Texas Winter 2018-2019

Winter Weather Discussion

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Cpv17
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1001 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Dec 11, 2018 9:36 pm

Someone is gonna get hammered. This sucker means business.

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1002 Postby EnnisTx » Tue Dec 11, 2018 9:37 pm

Still to early. This looks like and as mentioned before. A Now Cast situation.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1003 Postby Ralph's Weather » Tue Dec 11, 2018 9:39 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Ralph's Weather wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
It looks a bit deeper to me on this run.

Yep it is. Looked great until the frame you expected it to push into DFW haha. NAM hates DFW.


Ralph, where’s your location?

Hideaway. A bit NW of Tyler.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1004 Postby Haris » Tue Dec 11, 2018 9:49 pm

Image


SOOOO CLOSE!!!! COME ON !

:D lol
Last edited by Haris on Tue Dec 11, 2018 9:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1005 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Dec 11, 2018 9:50 pm

lol... DFW dry slotted lol...
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1006 Postby orangeblood » Tue Dec 11, 2018 9:51 pm

Another factor at play is elevation...even though it might seem insignificant, the 500 to 600ft elevation rise from DFW out towards Graham to Brownwood can play a big role in setups such as these
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1007 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Dec 11, 2018 9:59 pm

Warning, Don't view the 00z 3k NAM if you live just SW of DFW!!
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1008 Postby Texas Snow » Tue Dec 11, 2018 10:28 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Warning, Don't view the 00z 3k NAM if you live just SW of DFW!!


I think worse than being in DFW in that scenario and getting nothing is being that “2” in that graphic and only a few miles away is that green. I mean i would be happy with the 2 but, common man.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1009 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Tue Dec 11, 2018 10:35 pm

I feel pretty confident someone is going to get hammered and I think it’s going to be further south than most are expecting. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the northern burbs of Austin up thru the Brazos Valley and southern Piney woods getting in the act.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1010 Postby jaguars_22 » Tue Dec 11, 2018 10:40 pm

Awe come on just say all the way down to the coast and include Houston lol. If the circulation would go further south would that mean less snow? Due to the lack of cold
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1011 Postby Cerlin » Tue Dec 11, 2018 10:43 pm

I have a major gut feeling DFW is going to get the short end of the stick again while the South gets the glory (or snowflakes).
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1012 Postby JayDT » Tue Dec 11, 2018 10:44 pm

Wow really?? So apparently here we go again..... :roll:
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1013 Postby orangeblood » Tue Dec 11, 2018 10:50 pm

ThunderSleetDreams wrote:I feel pretty confident someone is going to get hammered and I think it’s going to be further south than most are expecting. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the northern burbs of Austin up thru the Brazos Valley and southern Piney woods getting in the act.


Further south it gets, the more warm air gets entrained into the ULL and in turn will shrink the core area of snow even more...this is going to be a thread the needle type storm for snow, well aren’t they all ? Haha
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1014 Postby Ntxw » Tue Dec 11, 2018 10:52 pm

Trowal is getting more intense qpf wise as we are nearing on the guidance. Some may see thundersnow or thundersleet should that happen (with winds) with strong dynamics.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1015 Postby Texas Snow » Tue Dec 11, 2018 10:53 pm

If it will help, I can post my GPS coordinates so you know where it is NOT going to snow. :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1016 Postby Cerlin » Tue Dec 11, 2018 10:53 pm

Right on cue, the 00z GFS drops all snow for DFW.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1017 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Tue Dec 11, 2018 10:55 pm

orangeblood wrote:
ThunderSleetDreams wrote:I feel pretty confident someone is going to get hammered and I think it’s going to be further south than most are expecting. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the northern burbs of Austin up thru the Brazos Valley and southern Piney woods getting in the act.


Further south it gets, the more warm air gets entrained into the ULL and in turn will shrink the core area of snow even more...this is going to be a thread the needle type storm for snow, well aren’t they all ? Haha


Haha, welcome to December El Niño dynamics.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1018 Postby Texas Snow » Tue Dec 11, 2018 10:56 pm

Cerlin wrote:Right on cue, the 00z GFS drops all snow for DFW.


Per my previous post that surely can’t be correct. If it would help however I would be willing to withdrawal said previous post.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1019 Postby JayDT » Tue Dec 11, 2018 10:58 pm

Cerlin wrote:Right on cue, the 00z GFS drops all snow for DFW.


Can’t believe I have to root for the GFS lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#1020 Postby JayDT » Tue Dec 11, 2018 11:00 pm

Texas Snow wrote:
Cerlin wrote:Right on cue, the 00z GFS drops all snow for DFW.


Per my previous post that surely can’t be correct. If it would help however I would be willing to withdrawal said previous post.


Well if you’re from DFW, yes please withdraw it lol :lol:
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