Texas Winter 2018-2019

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SoupBone
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#81 Postby SoupBone » Tue Sep 25, 2018 9:48 am

I'm moving! To heck with Texas Winter! :lol:

 https://twitter.com/KeystoneMtn/status/1044332887405940736


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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#82 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Wed Sep 26, 2018 9:27 am

Headed there just before Christmas, love it!
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#83 Postby SoupBone » Wed Sep 26, 2018 9:32 am

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Headed there just before Christmas, love it!



It's one of my favorite places on this planet. I love Colorado skiing, and love Keystone Resort. :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#84 Postby Snowflake7 » Wed Sep 26, 2018 3:07 pm

It feels AMAZING here is Euless Texas! 61 degrees.... who knew
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#85 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 26, 2018 4:05 pm

Snowflake7 wrote:It feels AMAZING here is Euless Texas! 61 degrees.... who knew


for once its colder when you go outside the house... :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#86 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Sat Sep 29, 2018 2:08 pm

https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/stat ... 6958955520

Ben Noll had a great post this am comparing 2009 to 2018. Two things to note: It's MUCH warmer in the NPac. It's much cooler in the Indian Ocean.

To our mets out there, how will this make 2018 DIFFERENT than 2009. Will the IO cooling move the main forcing in the pacific westward? Will there be a persistent high in the NPac? Any thoughts on upcoming winter would be great.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#87 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Tue Oct 02, 2018 7:31 am

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1046010176958955520

Ben Noll had a great post this am comparing 2009 to 2018. Two things to note: It's MUCH warmer in the NPac. It's much cooler in the Indian Ocean.

To our mets out there, how will this make 2018 DIFFERENT than 2009. Will the IO cooling move the main forcing in the pacific westward? Will there be a persistent high in the NPac? Any thoughts on upcoming winter would be great.

Im curious about this as well.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#88 Postby orangeblood » Tue Oct 02, 2018 8:42 am

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1046010176958955520

Ben Noll had a great post this am comparing 2009 to 2018. Two things to note: It's MUCH warmer in the NPac. It's much cooler in the Indian Ocean.

To our mets out there, how will this make 2018 DIFFERENT than 2009. Will the IO cooling move the main forcing in the pacific westward? Will there be a persistent high in the NPac? Any thoughts on upcoming winter would be great.


From what I'm gathering from some of the pro mets I follow: Besides the ones already mentioned, the other important factor is obviously the MJO - When the Indian Ocean is cooler to the east than the west and the tropical Pacific is warmer, it tends to favor neutral or cold phase MJOs (Phases 8, 1, 2 & 3). There is less of a chance of the major warm phase MJOs (Phases 4, 5 & 6) getting as much amplitude.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#89 Postby Portastorm » Tue Oct 02, 2018 8:48 am

It will be the kind of winter where Austin will reclaim it's title of Freezing Drizzle Capital of Texas ... I can already feel it coming! :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#90 Postby wxman57 » Tue Oct 02, 2018 9:12 am

Portastorm wrote:It will be the kind of winter where Austin will reclaim it's title of Freezing Drizzle Capital of Texas ... I can already feel it coming! :wink:


...or maybe the "warm rain capital of Texas"...

My cold-mongering coworker of 30 years is seeing the winter of 73 as an analog for this winter. I think there were 3-4 snow events on the Gulf Coast that winter.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#91 Postby facemane » Tue Oct 02, 2018 2:27 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Portastorm wrote:It will be the kind of winter where Austin will reclaim it's title of Freezing Drizzle Capital of Texas ... I can already feel it coming! :wink:


...or maybe the "warm rain capital of Texas"...

My cold-mongering coworker of 30 years is seeing the winter of 73 as an analog for this winter. I think there were 3-4 snow events on the Gulf Coast that winter.


I hope not. I remember 73 vividly. Gulfport Ms. was paralyzed by an ice storm. My father couldn't go to work for three days. We lived on top of a hill. There were two ways out. Sliding into a major road wasn't an option. We the kids also missed a week of school. The first day was fun. The last 4 without electricity in the freezing cold wasn't.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#92 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Wed Oct 03, 2018 1:59 pm

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#93 Postby Ntxw » Wed Oct 03, 2018 4:18 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Portastorm wrote:It will be the kind of winter where Austin will reclaim it's title of Freezing Drizzle Capital of Texas ... I can already feel it coming! :wink:


...or maybe the "warm rain capital of Texas"...

My cold-mongering coworker of 30 years is seeing the winter of 73 as an analog for this winter. I think there were 3-4 snow events on the Gulf Coast that winter.


1972-1973 or 1973-1974?
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#94 Postby Brent » Wed Oct 03, 2018 4:44 pm

a foot of snow in Calgary the other day, bulld that snowpack... :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#95 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Thu Oct 04, 2018 5:19 pm

Ntxw wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
Portastorm wrote:It will be the kind of winter where Austin will reclaim it's title of Freezing Drizzle Capital of Texas ... I can already feel it coming! :wink:


...or maybe the "warm rain capital of Texas"...

My cold-mongering coworker of 30 years is seeing the winter of 73 as an analog for this winter. I think there were 3-4 snow events on the Gulf Coast that winter.


1972-1973 or 1973-1974?


I think '72-'73. Houston had 3 snow events this winter. All in '73. Most snow events for us . Curious to hear the details, but if you look at SST, i can see the comparisons.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#96 Postby Haris » Fri Oct 05, 2018 9:03 am

Image

POAMA model snowfall anomaly forecast for December 2018 :froze:
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#97 Postby Cerlin » Fri Oct 05, 2018 9:33 am

Haris wrote:[url]https://thumb.ibb.co/bAQpGz/Screen_Shot_2018_10_05_at_8_59_19_AM.png [/url]

POAMA model snowfall anomaly forecast for December 2018 :froze:

I like to see just about everyone having confidence in a snowy winter this year. Makes me pumped!! :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#98 Postby OKMet83 » Mon Oct 08, 2018 8:04 pm

Mark my words my friends the heat lovers better find somewhere else to stay this winter :lol: :lol: I see pattern change coming rapidly within the next 5-7 days sweeping across the SRN Plains could have a frost/frz by late in the weekend into early next week across portions of OK/TX Panhandles and potentially as far south as even Central OK (OKC METRO) By about next Monday AM... After that I see a gradual "step down" process into Winter in the coming weeks... Mid-November could turn active expect this to be a BUSY winter unlike the last several years in both OK & TX MULTIPLE SNOW/ICE storms a real possibility IMO with the way the cards are stacking up...
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#99 Postby Ntxw » Mon Oct 08, 2018 8:17 pm

I'd agree about the active winter. El Nino, if not Super, almost always delivers ice and snow to the southern plains. The weak to moderate events are just about a lock for activity. It's no coincidence the snowiest winters for DFW generally all occur during weak or moderate El Nino.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#100 Postby Brent » Tue Oct 09, 2018 12:45 am

I so hope yall are right, so tired of this snowless crap :lol:
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