Texas Winter 2018-2019

Winter Weather Discussion

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gatorcane
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2861 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jan 12, 2019 9:05 pm

Cpv17 wrote:My gosh, the 18z FV3 absolutely hammers the eastern one third of the nation with crazy cold. Not so much in Texas.


-40Fs in Eastern Canada with 20s deep down the Florida peninsula. :cold:

Good thing it is in fantasy land time range.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2862 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Jan 12, 2019 10:59 pm

00z ICON with snow across portions of Texas.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2863 Postby Cerlin » Sat Jan 12, 2019 11:05 pm

Only thing that makes me more upset than the snow this year has been the Cowboy’s play right now. At least they both have a good looking future?
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Let it snow NTX!

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2864 Postby Brent » Sat Jan 12, 2019 11:17 pm

well since the Cowboys lost the snow better happen :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2865 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Jan 12, 2019 11:20 pm

Brent wrote:well since the Cowboys lost the snow better happen :lol:

Seriously. It better snow all the way till baseball season. Oh well, we will be busy on the forum at least. :(
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2866 Postby gboudx » Sat Jan 12, 2019 11:32 pm

I’m a Saints fan so I still have tomorrow. I know we can count on you Cowboy fans to root against your division rival right? :P
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2867 Postby Cerlin » Sat Jan 12, 2019 11:33 pm

gboudx wrote:I’m a Saints fan so I still have tomorrow. I know we can count on you Cowboy fans to root against your division rival right? :P

You bet your a** I’m rooting against the Eagles.
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Let it snow NTX!

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2868 Postby Texas Snow » Sat Jan 12, 2019 11:36 pm

Football season is over now except or the commercials. Time to focus on real life, like playing outdoors in the Snow in Texas. Snow Season Starts Now. That’s all I’m rooting for now. LETS GO SNOW!!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2869 Postby BrokenGlass » Sat Jan 12, 2019 11:41 pm

gboudx wrote:I’m a Saints fan so I still have tomorrow. I know we can count on you Cowboy fans to root against your division rival right? :P

As a Westlake High grad, I’m going to just enjoy the game.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2870 Postby Ralph's Weather » Sun Jan 13, 2019 12:50 am

Cpv17 wrote:
Quixotic wrote:Beware brutal cold modeling in positive enso years. It’ll get cold. Just not single digits record breaking cold.


We’ll see about that.

I see our seasonal low bottoming out in the teens, but many many nights in the 20s. Sub freezing highs will be common in Feb.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2871 Postby TXdaddy217 » Sun Jan 13, 2019 1:23 am

This portion of the Area Forecast Discussion from the San Angelo NWS looks promising in it's Long Term forecast. :D :cold:

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1027 PM CST Sat Jan 12 2019

LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through Saturday)

Zonal flow to prevail across the Southern Plains through most of
the upcoming week. Weal shortwave will zip across South Texas on
Tuesday and may bring a few showers, but appears this will mainly
be south of West Central Texas. Gradual warming trend occur
through the week with highs climbing into the mid and upper 60s
for Wednesday-Friday.

Bigger changes for next weekend as a deeper trough moves into the
area. Very cold air in Alaska will make a southward plunge as
this upper trough passes, with the ECMWF showing an arctic cold
front plunging through the plains. GFS isn`t as cold, but
normally doesn`t handle this type of cold air very well anyway so
will lean towards a colder solution for next weekend. Will drop
highs into the 40s for most areas on Saturday with the raw data
suggesting it may be even colder. Once the forecast details start
to become a little more certain, temperatures may need to be
dropped even more.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2872 Postby TXdaddy217 » Sun Jan 13, 2019 1:27 am

Cerlin wrote:
gboudx wrote:I’m a Saints fan so I still have tomorrow. I know we can count on you Cowboy fans to root against your division rival right? :P

You bet your a** I’m rooting against the Eagles.


I am a NY Giants fan (born and lived in NY for 17 years). I don't want the Eagles to advance either. :P
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I am not a meteorologist. Anything posted by me should not be taken as an official forecast. Get your information from respected sources such as NWS and NOAA. I get my weather information the same way Hank Hill does ..... I look out the window and say ... "YUP".

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2873 Postby Brent » Sun Jan 13, 2019 1:41 am

Euro is further away with the snow on Saturday this run, arctic front is later also, still in the 60s in Dallas Saturday morning

Temps do crash later Saturday though but no snow, near 20 degrees Sunday morning :cold:
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2874 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Jan 13, 2019 2:03 am

I see the new & old GFS both have the brunt of the cold going east of Texas for the entire run. +PNA
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2875 Postby La Breeze » Sun Jan 13, 2019 4:06 am

bubba hotep wrote:00z ICON with snow across portions of Texas.

Which portions?
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2876 Postby northjaxpro » Sun Jan 13, 2019 4:09 am

Yelp. Cpv17 I agree.

+ PNA - AO - NAO is what we will likely have for teleconnections by month's end.

This has been rare in recent years having all three of these indices aligning at the same time in winter across North America.

This very cold weather pattern will be completely locked into place for quite a prolonged period for the Eastern regions of this continent from the Pole south to all the way down through Florida peninsula inn which below to well below temps will be coming.

Well, in the case of what the FV3 runs are showing, just downright brutal cold. :froze: The temps shown on those runswould probably be the coldest anywhere on the earth I would assume.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Sun Jan 13, 2019 7:17 am, edited 6 times in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2877 Postby TheProfessor » Sun Jan 13, 2019 4:14 am

Yall... Yall. That 0z FV3... Nope Nope Nope Nope. Multiple instances of -25 degree temperatures here. That's beyond cold. I live in Ohio, not Siberia. If that comes true you might see me chilling down in Corpus those days. :lol: :froze:
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2878 Postby TheProfessor » Sun Jan 13, 2019 4:23 am

Here's the surface temps and windchill from the FV3. Crossing my fingers it's just hour 276 of the new GFS trying to get a rouse out of me lol.

Image


Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2879 Postby hriverajr » Sun Jan 13, 2019 7:30 am

If that came to pass... would put Texas winter (what we like) in major jeopardy. From personal experience....it's quiet stable and tends to empty central Western Canada of the coldest air
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2880 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jan 13, 2019 8:17 am

Don't panic y'all there is plenty of cold for everybody. I like the ensembles look. Generally speaking everyone along and east of the Rockies should get cold and maybe storms. The ENS keeps the height rises off the west coast which is good for Texas as well as some -NAO.

My concern going forward is suppression more than not cold enough.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

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