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Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 10:22 pm
by Brent
NBC 5 just went 107 Thursday and 108 Friday yikes
Where's all the heat people? Anyone?
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 10:26 pm
by bubba hotep
Brent wrote:NBC 5 just went 107 Thursday and 108 Friday yikes
Where's all the heat people? Anyone?
I'll fight someone over this heat #Sonic
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 10:28 pm
by bubba hotep
FXUS64 KFWD 180250 AAA
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
950 PM CDT Tue Jul 17 2018
.UPDATE...
Slight chance POPs will continue across the northeast counties
overnight due to the presence of a disturbance rotating around the
northeast flank of the dominating ridge of high pressure aloft.
The rest of the region will remain hot and dry with low
temperatures ranging from the mid 70s to lower 80s (DFW was still
95 degrees at 930 PM). The Heat Advisory is still set for tomorrow
with an Excessive Heat Watch in place for Thursday. Triple digit
heat will persist into the weekend and beyond.
30
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 12:51 am
by TheProfessor
There is some hope on the 0z GFS!
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 12:54 am
by hamburgerman7070
TheProfessor wrote:There is some hope on the 0z GFS!
What is it? We have locked in the summer pattern for a while. Stationary mjo
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 12:58 am
by hamburgerman7070
Brent wrote:NBC 5 just went 107 Thursday and 108 Friday yikes
Where's all the heat people? Anyone?
Brent, its here. Wxman57 is happier than a sissy in a boot camp and I say that with 100% certainty
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 2:30 am
by TheProfessor
hamburgerman7070 wrote:TheProfessor wrote:There is some hope on the 0z GFS!
What is it? We have locked in the summer pattern for a while. Stationary mjo
Well the Canadian has a retrograding ridge in it's 0z run. The GFS does something similar about a week from now and then digs a trough down the plains. Might definitely be wrong, but it's better than showing ridging the whole run!
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 6:45 am
by weatherdude1108
000
FXUS64 KEWX 180721
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
221 AM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018
.SHORT TERM (Today through Thursday)...
Hot and dry conditions continue through the short term. High
temperatures today and Thursday near or a degree warmer than
yesterday. This will put Llano and Burnet counties into Heat Advisory
criteria (air temp => 103). Llano hit 106 yesterday and Burnet 102.
A few isolated spots in Llano county are forecast to reach 105-106
degrees today, which would technically reach Excessive Heat Warning
criteria (air temp => 105), however don`t think it will be widespread
enough to warrant warning. A Heat Advisory will be issued for this
afternoon and early evening for Llano and Burnet counties, which will
also fit well with offices to the north. It appears the Saharan Dust
peaked over the region Monday and Tuesday. So not quite as hazy
today and tomorrow compared to early this week.
&&
.LONG TERM (Thursday Night through Tuesday)...
A 595-598 decameter 500mb ridge is still forecast to expand through
New Mexico and into West and West Central Texas Friday through the
weekend. With South Central under the influence of the southern
periphery of the ridge and increasing thickness values, high
temperatures will warm further, likely peaking Sunday and Monday.
Highs will range from 100-102 degrees across the Hill Country,
101-105 degrees along and east the I-35 corridor and 104-108 along
the Rio Grande. Just based on air temperature alone Heat Advisories
will likely be needed over a good portion of the region. Can`t rule
out some spots near Excessive Heat Warning Criteria, especially
Sunday and Monday.
Confidence in the forecast decreases day 7-8 (late Tuesday and
Wednesday). The GFS backs the center of the ridge off further to the
west than the ECMWF, and shows a potential for rain chances during
this time in the northerly flow. The ECMWF maintains ridging over the
area and hot and dry conditions.
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 7:01 am
by Ntxw
104F yesterday at DFW. 105+ probably today and near 110 the next few.
Long range guidance do show retrogression of the Sonoran High thus inducing some NW flow with slightly "cooler" air mass.
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 9:37 am
by CaptinCrunch
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 10:18 am
by bubba hotep
Got to get through this weekend first and things should get a little better next week but it doesn't take hardly any rain to reach "normal" levels in late July and August.
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 11:51 am
by weatherdude1108
bubba hotep wrote:Got to get through this weekend first and things should get a little better next week but it doesn't take hardly any rain to reach "normal" levels in late July and August.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DiYtJ78WkAYxOR3.jpg
Can you nudge that green a little further south, please?
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 2:35 pm
by weatherdude1108
I have noticed the Texas Sages are blooming like crazy at work and on my way home to work. Bushes have gotten flush with purple flowers over the past couple of days.
I know the Texas Sages were blooming right before the July 4th rainy period started. Now they are blooming exactly two weeks after the 4th. Could be a result of the rains two weeks ago, or a foreshadowing of rains to come(??). Anyway. Pretty cool.
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 3:02 pm
by srainhoutx
A short fuse Heat Advisory may be coming shortly as IAH currently has a heat Index of 107F. Heat Advisories seem likely for Saturday through Monday as Heat Indices are expected to reach the 110F to 112F Range. Be careful out there and stay hydrated and take frequent breaks in the A/C if possible.
I continue to see changes brewing next week as the Upper Heat Ridge is nudged WNW as a trough deepens over the Eastern half of the United States. Rain chances look to increase East to West beginning Tuesday as a weakness between the retreating Ridge over Texas shifts to the Great Basin and the strong Bermuda Ridge remains anchored off the East Coast.
Looking at the latest forecasts for the next several surges of Saharan Dust, the mid level flow appears to keep the bulk of the dust tracking West into Mexico into the weekend and next week.
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 3:29 pm
by wxman57
Brent wrote:NBC 5 just went 107 Thursday and 108 Friday yikes
Where's all the heat people? Anyone?
I'm here, just enjoying the nice warmth. I think I'll keep it nice and warm through next winter...
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 4:09 pm
by BrokenGlassRepublicn
wxman57 wrote:Brent wrote:NBC 5 just went 107 Thursday and 108 Friday yikes
Where's all the heat people? Anyone?
I'm here, just enjoying the nice warmth. I think I'll keep it nice and warm through next winter...
A weatherstation not far from my office is reporting 113 (The Colony). Walking from my car to my desk after lunch, it was like someone was blowing a hair dryer in my face. A frozen pox upon your house.
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 4:10 pm
by Ntxw
105 at DFW this hour. Excessive heat warning in effect for most of FW CWA, believe first since 2011.
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 4:11 pm
by Haris
My thoughts
if the pic seems very small , you can click on it. its HD
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 5:16 pm
by CaptinCrunch
wxman57 wrote:Brent wrote:NBC 5 just went 107 Thursday and 108 Friday yikes
Where's all the heat people? Anyone?
I'm here, just enjoying the nice warmth. I think I'll keep it nice and warm through next winter...
This crazy old coot...
doesn't he know tricks are for kids?
Re: Texas Summer 2018
Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 5:31 pm
by aggiecutter
