Texas Winter 2018-2019

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srainhoutx
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5881 Postby srainhoutx » Sat Feb 16, 2019 10:44 am

wxman57 wrote:72 in SW Houston this morning. Front stalled on the north side of the city.

59F and drizzle in Cypress.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5882 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Sat Feb 16, 2019 10:46 am

Portastorm wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:We’ve already hit our forecasted low.
Edit - After posting I just saw that they have lowered it to 25.


Yukon, you kind of gave us the early heads up yesterday on this little cold front which overachieved. It was interesting late last evening to read some of the forecast discussions out of NWS offices about how this front was much faster and stronger than even the short-range, hi-resolution models predicted. I don't know, I like it when Mother Nature throws us curveballs like this ... just to show we don't know everything.

Sitting 45 degrees here in Austin with thick clouds. Yesterday the forecasts suggested low 70s today. Now, we'll be lucky to hit 60.

It surprised me as well. Everything I heard was it wasn’t suppose to come through until sometime yesterday evening/last night. By dark it was already below freezing. I’m glad I can contribute in some way!
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5883 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Sat Feb 16, 2019 11:06 am

Rgv20 wrote:Damn officially a high of 94 in Mcallen and 93 in Edinburg :roll:



No offense, but There’s no amount of money you could pay me to live in the RGV.
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I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5884 Postby hriverajr » Sat Feb 16, 2019 11:18 am

Portastorm wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:We’ve already hit our forecasted low.
Edit - After posting I just saw that they have lowered it to 25.


Yukon, you kind of gave us the early heads up yesterday on this little cold front which overachieved. It was interesting late last evening to read some of the forecast discussions out of NWS offices about how this front was much faster and stronger than even the short-range, hi-resolution models predicted. I don't know, I like it when Mother Nature throws us curveballs like this ... just to show we don't know everything.

Sitting 45 degrees here in Austin with thick clouds. Yesterday the forecasts suggested low 70s today. Now, we'll be lucky to hit 60.


71 here and sun
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5885 Postby hriverajr » Sat Feb 16, 2019 11:19 am

ThunderSleetDreams wrote:
Rgv20 wrote:Damn officially a high of 94 in Mcallen and 93 in Edinburg :roll:



No offense, but There’s no amount of money you could pay me to live in the RGV.


Your body "kinda" adjusts lol.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5886 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Sat Feb 16, 2019 11:21 am

hriverajr wrote:
ThunderSleetDreams wrote:
Rgv20 wrote:Damn officially a high of 94 in Mcallen and 93 in Edinburg :roll:



No offense, but There’s no amount of money you could pay me to live in the RGV.


Your body "kinda" adjusts lol.


Haha, we are about to have dual residence in Montana and Texas. I’d rather live in North Dakota than the RGV or South Florida.

I only like to sweat when I’m working out or doing physical labor.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5887 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 16, 2019 11:39 am

hriverajr wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:We’ve already hit our forecasted low.
Edit - After posting I just saw that they have lowered it to 25.


Yukon, you kind of gave us the early heads up yesterday on this little cold front which overachieved. It was interesting late last evening to read some of the forecast discussions out of NWS offices about how this front was much faster and stronger than even the short-range, hi-resolution models predicted. I don't know, I like it when Mother Nature throws us curveballs like this ... just to show we don't know everything.

Sitting 45 degrees here in Austin with thick clouds. Yesterday the forecasts suggested low 70s today. Now, we'll be lucky to hit 60.


71 here and sun


I posted the other day of some high variance and bust potential temps for some. Return flow will make the western part of the state mild (and southern tier) but some places east of I-35 and to the north may hold in the denser cooler air. Quite a battle going. If one is in the boundary could be 40s one day 60s the next and back to 40s.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5888 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Feb 16, 2019 12:01 pm

Checking in with 35F and sprinkles lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5889 Postby wxman57 » Sat Feb 16, 2019 12:03 pm

Near freezing up in D-FW but quite strong S-SW wind aloft at 850mb (5000 ft). Over 60F at 850mb over D-FW area. Very shallow surface cold air. Not much chance of any significant winter weather next couple of weeks. GFS is moving the March 2 ice storm to the 4th now. Unlikely...
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5890 Postby DFW Stormwatcher » Sat Feb 16, 2019 12:04 pm

32 and freezing drizzle/drizzle here in south Frisco. Earlier there was enough to get a tiny bit of ice buildup on the windshield when it was 30 but it’s mainly liquid now.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5891 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Sat Feb 16, 2019 12:36 pm

29 and overcast here, light breeze out of the S/SE
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5892 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Feb 16, 2019 2:01 pm

30 degrees in Denison at 1 p.m. Good fire rolling in the wood burning stove.

Very enjoyable winter day here in the Red River Valley of North Central Texas.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5893 Postby Cpv17 » Sat Feb 16, 2019 3:23 pm

Man, parts of the SE and Tennessee Valley are about to get a flood. 5-10” over a large area.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5894 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Feb 16, 2019 6:24 pm

Very end of Feb into 1st of March looks to have some extreme cold potential, possibly the coldest air of the year for lots of Texas.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5895 Postby harp » Sat Feb 16, 2019 7:04 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Very end of Feb into 1st of March looks to have some extreme cold potential, possibly the coldest air of the year for lots of Texas.

Can you explain? What will get this colder air to the lower tier of states? Is that SE ridge going to back off? It's killing us here in Louisiana.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5896 Postby hamburgerman7070 » Sat Feb 16, 2019 7:42 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Very end of Feb into 1st of March looks to have some extreme cold potential, possibly the coldest air of the year for lots of Texas.


Bubba, are you basing that off of the euro ensembles and gefs ensembles? If you have any maps, please share if you can
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5897 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 16, 2019 7:53 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Very end of Feb into 1st of March looks to have some extreme cold potential, possibly the coldest air of the year for lots of Texas.


Looks like -EPO to me.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5898 Postby Brent » Sat Feb 16, 2019 7:59 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Very end of Feb into 1st of March looks to have some extreme cold potential, possibly the coldest air of the year for lots of Texas.


I'll believe it when i see it
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5899 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 16, 2019 8:11 pm

Brent wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Very end of Feb into 1st of March looks to have some extreme cold potential, possibly the coldest air of the year for lots of Texas.


I'll believe it when i see it


Well to be fair we just had coldest air of season about a week ago (23F and high of 36) :lol: . Though that's not saying much...which isn't hard to beat.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#5900 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 16, 2019 8:34 pm

Probably should watch 92W that got started from the WWB. See what a re-curving typhoon does downstream.
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