Ntxw wrote:FYI 2009 has been popping up a lot in the analogs at 500mb. Only difference is the ridges have more oomph to them than that year, despite similar ridge/trough placement.
2009 brought a Christmas Eve snowstorm to Denison…
Texas Fall 2023
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Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
2009 brought a Christmas Eve snowstorm to Denison…
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
CPC looks promising for me, if only I can push it further south.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Winter 2020-2021
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
Let's see if this holds, but the trend has been pretty impressive on the EPS the last couple of days.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Portastorm
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
bubba hotep wrote:Let's see if this holds, but the trend has been pretty impressive on the EPS the last couple of days.
https://i.ibb.co/K7RzssV/EPStemps.png
Yes! I’ve been tracking the Euro ensembles and for the last few days they’re showing a break for y’all and us too. Hopeful.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
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rwfromkansas
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
Any relief is welcome, even if above normal so long as it’s below 100, but low 90s would be great.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Brent
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
Iceresistance wrote:This is promising
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sg50J.png
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sg50J.png
Yeah all next week highs in the 80s here so far
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#neversummer
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cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
The end of this hell finally looks to be in sight as the process of stair-stepping down likely begins late next week. Further out in fantasy land, the end of 12z gfs looks amazing for a pattern change with that trough in the west, but I don’t intend to hold my breath on something like that unless it’s still showing up a week from now.
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
Iceresistance wrote:This is promising
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sg50J.png
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sg50J.png
If I'm in Oklahoma......
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Yukon Cornelius
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
Iceresistance wrote:Don't fail us now CPC!
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sg5eS.gif
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sg5eS.gif
Still doesn’t look good for me lol
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weatherdude1108
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
Cpv17 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Don't fail us now CPC!
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sg5eS.gif
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sg5eS.gif
Still doesn’t look good for me lol
Looks like the Austin area is average to above average precip for a change.
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Fall 2023
Ntxw wrote:FYI 2009 has been popping up a lot in the analogs at 500mb. Only difference is the ridges have more oomph to them than that year, despite similar ridge/trough placement.
Summer 2009 was quite hot. Winter of 2009-2010 was cold.
1 likes
Re: Texas Fall 2023
South Texas Storms wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Summer 2023 will be forever known as "The El Nino that never came"
El Nino has been here. Just doesn't impact our weather much in the summer. Have to wait until fall and winter for impacts to begin.
El Nino effect in the summer can go either way.
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tajmahal
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
Raw GFS forescast high temperatures for Austin Camp Mabry:
105°...Tuesday, 9/6
105°...Wednesday
106°...Thursday
107°...Friday
105°...Saturday
105°...Sunday
..99°...Monday
..78°...Tuesday, 9/13
..88°...Wednesday
..90°...Thursday
98.8°...Average of highs
Raw GFS forescast low temperatures for Austin Camp Mabry:
80°...Tuesday, 9/6
79°...Wednesday
81°...Thursday
82°...Friday
79°...Saturday
78°...Sunday
72°...Monday
71°...Tuesday, 9/13
70°...Wednesday
73°...Thursday
76.5°...Average of lows
87.65°...Overall average
105°...Tuesday, 9/6
105°...Wednesday
106°...Thursday
107°...Friday
105°...Saturday
105°...Sunday
..99°...Monday
..78°...Tuesday, 9/13
..88°...Wednesday
..90°...Thursday
98.8°...Average of highs
Raw GFS forescast low temperatures for Austin Camp Mabry:
80°...Tuesday, 9/6
79°...Wednesday
81°...Thursday
82°...Friday
79°...Saturday
78°...Sunday
72°...Monday
71°...Tuesday, 9/13
70°...Wednesday
73°...Thursday
76.5°...Average of lows
87.65°...Overall average
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tajmahal
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
Ptarmigan wrote:El Nino effect in the summer can go either way.
Or have no effect at all.
1 likes
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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weatherdude1108
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
Iceresistance wrote:This can't be real, can it?
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sg1Pu.gif
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/Sg1Pu.gif
Well, I'm still in the ongoing, seemingly neverending rain void/barrier down this way, but looks more promising for y'all up in OK (and maybe the Wichita Falls blast furnace hopefully?)!
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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