Texas Winter 2018-2019

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Haris
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6461 Postby Haris » Thu Feb 28, 2019 9:44 pm

Image
Image


:cry: Dry conditions continue to expand,

the CPC drought outlook for the month isnt that great either.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6462 Postby BrokenGlass » Thu Feb 28, 2019 9:45 pm

Texas Snow wrote:
Brent wrote:
Maybe that's the secret to ending the streak... Dallas needs to host another Super Bowl :roflmao:


Or an NBA All Star Game

Posted Feb 11, 2010

Uncommon Dallas snow shouldn't affect NBA All-Star Weekend events; hope is all players get there

The National Weather Service issued a winter storm warning in effect for the Dallas/Fort Worth area until tonight at midnight, with an estimated snowfall of 4-6 inches.

Well, Dallas does host the NHL Winter Classic next year at the Cotton Bowl. Perhaps that’ll bring our next big winter storm.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6463 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Thu Feb 28, 2019 9:45 pm

The forecasted high for today was mid 40s, we barely made it to 37, with sun. The low for tonight was 30, we’re already at 26.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6464 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Feb 28, 2019 9:51 pm

I'll do my best to bring some back to Texas with me

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6465 Postby Brent » Thu Feb 28, 2019 9:56 pm

bubba hotep wrote:I'll do my best to bring some back to Texas with me

https://i.ibb.co/VCvmSBz/Untitled.png


Where are you
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6466 Postby hriverajr » Thu Feb 28, 2019 10:01 pm

Goodbye winter 2018-2019....can't say I will miss you.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6467 Postby Haris » Thu Feb 28, 2019 10:08 pm

It was a fairly crap#y winter in exception of the little sleet storms we had that one Friday earlier this month. Rating I'd give is 5/10

But, it was great chatting about the weather on here from time to time! As STS mentioned earlier, I hope rest of yall stick around for the other thread!

This is such a great platform with awesome people!

Now, I wont forget the denver snowstorm! So if I include that, my winter was 8/10 :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6468 Postby TheProfessor » Thu Feb 28, 2019 10:09 pm

bubba hotep wrote:I'll do my best to bring some back to Texas with me

https://i.ibb.co/VCvmSBz/Untitled.png


That picture of sleet always reminded me of corn pops for some reason lol.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6469 Postby Texas Snow » Thu Feb 28, 2019 10:21 pm

BrokenGlass wrote:
Well, Dallas does host the NHL Winter Classic next year at the Cotton Bowl. Perhaps that’ll bring our next big winter storm.



That would be glorious. Absolutely glorious. Even if I didn’t have a ticket prior, the second snow snow comes into the picture I would 4WD to the Cotton Bowl to take part in that.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6470 Postby Brent » Thu Feb 28, 2019 10:21 pm

I stand by my promise of an F rating for this winter with the snowless streak living on it seems

Can't say I'm gonna miss it and I'm honestly ready to move on to spring and storms and hopefully lots of rain
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6471 Postby Texas Snow » Thu Feb 28, 2019 10:53 pm

Could tomorrow be another bust for the morning commute? At my location which uses Addison airport for conditions, the forecast calls for patchy drizzzle between 3-8am with a low of 34. Its 32 now with a dew point of 26.

Edit; Also 32 at my house. Winds light from north forecasted to go calm (but not southerly)

NWS just introduced FZD just north of dfw but not metro proper. Perhaps the very shallow arctic air may moderate from above? Otherwise I would expect another slight drops in temps from 32 as column moistens which would be enough to affect bridges.

We’ll see. They are smarter than me on this topic but only human depending on crappy models as we saw today.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6472 Postby Texas Snow » Thu Feb 28, 2019 11:39 pm

Dp
Last edited by Texas Snow on Thu Feb 28, 2019 11:58 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6473 Postby Texas Snow » Thu Feb 28, 2019 11:42 pm

Well they have now Answered my questions on reasoning, although seems reasonable that icing could still happen in parts of the metro

FXUS64 KFWD 010410 AAB
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1010 PM CST Thu Feb 28 2019


.UPDATE...
Main change to the forecast was to introduce a low chance for
some patchy freezing drizzle and patchy freezing fog north of I-20
tonight. Some alterations to Friday`s high temperatures were also
necessary based on the latest model output.

