Surprise! JB reveals his 'winter hints'

[wow]

Basically says it'll be similar to last year. Below norm temps east of Mississippi and stormy.. and warm west of the river. Mentions the SST profile looking just like last year. Also takes into account tropical formation factors, where 8 of the 9 sample years had below norm temps in the east.

[WEATHER53]

Looks like Dr Dewpoint and JB are going for colder and snowy in mid atlantic and KA went for slightly milder with below normal snowfall.

[will]

This winter should be interesting the forecasting department...we seem to have more contrasting opinions than I've seen in a while.

[GAStorm]

I would think this winter could be a bit unpredictable! The neutral winters usually are, and conflicting views certainly support that! Now the question is will KA eventually switch to a colder scenario? We will see.

[will]

I would think this winter could be a bit unpredictable! The neutral winters usually are, and conflicting views certainly support that! Now the question is will KA eventually switch to a colder scenario? We will see.

It seems that with KA he doesn't update his forecasts later on, rather he pretty much goes down with the ship, so to speak.

[WxDen]

Here's the latest article in case no one's read it yet:
http://intellicast.com/DrDewpoint/Library/1407/

[Anonymous]

Looks like Dr Dewpoint and JB are going for colder and snowy in mid atlantic and KA went for slightly milder with below normal snowfall.

in hopes of not quoting Dr Dew Point...i used an article i found in year 2000 that he wrote about winter storms. What caught my eye is that he mentioned that usually in a Netural Year after a El Nino(we had El Nino last year and neutral appears to be this year) that more Gulf Lows develop. Gulf Lows are usually good especially for the MA

[JCT777]

JB hints that the upcoming winter will be cold and snowy in the east? Really??? I am shocked!

I am thinking this winter will be closer to average, with snows perhaps being a little above average in the mid-Atlantic and Northeast.

[Heady Guy]

Can't match last year.

[Stephanie]

JB hints that the upcoming winter will be cold and snowy in the east? Really??? I am shocked!

I am thinking this winter will be closer to average, with snows perhaps being a little above average in the mid-Atlantic and Northeast.

It's rare that there are two snowy winters in a row around here. Maybe we're getting into a new pattern.

[WXBUFFJIM]

Precip is way above normal these days. We could use a few dry weeks for the isabel recovery efforts. Tomorrow is not promising with a severe weather threat and flooding in the mid atlantic!!

Jim

[Fishmn]

I have been watching JB for three winters now and not one year did he call for any less than above average snows in the NE and MA. We all know how 2001-2002 turned out as he constantly honked artic blast on the Long Ranger. I am debating to purchace Accu-Weather Pro for the winter. I guess the inland runner patturn is going to reverse itself by December.

[Colin]

I'm going with KA this year...

[will]

I'm going with KA this year...

Why?

[Stephanie]

Precip is way above normal these days. We could use a few dry weeks for the isabel recovery efforts. Tomorrow is not promising with a severe weather threat and flooding in the mid atlantic!!

Jim

You're right Jim. We could very well be heading into a dry pattern by the time winter rolls around.

[WEATHER53]

This is looking to me a lot like the kind of winter where when the precip is available it is too warm and when the real cold takes over it will be a lot like 79-80 where the high is supressive and the storms stay south. KA went with 12-14 for DCA, I will go with 20-25 for Richmond.