Texas Winter 2019-2020
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- Texas Snowman
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Texas Winter 2019-2020
The 2019 summer solstice is coming up this next week on June 21st and then the Fourth of July is just around the corner.
And you all know what that means - the next season up is autumn and then after that, winter!!!!!!
So let’s get this Texas Winter 2019-2020 thread kicked off with this:
Will this upcoming winter season finally be kind to snow, ice and cold lovers here in Texas?
Or will Wxman57 still be all smiles with mild weather in control?
And you all know what that means - the next season up is autumn and then after that, winter!!!!!!
So let’s get this Texas Winter 2019-2020 thread kicked off with this:
Will this upcoming winter season finally be kind to snow, ice and cold lovers here in Texas?
Or will Wxman57 still be all smiles with mild weather in control?
3 likes
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Texas Snowman wrote:The 2019 summer solstice is coming up this next week on June 21st and then the Fourth of July is just around the corner.
And you all know what that means - the next season up is autumn and then after that, winter!!!!!!
So let’s get this Texas Winter 2019-2020 thread kicked off with this:
Will this upcoming winter season finally be kind to snow, ice and cold lovers here in Texas?
Or will Wxman57 still be all smiles with mild weather in control?
Well the Dallas snowless streak has to end eventually, right?
3 likes
#neversummer
- Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
@BigJoeBastardi — Euro(public) with an el nino into the winter, Very similar look to winter of 14-15 with warm ring in the Pacific, cool AMO
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- ThunderSleetDreams
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Texas Snowman wrote:@BigJoeBastardi — Euro(public) with an el nino into the winter, Very similar look to winter of 14-15 with warm ring in the Pacific, cool AMO
Lock it in! Keep PNA neutral to negative and we are in bidness y'all!
1 likes
#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
- TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
ThunderSleetDreams wrote:Texas Snowman wrote:@BigJoeBastardi — Euro(public) with an el nino into the winter, Very similar look to winter of 14-15 with warm ring in the Pacific, cool AMO
Lock it in! Keep PNA neutral to negative and we are in bidness y'all!
Wasn't that year terrible for us?
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Time to enjoy the greatest months of the summer (July/August) and stop having nasty thoughts about cool weather next winter.
Oh, and it looks like we may be seeing a return of El Nino next winter. Could be another stormy south like last winter. Hope not. Need a good La Nina to warm winter up around here!
Oh, and it looks like we may be seeing a return of El Nino next winter. Could be another stormy south like last winter. Hope not. Need a good La Nina to warm winter up around here!
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
wxman57 wrote:Time to enjoy the greatest months of the summer (July/August) and stop having nasty thoughts about cool weather next winter.
Oh, and it looks like we may be seeing a return of El Nino next winter. Could be another stormy south like last winter. Hope not. Need a good La Nina to warm winter up around here!
Last winter was stormy? Where?
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#neversummer
- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Brent wrote:wxman57 wrote:Time to enjoy the greatest months of the summer (July/August) and stop having nasty thoughts about cool weather next winter.
Oh, and it looks like we may be seeing a return of El Nino next winter. Could be another stormy south like last winter. Hope not. Need a good La Nina to warm winter up around here!
Last winter was stormy? Where?
I didn't say anything about massive snow storms in the D-FW area. Very active southern storm track with cold and rain all winter. I think we may have had more snow here in Houston than up north in the D-FW area last winter.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
wxman57 wrote:Brent wrote:wxman57 wrote:Time to enjoy the greatest months of the summer (July/August) and stop having nasty thoughts about cool weather next winter.
Oh, and it looks like we may be seeing a return of El Nino next winter. Could be another stormy south like last winter. Hope not. Need a good La Nina to warm winter up around here!
Last winter was stormy? Where?
I didn't say anything about massive snow storms in the D-FW area. Very active southern storm track with cold and rain all winter. I think we may have had more snow here in Houston than up north in the D-FW area last winter.
Make that the last few years and I'll agree
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#neversummer
- ThunderSleetDreams
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:ThunderSleetDreams wrote:Texas Snowman wrote:@BigJoeBastardi — Euro(public) with an el nino into the winter, Very similar look to winter of 14-15 with warm ring in the Pacific, cool AMO
Lock it in! Keep PNA neutral to negative and we are in bidness y'all!
Wasn't that year terrible for us?
No, 13-14 and 14-15 were good Winters. 15-16 and 16-17 sucked.
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#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Looks like a very snowy winter in store for Houston. IAH already had record snowfall yesterday:
3 likes
Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
I’m not trusting any predictions this year. No matter how enticing or scientifically sound.
