Texas Winter 2018-2019

[gboudx]

Haha. We all know you're definition as wrong as it is in a regional geography sense.

I divide Texas into 4 quadrants, which puts DFW in NE TX. I just can't call it "north Texas", as that's the Panhandle. But if Houston to Beaumont and, say, up through Lufkin is SE TX, then what's north of SE TX? Right! NE TX, which includes D-FW.

You may not be able to call it North Texas. But millions of others can.

He's messing with ya'll, you know that right? He knows the topics and subjects that get people riled up and continues to press the buttons. He's like my younger brother, except he's considerably older than my brother.

[bubba hotep]

Avert your eyes!

[Texas Snowman]

I'm not sure what these models are smoking lol

Portastorm has seized control! And they’re not smoking anything, they’re guzzling Grey Goose!

[Portastorm]

I'm not sure what these models are smoking lol

Portastorm has seized control! And they’re not smoking anything, they’re guzzling Grey Goose!

Ah ... if only. Things would have turned out MUCH differently if I was running things!

[Texas Snowman]

I divide Texas into 4 quadrants, which puts DFW in NE TX. I just can't call it "north Texas", as that's the Panhandle. But if Houston to Beaumont and, say, up through Lufkin is SE TX, then what's north of SE TX? Right! NE TX, which includes D-FW.

You may not be able to call it North Texas. But millions of others can.

He's just simplifying the state into four regions. Cut the man some slack!

As soon as he cuts South Texas Storms, Arctic Thunder, and Portastorm some slack.

Then maybe.

For one day.

[Cerlin]

How are temperatures right now with what the models were saying we were supposed to be at now?

[Ntxw]

Advert your eyes!

http://models.weatherbell.com/nam/2019021900/dallas/nam_3hr_snow_acc_dallas_11.png

NAM (using Kuchera) has nothing. Sounding is not cold enough but there is a layer of below freezing just below 850mb and above the surface. 33/34F on the ground. Maybe some sleet in the heavier downpours. The problem is with 10:1 translation being incorrect.

Oklahoma might be a good chase northwest of OKC.

[BrokenGlass]

How are temperatures right now with what the models were saying we were supposed to be at now?

I can’t speak to the models, but my station is sitting at 38 with a dew point of 24.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

[bubba hotep]

Advert your eyes!

http://models.weatherbell.com/nam/2019021900/dallas/nam_3hr_snow_acc_dallas_11.png

NAM (using Kuchera) has nothing. Sounding is not cold enough but there is a layer of below freezing just below 850mb and above the surface. 33/34F on the ground. Maybe some sleet in the heavier downpours. The problem is with 10:1 translation being incorrect.

Oklahoma might be a good chase northwest of OKC.

https://images2.imgbox.com/45/d6/1iUgflIe_o.png

Yes, thus the sarcasm of my post.

[Brent]

Advert your eyes!

http://models.weatherbell.com/nam/2019021900/dallas/nam_3hr_snow_acc_dallas_11.png

If only...

[bubba hotep]

We've nearly limped our way to 300 pages!

[rwfromkansas]

The NAM is increasing snow amounts over northwest OK if anybody wants to drive up. FWD just issued a pity winter weather advisory for a few sleet pellets mixed with rain to the northwest of DFW.

[Brent]

We've nearly limped our way to 300 pages!

pretty crazy considering our total snow for the year is about 15 flakes

[Brent]

2am and i see no reason to expect a surprise for the metro temps are if anything a little warmer than expected 37 at DFW

I'd love nothing more than for this map of the 6z NAM to verify but yeah i dont see it the HRRR keeps the snow well up into Oklahoma and the same NAM does on the precip maps

[Ralph's Weather]

2am and i see no reason to expect a surprise for the metro temps are if anything a little warmer than expected 37 at DFW

I'd love nothing more than for this map of the 6z NAM to verify but yeah i dont see it the HRRR keeps the snow well up into Oklahoma and the same NAM does on the precip maps

https://i.ibb.co/NxjRssD/namconus-asnow-scus-7.png

I wish TT would fix its issue of showing sleet as 10:1 snow. And in this case it looks like a mostly non accumulating rain/sleet mix. During heavy bursts maybe temps drop to around 34 and roofs become white briefly.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Temps were forecasted to be 30 overnight, we stayed at 33-34 for most of the night. I’m guessing, especially after treating all of the roads, it will be just a cold rain.

[rwfromkansas]

Going to have to cancel the WWA..again. Lol

[wxman57]

Going to have to cancel the WWA..again. Lol

The D-FW area needs a cold rain with a few sleet pellets advisory. By the way, when looking at snow potential on Tropical Tidbits, use the Accumulated Positive Snow Depth Change map, not the snow accumulation map. However, that map still looks wrong. It has D-FW area getting up to 1/2" of snow today. It's way too warm aloft for that.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2019021906/namconus_asnowd_scus_19.png

[Ralph's Weather]

Going to have to cancel the WWA..again. Lol

The D-FW area needs a cold rain with a few sleet pellets advisory. By the way, when looking at snow potential on Tropical Tidbits, use the Accumulated Positive Snow Depth Change map, not the snow accumulation map. However, that map still looks wrong. It has D-FW area getting up to 1/2" of snow today. It's way too warm aloft for that.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2019021906/namconus_asnowd_scus_19.png

The issue still seems to be it does not separate out the various forms of winter precip. It shows either LE or 10:1 if it thinks it will be wintery regardless of type.

[rwfromkansas]

FWD just canceled the silly WWA.