Texas Spring 2018

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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#141 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Mar 12, 2018 11:53 am

Ntxw wrote:+5.7F for March so far at DFW almost mid month. Rainfall is -1.18" below normal. The very -NAO has been great in the northeast US. For us, it has been a dud first half of this month.


It's hard to get winter wx in N. Texas in March but the data shows that our best chances are when there is a -NAO. The models are pointing towards a return to a more western based trough with the PNA/EPO/WPO all going some version of negative over the next two weeks.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#142 Postby Portastorm » Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:38 pm

Ntxw wrote:+5.7F for March so far at DFW almost mid month. Rainfall is -1.18" below normal. The very -NAO has been great in the northeast US. For us, it has been a dud first half of this month.


Same here in Austin. Camp Mabry is running +6.0F for March and the airport site is even warmer at +6.5F. Rainfall running about -0.80" below normal averaging out between the two sites.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#143 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:48 pm

What an amazing feeling day. Currently 50 degrees with a chilly North wind. Possibly another freeze on tap for tonight. It’s hard to beat a March day like this.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#144 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:55 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
Ntxw wrote:+5.7F for March so far at DFW almost mid month. Rainfall is -1.18" below normal. The very -NAO has been great in the northeast US. For us, it has been a dud first half of this month.


It's hard to get winter wx in N. Texas in March but the data shows that our best chances are when there is a -NAO. The models are pointing towards a return to a more western based trough with the PNA/EPO/WPO all going some version of negative over the next two weeks.


In the longer range, it looks like we could see another round of -NAO as we head into the end of the month and early April. If we get a -EPO, there would be a very small chance of a miracle winter wx system for Texas with a
-EPO/NAO combo.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#145 Postby wxman57 » Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:26 pm

Cerlin wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
Portastorm wrote:We hit 90 today in Austin. I see the Euro has more of that for us in about a week. Looks like wxman57 is taking control.


You have nothing to complain about, Portastorm. I brought you winter weather, as I promised. You knew this was coming...

Does that mean DFW will be wet and below normal because we didn’t get the winter weather we were promised? :)


Nope. You got extreme cold and ice up there, though you didn't get as much snow as you would have liked, that's the best I could do. I'll be taking over the thermostat in 8 days.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#146 Postby Cerlin » Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:08 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Cerlin wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
You have nothing to complain about, Portastorm. I brought you winter weather, as I promised. You knew this was coming...

Does that mean DFW will be wet and below normal because we didn’t get the winter weather we were promised? :)


Nope. You got extreme cold and ice up there, though you didn't get as much snow as you would have liked, that's the best I could do. I'll be taking over the thermostat in 8 days.


I suppose you’re right, we did get lots of cold and 10 sleet pellets...have at it with the thermostat! :wink:
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#147 Postby Brent » Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:08 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Cerlin wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
You have nothing to complain about, Portastorm. I brought you winter weather, as I promised. You knew this was coming...

Does that mean DFW will be wet and below normal because we didn’t get the winter weather we were promised? :)


Nope. You got extreme cold and ice up there, though you didn't get as much snow as you would have liked, that's the best I could do. I'll be taking over the thermostat in 8 days.


That snow didnt even really qualify as snow :P The only real snow I saw this winter was in NYC...
Last edited by Brent on Tue Mar 13, 2018 12:43 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#148 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Mon Mar 12, 2018 8:19 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Cerlin wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
You have nothing to complain about, Portastorm. I brought you winter weather, as I promised. You knew this was coming...

Does that mean DFW will be wet and below normal because we didn’t get the winter weather we were promised? :)


Nope. You got extreme cold and ice up there, though you didn't get as much snow as you would have liked, that's the best I could do. I'll be taking over the thermostat in 8 days.

Fake news
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#149 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Mar 12, 2018 8:21 pm

Even when the GFS gets crazy the Panhandle can't get any moisture...

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#150 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Mar 12, 2018 8:25 pm

It's snowing here in Washington DC! :froze: :)
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#151 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 12, 2018 8:54 pm

Yukon Cornelius wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
Cerlin wrote:Does that mean DFW will be wet and below normal because we didn’t get the winter weather we were promised? :)


Nope. You got extreme cold and ice up there, though you didn't get as much snow as you would have liked, that's the best I could do. I'll be taking over the thermostat in 8 days.

Fake news


Tell him Yukon, tell him!

:lol:
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#152 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Tue Mar 13, 2018 7:15 am

Picked up another freeze this morning. Hopefully this isn’t the last one of the season but probably a decent chance that it could be. 50s on tap again for today.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#153 Postby hriverajr » Tue Mar 13, 2018 8:50 am

Portastorm wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
Portastorm wrote:We hit 90 today in Austin. I see the Euro has more of that for us in about a week. Looks like wxman57 is taking control.


You have nothing to complain about, Portastorm. I brought you winter weather, as I promised. You knew this was coming...


Yes you did deliver the winter goods and now I must accept our (warm) fate.


We got nothing in del rio...
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#154 Postby EnnisTx » Tue Mar 13, 2018 7:10 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
Nope. You got extreme cold and ice up there, though you didn't get as much snow as you would have liked, that's the best I could do. I'll be taking over the thermostat in 8 days.

Fake news


Tell him Yukon, tell him!

:lol:


#fakenews #no control over the thermostat #bike rides in the wet cool summer
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#155 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Mar 13, 2018 9:47 pm

Don't shot the messenger but the Euro EPS has been trending snowier for DFW towards the end of March.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#156 Postby Brent » Tue Mar 13, 2018 11:17 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Don't shot the messenger but the Euro EPS has been trending snowier for DFW towards the end of March.


lol is that really possible
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#157 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Mar 14, 2018 6:17 am

Is this the last freeze of the season? 32 here this morning. Past few mornings have all been in the 30s.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#158 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Wed Mar 14, 2018 7:22 am

Ralph's Weather wrote:Is this the last freeze of the season? 32 here this morning. Past few mornings have all been in the 30s.

Same here. Also a pretty decent frost. It will be interesting to see if the mesquites and pecans start putting on foliage now that this small cool snap is over. The old guy down the road that I help out says to still not plant a garden or put seed in the ground just yet.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#159 Postby Ntxw » Wed Mar 14, 2018 7:51 am

In 1962 today 2.2" of snow fell at DFW. The latest greater than 1" snowfall at DFW is 2.0" in 1937 March 29th.

Can it snow in late March? Yes but odds drop significantly. The only way it will happen is if some freak 500mb deep bowling ball low occurs that dramatically cools the atmosphere and the surface temps are close to freezing.

CPC has below normal temps and above normal precip for just about the whole country, except Texas where they have above normal to near normal and drier than normal. Vernal Equinox is just some days away.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018

#160 Postby Brent » Wed Mar 14, 2018 1:22 pm

just looking at the models I think Dallas is more likely to hit 90 than have snow...

but maybe I'm wrong :lol: But after our luck this winter I ain't holding my breath
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