Texas Spring 2018
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
Looks like another cool weekend. Almost a duplicate of last weekend. 50s for highs with 40s for highs possible if the clouds hold on Saturday. Clearing out likely by Saturday night could lead to a widespread late frost or even freeze for much of the state. NAM showing 30s down to the coast Sunday morning.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
ngturner1 wrote:Bubba, where are you finding that Texas SPC product?
Here is the link, I believe it used to be an ftp but is now a public http.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/state/images/
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
Ralph's Weather wrote:Looks like another cool weekend. Almost a duplicate of last weekend. 50s for highs with 40s for highs possible if the clouds hold on Saturday. Clearing out likely by Saturday night could lead to a widespread late frost or even freeze for much of the state. NAM showing 30s down to the coast Sunday morning.
FWD has point forecast IMBY of 34. If winds relax then very well may get a freeze. Luckily, most of my garden is still below the edges of the raised bed making it easy to cover.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Spring 2018
bubba hotep wrote:ngturner1 wrote:Bubba, where are you finding that Texas SPC product?
Here is the link, I believe it used to be an ftp but is now a public http.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/state/images/
Thank you!
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
Although I question these last freeze dates (think they should be later), according to this, most of us are well past the average last freeze dates for our respective cities.
DFW (March 13th)
Austin (February 26th)
Houston (February 18th)
Wichita Falls (March 27th)
April 25th in Dalhart is the latest last freeze date I saw on here.
DFW (March 13th)
Austin (February 26th)
Houston (February 18th)
Wichita Falls (March 27th)
April 25th in Dalhart is the latest last freeze date I saw on here.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
weatherdude1108 wrote:Although I question these last freeze dates (think they should be later), according to this, most of us are well past the average last freeze dates for our respective cities.
DFW (March 13th)
Austin (February 26th)
Houston (February 18th)
Wichita Falls (March 27th)
April 25th in Dalhart is the latest last freeze date I saw on here.
latest freeze ever in Dallas is tomorrow
100 in Vernon right now
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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
Brent wrote:weatherdude1108 wrote:Although I question these last freeze dates (think they should be later), according to this, most of us are well past the average last freeze dates for our respective cities.
DFW (March 13th)
Austin (February 26th)
Houston (February 18th)
Wichita Falls (March 27th)
April 25th in Dalhart is the latest last freeze date I saw on here.
latest freeze ever in Dallas is tomorrow
100 in Vernon right now
Crazy! Meant to add for Dalhart the latest average last freeze.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
With these 70's across the I-35 corridor, it's hard to believe Childress is 95 right now.
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Not a professional MET! My posts are merely speculation.
Re: Texas Spring 2018
downsouthman1 wrote:With these 70's across the I-35 corridor, it's hard to believe Childress is 95 right now.
Considering where the drought is, it would make sense
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
Ntxw wrote:downsouthman1 wrote:With these 70's across the I-35 corridor, it's hard to believe Childress is 95 right now.
Considering where the drought is, it would make sense
Winter destroyed the panhandle.
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Not a professional MET! My posts are merely speculation.
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
HRRR is interesting showing 2 rounds of storms for areas east of I35. If that were to verify MBY could be pushing 6"+ for April while the airport has been mostly dry.
Multiple rounds of storms raises the chance of a localized tornado threat as boundaries are laid down but it also raises questions about atmospheric recovery.
Multiple rounds of storms raises the chance of a localized tornado threat as boundaries are laid down but it also raises questions about atmospheric recovery.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
MOD added for the ArkLaTex
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
000
FXUS64 KHGX 131145
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
645 AM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018
.AVIATION...
MVFR ceilings in place across most TAF sites this morning, and
expecting these conditions to hold, potentially dropping to IFR
criteria at times, until the passing of the next cold front.
Gusty conditions also expected today, with a tight pressure
gradient in place ahead of the front. Light showers will be
possible across much of the region this morning. A secondary round
of showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon out
ahead of the front, with short term guidance hinting at the best
coverage more towards our northeastern terminals UTS/CXO. Expect a
break in precipitation early this evening before the arrival of
the actual cold front which based off most recent model guidance,
should reach CLL around 05Z and push off the coast by 12Z
Saturday. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible along this
boundary as it moves from north to south across SE TX. Winds will
back behind this frontal boundary, and a northwesterly wind should
prevail by sunrise Saturday.
Hathaway
FXUS64 KHGX 131145
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
645 AM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018
.AVIATION...
MVFR ceilings in place across most TAF sites this morning, and
expecting these conditions to hold, potentially dropping to IFR
criteria at times, until the passing of the next cold front.
Gusty conditions also expected today, with a tight pressure
gradient in place ahead of the front. Light showers will be
possible across much of the region this morning. A secondary round
of showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon out
ahead of the front, with short term guidance hinting at the best
coverage more towards our northeastern terminals UTS/CXO. Expect a
break in precipitation early this evening before the arrival of
the actual cold front which based off most recent model guidance,
should reach CLL around 05Z and push off the coast by 12Z
Saturday. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible along this
boundary as it moves from north to south across SE TX. Winds will
back behind this frontal boundary, and a northwesterly wind should
prevail by sunrise Saturday.
Hathaway
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
Well, frustratingly dry April here in Fort Worth. A few sprinkles this morning. Thank goodness for the crazy rains previously. Things are too progressive.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
Latest HRRR is firing the dryline just west of DFW. This is going to be a tricky setup, possibly similar to last week. Big hail could be major issue, portions of DFW are already included in the SPC hail hatch. If the dryline signal gets more obvious through the day then we might see a westard expansion by SPC or inclusion of DFW in any future watch box.
ETA: Newest HRRR is even slower with the dryline
ETA: Newest HRRR is even slower with the dryline
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
We've had several booms of thunder this morning here in downtown. That could be a sign that moisture return was deeper than anticipated allowing these elevated cells to tap into some of the deeper instability. That deep moisture could make it easier for dryline storms to get going later.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
Maybe a boundary or two laid down this morning?
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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