STORM2K

Surprisingly far west with the tornado watch.

Brent wrote:

bubba hotep wrote:

Captmorg70 wrote:
22z has them too. How strong could these storms be if they form?

If they fire and have time to mature, then all modes of svr wx would be possible.

ironic after the SPC moved the slight and enhanced to the east too

Hard forecast

SPC has done two special releases today with 18z showing a huge cap in place. 21z still had a cap but showed a lot erosion from 18z and the 21z sounding at DFW matched up closely to the model projected sounding from the 21z HRRR. If a cell or two can fire and become surface based, like the HRRR is showing, then it could be go time.

No need outlooks or models, storms firing out west



What was that folklore saying? After hearing thunder in winter snow a week later??

Ntxw wrote:No need outlooks or models, storms firing out west

https://images2.imgbox.com/cb/24/el22rua1_o.gif

What was that folklore saying? After hearing thunder in winter snow a week later??

Explosive spring like development with cells going from nothing to svr warned in no time.

rwfromkansas wrote:Surprisingly far west with the tornado watch.

yeah wasn't expecting that here

Stay safe

Nice heavy rain with marble size hail for about 30 min before moving out.

Pretty interesting 00z out of FWD, it also shows some backing of the surface winds.

Not to impressed with the storms at this point. Probably blow up once they get East of Dallas.

I am getting screwed by the storm splitting.

the winter storm next weekend better be more interesting than this

Brent wrote:the winter storm next weekend better be more interesting than this

Hopefully that laugh will change to next weekend!

The 3 smaller cells moving into DFW from the SW need to be watched. The environment out in front looks pretty favorable for continued development.

bubba hotep wrote:The 3 smaller cells moving into DFW from the SW need to be watched. The environment out in front looks pretty favorable for continued development.

Yep. Watching the one on the Westside of Fort Worth that's heading my way in Arlington.

Downpour here in Arlington!

Got a couple of downpours that came up from the mid cities (Arlington, Grand Prairie) that's amounted to about a third of an inch. Not a ton, but heavy while brief.

Nice downpour here