Mid-Atlantic Winter 2017-2018

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Mid-Atlantic Winter 2017-2018

#1 Postby Weather150 » Sat Jul 08, 2017 1:27 pm

I know, it's still early July, but it will be Fall and then Winter before you know it. What are your preliminary thoughts to how it will go?
Last edited by Weather150 on Mon Jun 25, 2018 3:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#2 Postby weathaguyry » Mon Jul 10, 2017 9:54 pm

Very glad that this thread has been made, here are my prelim thoughts about this winter...

-The current pattern is already favoring troughs to swing across the Mid-Atlantic, so maybe we'll get a fast-track start on fall, which is always cool, because the fall-foliage comes earlier, and that pleasant cool air is there earlier too

-There looks to be a weak Nino developing, which is almost an exact copy of 2014-15, which brought lots of intense coastal storms, cold, and snow :cold:

- Overall, a cold, snowy winter seems to be likely, and I don't know about you guys, but I love the snow and cold, until about March 1st, which is when I like it to warm up :D
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Fall/Winter 2017-2018

#3 Postby weathaguyry » Mon Aug 28, 2017 8:57 pm

I'd like to have discussion in here about the transition from Summer-Fall-Winter in this thread. Today it was about 71 and windy here on Long Island, it felt very much like a September day, and was actually quite pleasant :D
Last edited by weathaguyry on Wed Aug 30, 2017 9:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#4 Postby weathaguyry » Wed Aug 30, 2017 9:32 am

Very chilly yesterday, it only hit about 65 with lots of rain and wind, it felt like an October day. Today is also chilly and very windy, it was about 61 this morning, and warmed to about 66 as of now. :cold:
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#5 Postby Bizzles » Fri Sep 01, 2017 4:37 am

Loving how cool it's been the last couple weeks!!

So I randomly checked out some of the climate models on TT while I was checking out the latest on Irma and it seems there isn't much in the way of cold-(er) showing up from Dec-Feb. Has anyone used these models before or know how accurate they might be?

Can't wait for Fall!
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#6 Postby weathaguyry » Fri Sep 01, 2017 2:37 pm

It was 55 this morning, and right now I'm wearing a jacket at work, as to the models I have no clue if they are good or not, but here is the CPC outlook

Image
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#7 Postby weathaguyry » Sun Oct 01, 2017 8:07 pm

Today was a very nice start to October, 62 degrees, fireplace on, with the football game on the TV (AND the Jets won 23-20 in OT, it doesn't get much better than that :P ) Although it's supposed to get back to 80 on Thursday :x
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#8 Postby SoupBone » Tue Oct 03, 2017 9:36 am

weathaguyry wrote:Today was a very nice start to October, 62 degrees, fireplace on, with the football game on the TV (AND the Jets won 23-20 in OT, it doesn't get much better than that :P ) Although it's supposed to get back to 80 on Thursday :x


I hate you. :grr: :lol:
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#9 Postby weathaguyry » Tue Oct 10, 2017 8:34 pm

Image
When it's October but it still ends up being 82 degrees outside
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#10 Postby Bizzles » Mon Oct 16, 2017 3:06 am

Woohoo!

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
312 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

NJZ017>023-027-170715-
Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-
Cape May-Southeastern Burlington-
312 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Patchy frost is possible from late tonight into early Tuesday
morning in the Pine Barrens and in rural areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Areas of frost are possible from late Tuesday night into early
Wednesday morning in the Pine Barrens and in rural areas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#11 Postby weathaguyry » Wed Nov 01, 2017 10:23 am

We only got down to 41 this morning :grr:
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#12 Postby Bizzles » Thu Nov 09, 2017 12:11 am

Current forecast for my area in the pre-dawn hrs Saturday morning:

Temp: 23°F
Wind Chill: 16°F

:cold:
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#13 Postby Bizzles » Fri Nov 10, 2017 2:52 am

Bizzles wrote:Current forecast for my area in the pre-dawn hrs Saturday morning:

Temp: 23°F
Wind Chill: 16°F

:cold:

Forecast Down!
Temp: 19°F
Wind Chill 12°F
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#14 Postby weathaguyry » Fri Nov 10, 2017 9:40 pm

It's only supposed to get down to 25 in Manhasset, but it was still brutally cold today with the wind :cold: :froze:
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#15 Postby Bizzles » Fri Dec 08, 2017 3:56 am

HEY YO!!!