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Undergraduate Meteorology Student at the University of Oklahoma and Operator at the Oklahoma Mesonet.
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All opinions independent of employers and the university.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Cerlin wrote:I’m not trusting any predictions this year. No matter how enticing or scientifically sound.
yeah I will never forget how last winter was supposed to be so great...
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#neversummer
- Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
@BigJoeBastardi — Euro kills the el nino for winter, sets in motion similar SST look to winter of 13-14, 14-15 blend, Warm fall for US but could be wild winter, tropical ideas match our preseason impact ideas, 70% ave ace
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- CaptinCrunch
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
"A transition from El Niño to ENSO-neutral is expected in the next month or two, with ENSO-neutral most likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter.*"
There have only been 4 ENSO-neutral winters since 2000, and 14 since 1980.
2001-2002 - colder
2003-2004 - average
2012-2013 - warmer
2013-2014 - colder
There have only been 4 ENSO-neutral winters since 2000, and 14 since 1980.
2001-2002 - colder
2003-2004 - average
2012-2013 - warmer
2013-2014 - colder
2 likes
Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Well hey there everyone, how's it going this summer?
Anyone else seeing their trees already starting to drop leaves? My backyard looks like it's early Fall already. I wonder what the trees know that I don't.
Anyone else seeing their trees already starting to drop leaves? My backyard looks like it's early Fall already. I wonder what the trees know that I don't.
1 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Around labor day or so ill really dig into SST charts and start comparing winters and analogs to try and solve world hunger this winter. Last winter i was severely disappointed. I thought everything we wanted for a cold/wet winter was in store for us but instead we had a barbell winter. Cold early in the season (NOV) warm during the middle (Dec, Jan) Cold at the end (Mar.) This is why we we love the weather though, sooooo many different factors go into play and it's very difficult to handle all of the variables.
I honestly dont even remember what the issue was last winter, my memory isn't the greatest , but i think factors such as a weakening el nino, or strengthening el nino came into play. While the overall nino was weak, the dynamics that took place during the weakening or strengthening process, through a wrench in things. I will say though, in Houston, we saw flakes in mid November, and the PV came to the Great Lakes. These types of things dont happen during normal winters.
So this year, one thing i will throw into the equation, is how the nino is shifting during the core winter months. It's obviously not static but often we treat it that way.
I will say though, that warm pool near Alaska and lack of sea ice near the Bering sea is looking mighty fine up there.
I honestly dont even remember what the issue was last winter, my memory isn't the greatest , but i think factors such as a weakening el nino, or strengthening el nino came into play. While the overall nino was weak, the dynamics that took place during the weakening or strengthening process, through a wrench in things. I will say though, in Houston, we saw flakes in mid November, and the PV came to the Great Lakes. These types of things dont happen during normal winters.
So this year, one thing i will throw into the equation, is how the nino is shifting during the core winter months. It's obviously not static but often we treat it that way.
I will say though, that warm pool near Alaska and lack of sea ice near the Bering sea is looking mighty fine up there.
2 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Around labor day or so ill really dig into SST charts and start comparing winters and analogs to try and solve world hunger this winter. Last winter i was severely disappointed. I thought everything we wanted for a cold/wet winter was in store for us but instead we had a barbell winter. Cold early in the season (NOV) warm during the middle (Dec, Jan) Cold at the end (Mar.) This is why we we love the weather though, sooooo many different factors go into play and it's very difficult to handle all of the variables.
I honestly dont even remember what the issue was last winter, my memory isn't the greatest , but i think factors such as a weakening el nino, or strengthening el nino came into play. While the overall nino was weak, the dynamics that took place during the weakening or strengthening process, through a wrench in things. I will say though, in Houston, we saw flakes in mid November, and the PV came to the Great Lakes. These types of things dont happen during normal winters.
So this year, one thing i will throw into the equation, is how the nino is shifting during the core winter months. It's obviously not static but often we treat it that way.
I will say though, that warm pool near Alaska and lack of sea ice near the Bering sea is looking mighty fine up there.
I am so ready
The hype last year was unreal and then did absolutely nothing
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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Has anyone read or heard anything new regarding this upcoming winter?
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Winter 2019-2020
Yukon Cornelius wrote:Has anyone read or heard anything new regarding this upcoming winter?
I suspect this winter will be a difficult forecast and many will be late to put their thoughts. ENSO is neutral, rainfall patterns are sporadic, and Ocean temperatures are mixed.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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