Texas Winter 2018-2019
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Just a wee bit different than yesterdays run.
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- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Never mind about the big Monday snow event. Now it's Wednesday of next week. Yeah, that's it, Wednesday! Winter weather coming to Austin!
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- mcheer23
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Houston will likely just see a cool, cloudy day with temps staying in the 40's.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
This is why I tried not to get excited yesterday. The Euro did NOT agree, and it has proven correct when the GFS ensembles show lots of snowy runs. Now, once it shows snow agreeing with the GFS, then we can get excited. I still think it will happen at some point.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
As a reminder we have about 3 weeks left in the winter thread so don't take it for granted. We will move to the Spring thread for MAM, March-April-May, to stay consistent with the meteorological seasons as we have done. Discussion in this thread will close at that time.
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- Texas Snow
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
I refuse to look at another thread until I see real snow in DFW
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Texas Snow wrote:I refuse to look at another thread until I see real snow in DFW
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
wxman57 wrote:Never mind about the big Monday snow event. Now it's Wednesday of next week. Yeah, that's it, Wednesday! Winter weather coming to Austin!
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019021212/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_32.png
And in only 288 hours!
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
dhweather wrote:wxman57 wrote:Never mind about the big Monday snow event. Now it's Wednesday of next week. Yeah, that's it, Wednesday! Winter weather coming to Austin!
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019021212/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_32.png
And in only 288 hours!
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019021212/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_44.png
Remember when the FV had snow for Valentine's Day? Now its gonna be pushing the upper 70s
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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Texas Snow wrote:I refuse to look at another thread until I see real snow in DFW
Me too Texas Snow! I'm going to stand right next to you in solidarity. We aren't going anywhere ... of course, at this rate, we'll be here until next December.
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I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Brent wrote:0z GFS dry Monday very cold rain Tuesday in the mid upper 30s with snow NW of the metro maybe ending as flurries Tuesday Night
Need more solutions like the 12z
Welp...that's usually what it boils down to. "just a cold rain".................. I doubt it changes from that, it's what we've had all winter.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
As was the case last week...models are struggling with the southward push/strength of the low-level cold, the Euro in particular - trim those temps 6-8 Deg F and we have a major impact ice/sleet storm for the Northwest 1/2 of the state. Looking at the 500 mb setup, See reason to believe they are overestimating temp profiles...The models trends still look good IMO!
Just go back last week to Arctic Thunder's post on general rules of thumb for southern plains winter weather....1040 crossing Canadian border look for impacts down to I-20, well here you go!!!
Just go back last week to Arctic Thunder's post on general rules of thumb for southern plains winter weather....1040 crossing Canadian border look for impacts down to I-20, well here you go!!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
dhweather wrote:wxman57 wrote:Never mind about the big Monday snow event. Now it's Wednesday of next week. Yeah, that's it, Wednesday! Winter weather coming to Austin!
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019021212/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_32.png
And in only 288 hours!
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019021212/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_44.png
Oh yes. I can definitely see this coming to fruition. Lucy better get out of town. DFW's icing on the cake!
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
orangeblood wrote:As was the case last week...models are struggling with the southward push/strength of the low-level cold, the Euro in particular - trim those temps 6-8 Deg F and we have a major impact ice/sleet storm for the Northwest 1/2 of the state. Looking at the 500 mb setup, See reason to believe they are overestimating temp profiles...The models trends still look good IMO!
Just go back last week to Arctic Thunder's post on general rules of thumb for southern plains winter weather....1040 crossing Canadian border look for impacts down to I-20, well here you go!!!
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2019021212/ecmwf_mslpaNorm_us_8.png
Technically, the high is 1036mb (and quickly weakening) as it crosses the North Dakota border.
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- Texas Snow
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- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
My peach trees are blooming like it's mid-March, pine trees are pollinating, Home Depot is selling tomato plants, I love winter, but I think it's done, placing a fork in it.
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- TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
I think the Fat Lady is warming up (no pun intended) on SE Tx winter weather hopes.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Toadfrog wrote:My peach trees are blooming like it's mid-March, pine trees are pollinating, Home Depot is selling tomato plants, I love winter, but I think it's done, placing a fork in it.
Walmart put all of their garden plants out here a couple days before we hit 17 F. Needless to say that was a giant waste. Everything up here is still in winter mode, including the Bradford Pears.
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