Texas Summer 2019

[Brent]

No cyclone but not bad for Labor Day

[Cpv17]

This isn’t really aimed at Texas. Reminds me of last winter where the cold was aimed at points east of here and we just got glancing blows

[captainbarbossa19]

This isn’t really aimed at Texas. Reminds me of last winter where the cold was aimed at points east of here and we just got glancing blows

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif

It would be nice to have a cooler fall. I'll be happy when the humidity starts to drop. At least the days are getting shorter and the sun angle is getting lower. Eventually, temperatures will begin to decrease for daytime highs.

[dhweather]

No cyclone but not bad for Labor Day

https://i.ibb.co/7GwdTGX/gfs-T2m-scus-44.png

The RIDGE OF DEATH laughs at you.

[Ntxw]

The ensembles fully support the idea that once the seasonal change occurs around labor day, it is here to stay. One pattern in one season does not yield the same result in a shift to another season. At play now is the much aligned Northeast Pacific ridge forcing a central/eastern trough for Sept. It will be a gradual step down with a boost.

The semi permanent summer ridge will be toast. It has already receded to the desert southwest.

[Brent]

major front on the 0z GFS still, near record lows to open September(wouldn't that be a treat for the fall thread? )

[weatherdude1108]

:double:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019082212/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_48.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019082212/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_49.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019082212/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_50.png

I am glad that this is not a short-term forecast. By the way, I am new here on S2K. I am a college student and have taken several meteorology courses. I have considered joining for years, but I hesitated since there are quite a few rules here. However, I finally decided to get over my reluctance to join.

Hey there captainbarbossa19! Welcome aboard!

I've been on here since 2012 (I think(?)). Need to look it up.lol In any case, this is a great forum! Lots of information and expert enthusiasts and meteorologists at your fingertips.

There are some ground rules for the forum, which the moderators need to periodically remind us of from time to time.

But it's like a big family around here. I think you'll enjoy it. Nice to meet you!

[dhweather]

FWD AFD this morning

Consensus of medium range models bring this cold front across the
Red River, but begin to slow it down or even stall it north of
I-20/30. This feature will provide a focus for a few showers and
thunderstorms and combined with continued hot temperatures Tuesday,
there will be an increasing threat for strong storms -- particularly
across our far northern tier counties near the surface front and
better large-scale ascent with the mid level impulse. Further
south and west, hot high temperatures around the century mark will
continue on Tuesday. Similar convective chances will continue
into mid week with slightly cooler temperatures occurring near the
immediate Red River Valley, but increased cloud cover should
allow high temperatures to settle well back down into the 90s.
Otherwise, a flat mid level ridge will slowly re- establish toward
the end of the week, but not be overly intense. Seasonably hot
temperatures with diurnal, isolated convective chances each day
can be expected. With long-range model blends being notoriously
too cool due to trends toward climatology, I did trend toward
warmer guidance of the European model during this time frame.


respect the RIDGE OF DEATH

[ThunderSleetDreams]

1 day until CFB starts!

[SoupBone]

major front on the 0z GFS still, near record lows to open September(wouldn't that be a treat for the fall thread? )



https://i.ibb.co/M9RnhZV/gfs-T2ma-us-40.png

Let the Fall-posting begin! Fall, all cold weather lovers, but not wxman57, ASSEMBLE!

[Brent]

75 in Sherman

[gpsnowman]

The storms up near the Red River don't seem to be going south so some lucky folks might get a pop up thunderstorm in the DFW area. Clouds look impressive.

[captainbarbossa19]

:double:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019082212/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_48.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019082212/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_49.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019082212/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_50.png

I am glad that this is not a short-term forecast. By the way, I am new here on S2K. I am a college student and have taken several meteorology courses. I have considered joining for years, but I hesitated since there are quite a few rules here. However, I finally decided to get over my reluctance to join.

Hey there captainbarbossa19! Welcome aboard!

I've been on here since 2012 (I think(?)). Need to look it up.lol In any case, this is a great forum! Lots of information and expert enthusiasts and meteorologists at your fingertips.

There are some ground rules for the forum, which the moderators need to periodically remind us of from time to time.

But it's like a big family around here. I think you'll enjoy it. Nice to meet you!

Nice to meet you as well! I enjoy being able to post instead of just reading comments. I am hoping that summer has already reached its climax, and now we are on a pleasant journey towards fall. Hopefully we won't have to encounter any hurricanes along our shores during this expedition.

[Cerlin]

I was woken by the pattering of rain against the shingles!!! Woo! Love me some midnight rain!

EDIT: Not so much a patter as it is a rambunctious drumming of rain now!! It’s really coming down! (Thank the lord!)

[Brent]

Longgg way out but the GFS continues to hint at 99L possibly reaching the Western Gulf and being a hurricane in fantasy land

[SoupBone]

Longgg way out but the GFS continues to hint at 99L possibly reaching the Western Gulf and being a hurricane in fantasy land

https://i.ibb.co/VVtbwd9/gfs-ir-watl-57.png

Before that, look at the GFS on September 2nd.

[Brent]

Longgg way out but the GFS continues to hint at 99L possibly reaching the Western Gulf and being a hurricane in fantasy land

https://i.ibb.co/VVtbwd9/gfs-ir-watl-57.png

Before that, look at the GFS on September 2nd.

yup its much weaker but it shows a cyclone threat there too

[CaptinCrunch]

Heard the thunder, felt the breeze and even got about a dozen rain drops yesterday evening, but the showers moved on south and west of me...

Hoping for a better flair up this afternoon as heating triggers a few showers across the area. It will be another hit and miss event so count yourself lucky If you get one.

Last week of the Texas Summer thread, next Saturday we will move to the Texas Fall thread....

[CaptinCrunch]

Drought is building back in, hopefully we can knock it down some as we move into September.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

College Football season and the unofficial beginning of Fall is here! I started drinking at 730 am to prep for next week.

We are almost there folks. Go to hell summer!