A wedge of drier air aloft has resulted in partial clearing
across parts of North Texas this evening. This has supported
efficient radiational cooling with temperatures falling into the
mid 20s for areas north of I-20 and west of I-35. 850mb flow is
starting to become more south and southwesterly and this should
help to pull the reservoir of moisture northward into the
aformentioned colder air. With dewpoint depressions only around a
few degrees and expected WAA aloft, there`s a concern for some
very light freezing drizzle or very light freezing fog. With
temperatures in the mid to upper 20s for parts of the area, there
could be some slick spots, particularly on bridges and overpasses.
The main question on everyone`s mind is, will we have a repeat of
Thursday morning. At this time, it`s looking quite unlikely for a
few reasons. 1) Temperatures across the immediate D/FW Metroplex
are not nearly as low as they were this time yesterday, with the
exception being far northern Tarrant and Dallas counties. Even
wet-bulb temperatures at this time are in the low 30s for most
areas near and south of I-20 (including most of the D/FW
Metroplex). 2) The breadth of light freezing drizzle/mist should
be much shorter during the overnight period which should limit the
duration of light icing. 3) The locations in which the light
freezing drizzle or light freezing fog is expected to occur
tonight may not have as many elevated surfaces (surfaces that are
most likely to experience a light glaze of ice) which should limit
the impacts. We`ll continue to monitor conditions, however, as
even a degree or two change could mean more light icing. At this
time, graphicasts and HWO highlight what should be a much more
limited light icing threat well. The most likely time for any
light icing due to light freezing drizzle/patchy freezing fog
will be between 0900 UTC-1200 UTC and this would be most likely
near and north of Graham to Justin to McKinney to Paris line.

We did make some changes to Friday`s temperatures based on
expected cloud cover through the day. NAM guidance has performed
well over the last several days and have nudged Friday`s afternoon
temperatures downward to be more in line with this piece of model
output.

Bain


It’s obvious that I have yet to learn my lesson on this winter as I seem to be the only one giving even the slightest hope that we get a temp bust Sunday while we still have precip. I know the models don’t show it, but a couple days ago we had 70 for tomorrow.

Over? Nothing is over!
Last edited by Texas Snow on Thu Feb 28, 2019 11:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6474 Postby Texas Snow » Thu Feb 28, 2019 11:46 pm

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6475 Postby Texas Snowman » Thu Feb 28, 2019 11:55 pm

Texas Snow wrote:It’s obvious that I have yet to learn my lesson on this winter as I seem to be the only one giving even the slightest hope that we get a temp bust Sunday while we still have precip. I know the models don’t show it but a couple days ago we had 70 for tomorrow.

Over? Nothing is over!


:uarrow: WOW! A bright spot on the final day of February - someone who actually says something POSITIVE?!?

I’d say it’s an end of winter miracle! :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6476 Postby Haris » Thu Feb 28, 2019 11:58 pm

New weeklies are not that bad
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6477 Postby Brent » Fri Mar 01, 2019 12:06 am

Texas Snowman wrote:
Texas Snow wrote:It’s obvious that I have yet to learn my lesson on this winter as I seem to be the only one giving even the slightest hope that we get a temp bust Sunday while we still have precip. I know the models don’t show it but a couple days ago we had 70 for tomorrow.

Over? Nothing is over!


:uarrow: WOW! A bright spot on the final day of February - someone who actually says something POSITIVE?!?

I’d say it’s an end of winter miracle! :lol:


:roflmao:

I only want a temperature bust if there's gonna be actual moisture, not stupid freezing drizzle
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6478 Postby rwfromkansas » Fri Mar 01, 2019 12:14 am

Temp is currently 33, but wet bulb is about 32 based on the rules with warm ground I found on a weather site, so I don’t expect any freezing issues.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6479 Postby Texas Snow » Fri Mar 01, 2019 12:25 am

rwfromkansas wrote:Temp is currently 33, but wet bulb is about 32 based on the rules with warm ground I found on a weather site, so I don’t expect any freezing issues.


What rules? can you share a link? Per my questions above I would be fascinated to learn more winter forecasting tips on this “last night of winter”

I’ve got 31.6 now but the decline is slowing. Dew point 27.6

Addison 31 with dew point 26. Forecast still says low 34.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#6480 Postby Brent » Fri Mar 01, 2019 1:04 am

okay its March now... why is the spring thread locked :spam: the one winter I'm ready to see end too :lol:
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