easily been a colder than normal winter. December was a smidge below normal at 0.1 below the average mean temp. January was 1.7 below normal and February is a whopping 4.4 below normal thus far. So if it feels below normal, that's because it IS below normal for us! :wink:


I would have thought December and January were 4 degrees below normal the way it felt. We'll see how the rest of February plays out and if the 80s can be kept at bay..
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8558 Postby dhweather » Tue Feb 13, 2018 5:05 pm

bubba hotep wrote:This weekend is just the beginning, take a look at this 6 - 10 day outlook!

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DV8RLSwXcAEgax8.jpg



Not a drought buster, but a least a nice start to one :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8559 Postby losf1981 » Tue Feb 13, 2018 5:17 pm

Yukon Cornelius wrote:LOL. Once again the forecast has pulled most of the rain out but this time has kept the cool temps. It will be fun to see what it shows later this evening. This is actually getting pretty humorous.


just saw the forecast. WTF??
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8560 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Feb 13, 2018 5:34 pm

The latest models sure are looking wet across a large part of TX over the next few weeks. Bring on the rain!
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