Winter Storm Watch
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
304 AM EST Fri Dec 8 2017

NJZ016>027-082200-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0001.171209T0600Z-171210T0600Z/
Salem-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-
Atlantic-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic-
Coastal Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-
Including the cities of Pennsville, Glassboro, Camden,
Cherry Hill, Moorestown, Mount Holly, Jackson, Millville,
Hammonton, Cape May Court House, Ocean City, Atlantic City,
Long Beach Island, and Wharton State Forest
304 AM EST Fri Dec 8 2017

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Plan on difficult travel
conditions. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches are
possible.

* WHERE...Portions of southern New Jersey.

* WHEN...From late tonight through late Saturday night. The
heaviest snow accumulations will occur between 6 AM and 6 PM
Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Significant reductions in visibility are
possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant
snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue
to monitor the latest forecasts.

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
www.weather.gov/phi/winter
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#16 Postby weathaguyry » Fri Dec 08, 2017 8:12 pm

WooHoo!!! :sled: :boog:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
322 PM EST Fri Dec 8 2017

CTZ005-006-009-NJZ006-104-106-108-NYZ070>075-176>179-091100-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.171209T0900Z-171210T0900Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Southern Fairfield-Hudson-
Eastern Bergen-Eastern Essex-Eastern Union-Northern Westchester-
Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-
Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
322 PM EST Fri Dec 8 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO
4 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Plan on slippery road conditions. Total
snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are expected, with locally
6 inches possible in Southwestern Connecticut.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut
and southeast New York.

* WHEN...From 4 AM Saturday to 4 AM EST Sunday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at
times. Snow accumulation on pavement will be more likely in the
afternoon and evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.
The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$

Image

Image
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#17 Postby weathaguyry » Sun Dec 10, 2017 9:46 am

We got 4 inches on the nose in Northern Nassau County
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#18 Postby weathaguyry » Wed Dec 13, 2017 8:51 pm

Twice in one week!

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
249 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

NYZ078>081-177-179-141000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.171214T0800Z-171214T1500Z/
Northwestern Suffolk-Northeastern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk-
Southeastern Suffolk-Northern Nassau-Southern Nassau-
249 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 10 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Plan on slippery road conditions,
including during the morning commute on Thursday. Total snow
accumulations of 2 to 3 inches are expected.

* WHERE...Long Island.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 10 AM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at
times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.
The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#19 Postby Bizzles » Thu Dec 21, 2017 3:04 am

Got 3" out of the first go, just a coating on the 2nd hit.

Looking like there could be something good coming first week of January.
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Re: Mid-Atlantic Preliminary Winter 2017-2018

#20 Postby Bizzles » Wed Jan 03, 2018 11:34 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
921 PM EST Wed Jan 3 2018

...High Impact Storm including the aftermath of wind driven
record cold on its way to our area...

...A rapidly intensifying coastal storm will produce significant
snowfall and strong winds tonight through Thursday...

NJZ012-015>019-021-PAZ070-071-104-106-041430-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180105T0000Z/
Middlesex-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-
Cumberland-Delaware-Philadelphia-Eastern Montgomery-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of New Brunswick, Trenton, Pennsville,
Glassboro, Camden, Cherry Hill, Moorestown, Mount Holly,
Millville, Media, Philadelphia, Norristown, Lansdale,
Morrisville, and Doylestown
921 PM EST Wed Jan 3 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Plan on difficult
travel conditions, including during the morning commute on
Thursday. Tree branches could fall as well. Snow accumulations
of 5 to 7 inches are expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northern and southern New Jersey
and southeast Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 45 mph will cause
areas of blowing and drifting snow. Scattered power outages
could develop Thursday and Friday which would force considerable
hardship where heat would not be available.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow and blowing snow means severe
winter weather conditions are occurring. If you must travel, keep
an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an
emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are
calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$
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