We should be getting over an inch per week on average in May, but very thankful for the 1.5 inches I got yesterday. Just wish I didn't have to go another month or so to see more.
It's like we are starting over every time it rains. 4 inches rain, 4 weeks dry; 3 inches rain, 5 weeks dry; flash flooding, 3 months drought;, etc.
It doesn't feel like it was when I was little. Granted I didn't pay that much attention to the weather when I was little, but I was aware of how it felt and when it rained. It seemed like the dry periods/droughts were fewer and farther between, with more wetness and cooler temps. Now the wet periods are fewer and farther between the dry spells/droughts, and the temps are hotter.
Don't want to go into an urban development/background state/Sunspot cycles thing here. Just some observations of living here since the 70s.
000
FXUS64 KEWX 212001
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
301 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018
.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Tuesday Night)...
Early afternoon surface observations show a remnant cold front was
located roughly along a GTU-SAT-DRT line. Elsewhere, some developing
convection is noted across the coastal plains into the Highway 77
corridor. The remnant boundary along with an axis of increased
moisture and daytime heating is aiding in the development of this
convection.
The above mentioned boundary will weaken and become ill-defined
through the evening hours as we expect a return of south to
southeasterly winds across all areas. The hi-res models generally
favor the coastal plains for convection this evening and we have gone
with the higher rain chances across this region. Most activity across
the coastal plains is expected to decrease by late evening with the
loss of daytime heating. Farther west along the Rio Grande, we will
hold on to a low chance for showers and storms through tonight to
account for any activity that develops over the higher terrain of
Mexico, then moves eastward toward the Rio Grande plains. No
significant change in the large scale pattern is expected on Tuesday
and we will mention low chances for rainfall along the Rio Grande and
coastal plains. Temperatures should manage to warm slightly on
Tuesday, with most areas in the 90s except mid to upper 80s in the
Hill Country.
&&
.LONG TERM (Wednesday through Monday)...
The forecast for the remainder of the forecast period will largely
be dominated by a strengthening subtropical ridge axis to our west.
We will certainly keep an eye on what develops in the Gulf of Mexico,
but for now any activity is currently not anticipated to have an
impact on our forecast. Most areas are expected to remain warm and
dry as the ridge strengthens. The exception could be over the coastal
plains, where slightly higher moisture levels will be found. Also,
we can`t completely rule out an isolated storm or two across western
Val Verde county. For either of the above locations, rain chances
will remain very low. Above normal temperatures are expected into
early next week, with widespread highs in the 90s and lows in the
70s.
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