Texas Winter 2017-2018

[Texas Snow]

Anything I should warm my Oklahoma friends that are coming down for a hunt here on Christmas Eve about? From what I’ve seen and I could be totally wrong but most of Oklahoma looks clear until maybe about Lawton.

Hour 198 (noon Christmas Eve) doesn't look too clear for that drive, but again way too far away to know what will actually be happening that day, other than Santa coming.

[Ntxw]

Anything I should warm my Oklahoma friends that are coming down for a hunt here on Christmas Eve about? From what I’ve seen and I could be totally wrong but most of Oklahoma looks clear until maybe about Lawton.

I would advise them to be prepared to have a change of plans. Or as usual get there ahead of time. Keep tabs on the forecast daily

[Cpv17]

I still think the GFS is too warm on the days of 22-25 and the CMC is lost right now lol

[srainhoutx]

The 12Z GFS suggests a long duration cold weather event with the coldest air in the Northern Hemisphere situated over most of North America.

[gpsnowman]

When all is said and done, this will be the longest tracked storm/pattern change I have seen since I have signed up on this forum. As excruciating as it can be sometimes with all the model flip flopping, I am having a blast with all this. Winter is fun following this forum everyday.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

The ULL on the 25th and 26th reminds me alot of 2011 when Austin and DFW received surprise snow. If the ULL takes a bit more of a southern track, it would be like the event we had last week in SE Tx.

[utweather]

About a foot of snow for Abilene (includes sleet), wintry mix of freezing rain, sleet, and snow at DFW on Christmas eve. No ice storm in S Texas this run

Thank goodness. Just want snow(still amazed from all the snow last week) or rain, maybe a few sounds of sleet. But no fz rain at all - Please!

[Ntxw]

The ULL on the 25th and 26th reminds me alot of 2011 when Austin and DFW received surprise snow. If the ULL takes a bit more of a southern track, it would be like the event we had last week in SE Tx.

This is exactly what I was thinking of. 2011 The double barrel low, front storm did the mess, cold came behind with the second barrel system (the infamous Cowboys Stadium avalanche).

It's messy though, I don't think the models are yet handling well the many pieces involved. Someone somewhere will see ice and snow.

While the 0z ECMWF was a fairly dry run the ensembles mean was hopeful. Lets see what 12z has

[JayDT]

Soooo... The quietness here has me kinda nervous..

[Brent]

Soooo... The quietness here has me kinda nervous..

the Euro will be out soon

In other news it's going to RAIN!!!

[LeonardRay]

Soooo... The quietness here has me kinda nervous..

Everyone is just watching...we are all curious what will happen and where...at this point no one is very certain...interesting days ahead!

[stormlover2013]

Why would it have u nervous!!! Nobody wants an ice storm

[Brent]

Euro looks faster than the GFS at 144, probably less of a storm

Euro also warmer next Friday, temps well above freezing everywhere

[dhweather]

Soooo... The quietness here has me kinda nervous..

the Euro will be out soon

In other news it's going to RAIN!!!

AMEN!

[Brent]

yep Euro is too progressive again, no storm

Temps not even really cold either

[EnnisTx]

Sounds like a few folks on here need some Xanax...

[dhweather]

On the tail end - there's a 1058MB high coming down from Canada.



Leading to a low of 8 degrees in DFW on the 27th.




It's a long way off and models change a lot, but there are lots of signs we may be getting cold and staying that way for some time.

[JayDT]

yep Euro is too progressive again, no storm

Temps not even really cold either

Euro still out to lunch i guess

[Ntxw]

I haven't been able to look at surface maps of euro (on road) but looks like it has big cold end of run coming down

[EnnisTx]

The reality is that Mother Nature is a fickle lady. She will either serve us up a treat "Snow" or she will pound us back to reality with a dreaded ice storm.

If it's not snow we should be happy with a nice cold Christmas day so that everyone can enjoy their families.... Even the Mother in law!!!