Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 9:01 am
Sleet showers here also, a surprise.
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Texas Spring 2022
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Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 9:02 am
Graupel here in Frisco.
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 9:25 am
Grauple in Mansfield and DT FTW, not a lot but it was bouncing off the windshield on way in to work.
Friday may be a little more than a little grauple
Friday may be a little more than a little grauple
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 9:41 am
CaptinCrunch wrote:Grauple in Mansfield and DT FTW, not a lot but it was bouncing off the windshield on way in to work.
Friday may be a little more than a little grauple
My daughter is supposed to fly out of Love Field on Friday morning to DC for her school spring break trip. Could get interesting.
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 9:54 am
Hard to tell if the Friday snow on the gfs 6z will stick on roads or not. Probably accumulate on yards and trees. 
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 10:20 am
It may have been graupel, not sleet, as it did seem to look more like a frozen snowflake.
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 10:41 am
ICON showing a significant storm. Mind boggling how it’s so quiet. Y’all are in for a rude awakening in 4 days
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 10:46 am
Haris wrote:ICON showing a significant storm. Mind boggling how it’s so quiet. Y’all are in for a rude awakening in 4 days
I have a Cub Scout outdoor shooting event at Sid Richardson, Lake Bridgeport, on Saturday moring. I'm paying attention.
I think we get an extra badge for the kids if it's below freezing.
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 11:00 am
It shows a dusting to a half-inch for DFW. Significant it's not. OK is better, but still maybe 3 inches fairly widespread. But, no freezing rain/sleet, so that's a plus.
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 11:08 am
rwfromkansas wrote:It shows a dusting to a half-inch for DFW. Significant it's not. OK is better, but still maybe 3 inches fairly widespread. But, no freezing rain/sleet, so that's a plus.
ICON algorithm can’t decipher between rain and snow well. Most of that liquid is frozen
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 11:09 am
Haris wrote:rwfromkansas wrote:It shows a dusting to a half-inch for DFW. Significant it's not. OK is better, but still maybe 3 inches fairly widespread. But, no freezing rain/sleet, so that's a plus.
ICON algorithm can’t decipher between rain and snow well. Most of that liquid is frozen
12z GFS is way far south, above is plenty cold for snow but its surface thermals messing a little with types. But being further south now parts of central texas comes into play for mix.
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 11:29 am
Haris wrote:rwfromkansas wrote:It shows a dusting to a half-inch for DFW. Significant it's not. OK is better, but still maybe 3 inches fairly widespread. But, no freezing rain/sleet, so that's a plus.
ICON algorithm can’t decipher between rain and snow well. Most of that liquid is frozen
Oh, good catch, the 540 line is well ahead of what it says is snow. Yeah, add a couple of inches to that, and I would say that's significant.
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 11:43 am
Chances of 1-3 inches of Snow across a significant portion of North Texas on Friday increasing pretty substantially…early Spring Break for the kids ??
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 11:47 am
I'm somewhat skeptical because we've seen this setup multiple times this winter. The models try to amp up some energy out of the SW but then trend towards the N/S energy dominating, and everything gets sheared out. You can see that happening on the 12z CMC and not on the 12z GFS. We need there to be some more separation b/w the N/S and our energy coming out of the SW, if we want a legit snowstorm.
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 12:01 pm
bubba hotep wrote:I'm somewhat skeptical because we've seen this setup multiple times this winter. The models try to amp up some energy out of the SW but then trend towards the N/S energy dominating, and everything gets sheared out. You can see that happening on the 12z CMC and not on the 12z GFS. We need there to be some more separation b/w the N/S and our energy coming out of the SW, if we want a legit snowstorm.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2022030712/gfs_z500_vort_us_18.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2022030712/gem_z500_vort_us_18.png
Agreed……if it was back in December, pattern has almost completely flipped since this was an issue. These lows are now getting all the way to El Paso before they eject out, usually enough moisture to work with if they get that far south
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 12:26 pm
12z CMC has 1-3 inches of snow along I-40 from Amarillo to Little Rock
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 4:21 pm
Iceresistance wrote:12z CMC has 1-3 inches of snow along I-40 from Amarillo to Little Rock
TWC has a "potential winter storm" for me with a couple inches for now. I don't really consider that a storm up here but we'll see how it trends
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 4:34 pm
ICON has a hell of a snowstorm
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 4:36 pm
Haris wrote:ICON has a hell of a snowstorm
Where and when? Texas is a big state
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2022 4:38 pm
HockeyTx82 wrote:Haris wrote:ICON has a hell of a snowstorm
Where and when? Texas is a big state
Ignore the dark green. Icon can’t show mix. It’s all below freezing