STORM2K

We got a decent heavy shower around 7pm which lasted around a minute or two. Part of a west southwest scattered moving line in parts of the area. Got 0 07 out of it. But yeah, I expected more too.

Ehh, its hard to get too enthused with a low pressure system on the Atlantic side. Unless you sit near the coast or in direct path, of late. I'd like the set up more if there was an EPAC disturbance off the west coast of MX to help. Those tend to live up to the rain chances and totals better.

It has rained almost every day in the Houston area over the last 2 weeks. This summer really hasn't been that bad. I'm thankful!

South Texas Storms wrote:It has rained almost every day in the Houston area over the last 2 weeks. This summer really hasn't been that bad. I'm thankful!

I wish it was the same for central areas of the state. Having said that, we got a good dousing of rain this month and thankfully ended the streak of 100 degree days to which I'm sure would be currently ongoing had we not received the wide spread amounts we got. When was the last time Lake Travis was 100% full in August? I wanna say 2007... I'd like a little more regular consistency of rain but I'm not complaining about how this month turned out by any means. Currently 86 degrees at my house at 3:40 p.m.

Looking ahead to September, at first glance it looks like the first half of the month will be dry. Hopefully it won't be the case but I'm a little suprised at how strong the models are forecasting the ridge of high pressure. We may not see anymore 100s for the rest of the year but upper 90s are looking more likely.

JDawg512 wrote:I wish it was the same for central areas of the state. Having said that, we got a good dousing of rain this month and thankfully ended the streak of 100 degree days to which I'm sure would be currently ongoing had we not received the wide spread amounts we got. When was the last time Lake Travis was 100% full in August? I wanna say 2007... I'd like a little more regular consistency of rain but I'm not complaining about how this month turned out by any means. Currently 86 degrees at my house at 3:40 p.m.

Looking ahead to September, at first glance it looks like the first half of the month will be dry. Hopefully it won't be the case but I'm a little suprised at how strong the models are forecasting the ridge of high pressure. We may not see anymore 100s for the rest of the year but upper 90s are looking more likely.

There is hope that the recurving typhoon (Lionrock) will alter the north Pacific. ECMWF has flipped flopped on ridge vs trough run to run. I am not trusting of the models right now. For instance today it has a digging western trough and EPAC system which would be a deluge.

GFS has a big hurricane around the same time frame off of Mex





With the EPAC once again experiencing a much above normal year, I would expect a flooding episode sometime in Sept or Oct.

Ntxw wrote:

JDawg512 wrote:I wish it was the same for central areas of the state. Having said that, we got a good dousing of rain this month and thankfully ended the streak of 100 degree days to which I'm sure would be currently ongoing had we not received the wide spread amounts we got. When was the last time Lake Travis was 100% full in August? I wanna say 2007... I'd like a little more regular consistency of rain but I'm not complaining about how this month turned out by any means. Currently 86 degrees at my house at 3:40 p.m.

Looking ahead to September, at first glance it looks like the first half of the month will be dry. Hopefully it won't be the case but I'm a little suprised at how strong the models are forecasting the ridge of high pressure. We may not see anymore 100s for the rest of the year but upper 90s are looking more likely.

There is hope that the recurving typhoon (Lionrock) will alter the north Pacific. ECMWF has flipped flopped on ridge vs trough run to run. I am not trusting of the models right now. For instance today it has a digging western trough and EPAC system which would be a deluge.

GFS has a big hurricane around the same time frame off of Mex





With the EPAC once again experiencing a much above normal year, I would expect a flooding episode sometime in Sept or Oct.

I agree with your assessment for a flood event especially as it has been pretty consistent with the last few years almost like clockwork down to the day. October is basically the May of Autumn.

I looked at Bob Rose's forecast blog a little after posting and he's more optimistic about at least slight chances of rain on and off over the next 2 weeks. He mentions a frontal boundary coming through Friday/Sat and another the week after Labor Day and temps holding around average.

August has been great this year.(Well, since the 12th) The current stagnant pattern we are in is not so bad. Temps have been below normal with periodic rain chances and the next several days will offer the same. Could be a lot worse considering we are still in summer for another month. The humidity though is a different story, it sucks. Hopefully the long range models will start showing the first true fall front soon. Just thinking of the dry air with temps in the 60's for lows sounds great. Give it a couple weeks and we should be in business.

The upper low off the Texas coast has yielded some nice rains today in the Austin metro area. Picked up close to 3/4" today. No griping.

Had a nice rain this evening. Moderate to heavy. Absolutely no thunder. 0.34 in the gauge, and 79 degrees at 7:40 pm.

The summer thread is usually short but I expected it to be more than 31 pages considering it has been pretty eventful compared to last summer except for June and July.

Got a half inch yesterday so pretty satisfied. Looking forward to Autumn.

Mid 60's for lows and mid 80's for highs are in the forecast for Texarkana on Friday and Saturday.

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Currently longest period on RECORD without a hurricane in the GOM (period of record 130 years).

Got another heavy shower at 6:15 to 6:30 this evening. Another 0.15 in the gauge.

Last day for this thread before we move onto the fall thread tomorrow.


Watch this area of disturbance south of Mexico the NHC has marked an x. It will likely develop and could be a hurricane riding up the west coast of Mexico. Potentially has indirect (maybe even direct) effects on us rain wise.

there are some 60s forecast in the northern metro this weekend...

it's progress...

can't believe we're going to the fall thread already. It's all downhill from here on whatever resembles summer...

Goodbye summer. Aside from the flash drought of July-early August, it was not that bad for Southeast Texas. Since the trees kept their leaves this summer - a major feat these days it seems - I'm hoping for some pretty fall colors this year.

My grass was green all summer too. It was starting to succumb in early August but has since perked up.

Goodbye summer. My 2nd one in Texas... honestly other than that couple of weeks at the end of July/early August, didn't seem that bad. Most of the last 3 weeks since I almost never could have envisioned actually happening with all the clouds and rain.

Good bye Summer. Hello Fall !

Bye bye meteorological Summer! Time for Fall talk.