Texas Winter 2018-2019

[Brent]

Euro still looks sort of interesting Wednesday morning, perhaps another predawn flizzard? temps are near freezing in DFW at the time

[Cerlin]

Euro still looks sort of interesting Wednesday morning, perhaps another predawn flizzard?

As long as it accumulates, I’m happy!

[Brent]

Euro still looks sort of interesting Wednesday morning, perhaps another predawn flizzard?

As long as it accumulates, I’m happy!

has a "dusting" over a pretty big area even down 35 not much more than that

[HockeyTx82]

So as the snow has melted off my car I noticed the brown dirt left behind. Same thing happens with a windy spring storm. Still some snow on the ground here in Ponder, shaded areas or north side of surfaces.

[Cpv17]

The western ridge is killing us. Needs to move wnw at least 300 miles.

[northjaxpro]

The western ridge is killing us. Needs to move wnw at least 300 miles.

The latest EURO and GFS runs in the extended range by the end of January, actually retrogrades the ridge east over the Rockies , Intermountain West region and across Western Canada north to Alaska.

These characteristics all point to + PNA, if the models end up verifying correctly.

[harp]

The western ridge is killing us. Needs to move wnw at least 300 miles.

The latest EURO and GFS runs in the extended range by the end of January, actually retrogrades the ridge east over the Rockies , Intermountain West region and across Western Canada north to Alaska.

These characteristics all point to + PNA, if the models end up verifying correctly.

And this means?

[Texas Snow]

Bad news

[ThunderSleetDreams]

The western ridge is killing us. Needs to move wnw at least 300 miles.

The latest EURO and GFS runs in the extended range by the end of January, actually retrogrades the ridge east over the Rockies , Intermountain West region and across Western Canada north to Alaska.

These characteristics all point to + PNA, if the models end up verifying correctly.

And this means?

Cool NW flow but dry.

[northjaxpro]

The western ridge is killing us. Needs to move wnw at least 300 miles.

The latest EURO and GFS runs in the extended range by the end of January, actually retrogrades the ridge east over the Rockies , Intermountain West region and across Western Canada north to Alaska.

These characteristics all point to + PNA, if the models end up verifying correctly.

And this means?

Very cold weather potential pattern for the Eastern CONUS especially, in unison with -AO and forecasted -NAO by the start of February.

[hriverajr]

The latest EURO and GFS runs in the extended range by the end of January, actually retrogrades the ridge east over the Rockies , Intermountain West region and across Western Canada north to Alaska.

These characteristics all point to + PNA, if the models end up verifying correctly.

And this means?

Very cold weather potential pattern for the Eastern CONUS


especially, in unison with -AO and forecasted -NAO by the start of February.

You mean retrograde west?

[harp]

The latest EURO and GFS runs in the extended range by the end of January, actually retrogrades the ridge east over the Rockies , Intermountain West region and across Western Canada north to Alaska.

These characteristics all point to + PNA, if the models end up verifying correctly.

And this means?

Very cold weather potential pattern for the Eastern CONUS especially, in unison with -AO and forecasted -NAO by the start of February.

Ok, I'm in Louisiana. Not sure if we are considered eastern.

[missygirl810]

Bad news

Everything OK?

[Cpv17]

Bad news

Would mean a very boring weather pattern here in Texas.

[northjaxpro]

And this means?

Very cold weather potential pattern for the Eastern CONUS


especially, in unison with -AO and forecasted -NAO by the start of February.

You mean retrograde west?

I was referencing the impacts of the +PNA. of the ridge shifting more east in the extended away from the West Coast/NE Pacific region, which the reliable models keep hinting , which would help to keep things quite cold Eastern U.S.

[Quixotic]

As we head into February and March persistent patterns have a tendency to retrograde west, not east. The longwaves stack up. 2015 and 2003 are perfect examples.

[northjaxpro]

As we head into February and March persistent patterns have a tendency to retrograde west, not east. The longwaves stack up. 2015 and 2003 are perfect examples.

That is true, Generally in an evolving large scale blocking pattern like this over the continent, generally the line of thinking indeed would be of a backing or retrograding flow. The models right now are not showing this however at this time. regarding ridge retrograding back over the West Coast/NE Pacific region.

We will see as time progresses if the retrograde manifests itself.

[Cpv17]

Just watched JB’s Saturday summary. The CFS actually looks pretty decent over the next 45 days. Brunt of the cold is centered over the Midwest and Ohio Valley, but it still looks pretty chilly here in Texas, especially for the eastern 2/3 of Texas. I would post the map, but don’t have access to that.

[bubba hotep]

Euro EPS is trending towards an extended flat Pacific jet in the longer range. That puts mean ridging over the SW... Obviously, the long range mean can overly smooth things but it's not really a good look.

ETA: This isn't a winter cancel post, just reporting what the 12z EPS is showing.

[bubba hotep]

With that said about the long range, most all the Euro EPS members support some version of the mid-week snow across Texas. A few show some decent snows but most are in the dusting to 1" range.